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Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Ajax Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League
by Sridhar in Europa League Predictions
One tie away from the Europa League group phase, Jagiellonia Bialystok take on Ajax, with both teams eyeing an advantage ahead of the second leg in Amsterdam. This first-leg match of the Europa League playoffs will be played at the Białystok City Stadium on Thursday, and our prediction favors the visitors.
The winner of this tie moves to the group phase of the Europa League, while the loser will drop to the Conference League in the league phase round. Jagiellonia have already dropped to the Europa League from the Champions League, where they lost 5-1 to Bodo in the qualifying round, losing both legs. Those results made it three defeats in a row for the hosts. They conceded eight goals in their last two competitive matches, and that doesn’t augur well ahead of this match.
Ajax needed 34 penalties to edge out their third-round qualifying fixture against Panathinaikos. While that was a minor setback, the Dutch giants also lost at the weekend, losing 2-1 to Breda. The visitors are going through a rebuild under new coach Francesco Farioli, and they would have wanted a better result in their last match to improve morale ahead of this trip.
Intriguingly, the travelling fans won’t mind if the result is decided by a single goal, which was the case with five of their last seven matches. The Dutch visitors have seen a 1-0 scoreline during regular time in five of their last seven matches, including the second-leg defeat at the hands of Panathinaikos.
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The Best Betting Odds for Jagiellonia Bialystok v Ajax Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
15 | 6 | 1.18 |
|
|
3.8 | 2.62 | 2.1 |
|
|
49 | 26 | 1.01 |
|
|
49 | 26 | 1.01 |
|
|
4 | 3.7 | 1.8 |
|
|
4.5 | 4.04 | 1.71 |
|
|
4.5 | 4.04 | 1.71 |
|
|
100 | 23 | 1.01 |
|
|
3.98 | 3.82 | 1.85 |
|
|
3.95 | 3.8 | 1.84 |
|
|
81 | 23 | 1 |
|
|
3.9 | 3.75 | 1.83 |
|
|
501 | 501 | 1 |
|
|
4.33 | 4 | 1.72 |
|
|
4.5 | 3.75 | 1.6 |
|
|
46 | 26 | 1.01 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Ajax?
Our prediction for the Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Ajax match is: Ajax to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/08/2024 between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Ajax in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.13% for a win of Jagiellonia Bialystok against Ajax with odds of 501 at Betfair.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Ajax is 11.31% with odds of 501 at Betfair.
- Our prediction model gives a 44.56% chance ⭐ for a win of Ajax vs Jagiellonia Bialystok with odds of 2.1 at Ladbrokes.
Jagiellonia Bialystok - Ajax Prediction and Best Odds:
| Jagiellonia Bialystok Ajax Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Ajax wins | 44.56% | 2.1 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.78% | 1.94 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 54.76% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Ajax | 20.45% | 34 at Betfair |
Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Ajax Form
Jagiellonia Bialystok and Ajax Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2024 - Ekstraklasa
13 Aug 2024 - Champions League
7 Aug 2024 - Champions League
3 Aug 2024 - Ekstraklasa
31 Jul 2024 - Champions League
27 Jul 2024 - Ekstraklasa
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2024 - Ekstraklasa
7 Aug 2024 - Champions League
3 Aug 2024 - Ekstraklasa
31 Jul 2024 - Champions League
19 Jul 2024 - Ekstraklasa
3 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Aug 2024 - Champions League
27 Jul 2024 - Ekstraklasa
23 Jul 2024 - Champions League
6 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2024 - Ekstraklasa
4 May 2024 - Ekstraklasa
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Aug 2024 - Eredivisie
15 Aug 2024 - Europa League
11 Aug 2024 - Eredivisie
8 Aug 2024 - Europa League
1 Aug 2024 - Europa League
25 Jul 2024 - Europa League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Aug 2024 - Europa League
11 Aug 2024 - Eredivisie
25 Jul 2024 - Europa League
19 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
13 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Aug 2024 - Eredivisie
8 Aug 2024 - Europa League
1 Aug 2024 - Europa League
19 May 2024 - Eredivisie
5 May 2024 - Eredivisie
7 Apr 2024 - Eredivisie
Jagiellonia Bialystok against Ajax Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 1 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Most goals and assists
Jagiellonia Bialystok
Ajax
J. Imaz Balleste
(11 Goals)
K. Taylor
(7 Goals)
,
W. Weghorst
(7 Goals)
,
J. Imaz Balleste
(5 Assists)
, 
K. Hansen
(5 Assists)
B. Brobbey
(6 Assists)
,
K. Taylor
(6 Assists)
Jagiellonia Bialystok - Ajax Key Points
- Jagiellonia have lost their last two European matches, in the Champions League qualifying this season
- Jagiellonia have lost their last three matches in a row
- Ajax won eight of their last ten matches during regular time
- In the Europa League competition, Ajax have won three of their four matches in this campaign
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Our Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Ajax Prediction
Ajax entered the record books for their win against Panathinaikos in the previous round, but that would count for nothing if they lose ground here. They are now one tie away from reaching the league phase and will bank on their superior form this season. The Dutch visitors will hope to return to Amsterdam with something in their bag, and our prediction for the Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Ajax match is a win for Ajax.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Jagiellonia Bialystok Ajax
| Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Ajax | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jagiellonia Bialystok wins | 4.2 | 15 | +257.1% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 6 | +60.0% |
| Ajax wins | 1.8 | 1.18 | -34.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Ajax is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 34.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 55.6% and is now 84.7% (29.2%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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