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Europe - Euro

Italy
20 Jun 2021 12:00
Wales

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5

 
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New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply

Italy vs Wales Prediction & Betting Tips - Euro

 by Daniel Ngulu | in Euro Predictions

So far it is hard to pick a team better than Italy at Euro 2020 and even after securing their place in the knockouts after two wins in two in Group A, they aren’t expected to slow down against Wales in the final group game. Italy thrashed a strong Switzerland 3-0 in the second game, having beaten Turkey by the same margin in the first, and go here two points better than Wales. The Azzurri have been silky and a marvel to watch in their two matches and are now unbeaten in 29 matches, their easy win over Switzerland strengthening their place as favorites to win Euro 2020. The only negative going to this game will be the injury to skipper Giorgio Chiellini who was withdrawn early against Switzerland with a suspected hamstring injury. With Italy already through, he won’t be risked for the Wales game and Francesco Acerbi should continue in the position after replacing him against Switzerland. Italy have won each of their last 10 matches ahead of this game all with clean sheets, and scored two or more goals in each of these. Their last five matches alone have seen the team score 17 goals.

Wales last met Italy in 2003, and on that occasion, Italy won 4-0. This is the first time the two nations meet in a tournament situation and Italy have won five of the six previous meetings, with Wales winning one. Going to this game we don’t expect that head to head flow to change. Wales are in a good position to proceed to the second round but gunning for three points against Italy may feel like they are pushing it too hard. They had good organization against Switzerland as they came from down to draw 1-1, and were impressive too in their 2-0 win over Turkey. In the two games though, they had shaky situations defensively and this Italy side would punish them badly. Needing just a draw to secure second place, Wales are expected to employ a defensive approach here, and hope they can use Gareth Bale’s pace and vision on the counter. The skipper was impressive against Turkey. Though he missed a penalty in the game, his two assists and vision will be remembered more. The team has one win in the last four matches and the win over Turkey served the third clean sheet in five matches and the first time in seven that they managed more than a goal in a game.

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Italy vs Wales Form

Italy and Wales's standings in the Euro

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Italy
Italy
9 3 3 0 0 7
2
Wales
Wales
4 3 1 1 1 1

Italy and Wales Last Matches

Italy
Italy Last matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
0% BTTS
3.5 Goals scored
0 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

16 Jun 2021 - Euro

Italy
3 :  0
Switzerland

11 Jun 2021 - Euro

Turkey
0 :  3
Italy

4 Jun 2021 - International Friendlies

Italy
4 :  0
Czechia

28 May 2021 - International Friendlies

Italy
7 :  0
San Marino

31 Mar 2021 - World Cup

Lithuania
0 :  2
Italy

28 Mar 2021 - World Cup

Bulgaria
0 :  2
Italy
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
0% BTTS
3.67 Goals scored
0 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

16 Jun 2021 - Euro

Italy
3 :  0
Switzerland

4 Jun 2021 - International Friendlies

Italy
4 :  0
Czechia

28 May 2021 - International Friendlies

Italy
7 :  0
San Marino

25 Mar 2021 - World Cup

Italy
2 :  0
Northern Ireland

15 Nov 2020 - UEFA Nations League

Italy
2 :  0
Poland

11 Nov 2020 - International Friendlies

Italy
4 :  0
Estonia
W D W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
0% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

11 Jun 2021 - Euro

Turkey
0 :  3
Italy

31 Mar 2021 - World Cup

Lithuania
0 :  2
Italy

28 Mar 2021 - World Cup

Bulgaria
0 :  2
Italy

18 Nov 2020 - UEFA Nations League

Bosnia Herzegovina
0 :  2
Italy

11 Oct 2020 - UEFA Nations League

Poland
0 :  0
Italy

7 Sep 2020 - UEFA Nations League

Netherlands
0 :  1
Italy
Wales
Wales Last matches
W W L D D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

16 Jun 2021 - Euro

Turkey
0 :  2
Wales

12 Jun 2021 - Euro

Wales
1 :  1
Switzerland

5 Jun 2021 - International Friendlies

Wales
0 :  0
Albania

2 Jun 2021 - International Friendlies

France
3 :  0
Wales

30 Mar 2021 - World Cup

Wales
1 :  0
Czechia

27 Mar 2021 - International Friendlies

Wales
1 :  0
Mexico
W W W W D D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

12 Jun 2021 - Euro

Wales
1 :  1
Switzerland

5 Jun 2021 - International Friendlies

Wales
0 :  0
Albania

30 Mar 2021 - World Cup

Wales
1 :  0
Czechia

27 Mar 2021 - International Friendlies

Wales
1 :  0
Mexico

18 Nov 2020 - UEFA Nations League

Wales
3 :  1
Finland

15 Nov 2020 - UEFA Nations League

Wales
1 :  0
Ireland
L D W L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

16 Jun 2021 - Euro

Turkey
0 :  2
Wales

2 Jun 2021 - International Friendlies

France
3 :  0
Wales

24 Mar 2021 - World Cup

Belgium
3 :  1
Wales

14 Oct 2020 - UEFA Nations League

Bulgaria
0 :  1
Wales

11 Oct 2020 - UEFA Nations League

Ireland
0 :  0
Wales

8 Oct 2020 - International Friendlies

England
3 :  0
Wales
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Italy against Wales Lineups: Starting 11

Italy

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

21
G. Donnarumma
25
R. Toloi
19
L. Bonucci
23
A. Bastoni
13
Emerson
12
M. Pessina
8
Jorginho
6
M. Verratti
14
F. Chiesa
9
A. Belotti
20
F. Bernardeschi
20
D. James
10
A. Ramsey
11
G. Bale
3
N. Williams
16
J. Morrell
7
J. Allen
14
C. Roberts
15
E. Ampadu
6
J. Rodon
2
C. Gunter
12
D. Ward

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

Wales

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Italy
CD Huachipato Wales
Top Goalscorer
Italy F. Chiesa (2 Goals)
Italy C. Immobile (2 Goals)
Italy L. Insigne (2 Goals)
Italy M. Locatelli (2 Goals)
Italy M. Pessina (2 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Wales K. Moore (1 Goals) Wales A. Ramsey (1 Goals) Wales C. Roberts (1 Goals)
Best assists
Italy M. Verratti (2 Assists)
Best assists
Wales G. Bale (2 Assists)

Italy - Wales Key Points

  1. Italy are unbeaten in their last 29 matches.
  2. Wales have scored more than a goal in just one of their last seven games.
  3. Wales have one win in the last four matches.
  4. Italy have 10 straight wins, all with clean sheets.
  5. Italy have scored two or more goals in each of the last 10 matches.
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Our Italy vs Wales Prediction

Wales are expected to sit back for the better part of this game and try to get Italy on the counter. A draw will work for them and with Italy already through, we don’t expect the Azzurri to push too hard. Still Italy will be better than Wales and even with key players rested, they will have better quality. Italy are not expected to be as explosive as they were in the opening two matches, with plans already underway for the second round and hoping to avoid injuries. So back this to produce under 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5

 
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Italy vs Wales Prediction
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