Europe - UEFA Nations League
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
Italy vs Poland Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
by Daniel Ngulu | in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Italy and Poland are the top dogs in Group 1 of League A and a tough battle is expected in Italy when the two nations face off on Match Day 5 of the Nations League. Italy tops the group on seven points and Poland are second with six. The two sides had winning outings in friendly matches ahead of this game and either side will be hoping to be top of the group after this clash. The tight nature of this group may shake it up greatly should these sides draw. Italy are coming from a 4-0 win over Estonia in a friendly match, which handed them their 20th straight unbeaten outing, with 15 wins therein. They have won three of their last five matches and have four clean sheets therein. Since their loss to France at home in 2016, Italy have not suffered a home loss in 24 straight matches and have found their gloss back after missing the 2018 World Cup. They head here with seven clean sheets in 11 home matches and have scored in each of their last 10 home games. In the Nations League, Italy have some improvement to make though; they have two wins and four draws in the last six matches in the competition. They have never scored more than a goal in their eight Nations League matches, and in three they have failed to score completely. At home, they have failed to win any of their four Nations League matches – all have ended in draws.
Poland, on the other hand, are coming from a 2-0 win over Ukraine in a friendly and this is the form they will want to carry to Italy. Unbeaten in the last five matches, with four wins in there, they will feel confident enough to take on this challenge. They have three straight clean sheets and have scored 12 goals in the last five matches. The only time Poland failed to score in their last five matches, it was against Italy, a game that ended 0-0. Poland heads here unbeaten in the last three Nations League games with two wins therein and have failed to score in three of their eight Nations League games, just like Italy. Away from home, they have one win in four Nations League games and with no clean sheet in the four. While it has been a good run recently for the Poles, head to head form with Italy doesn’t favor them here, having won just one of their last seven meetings with Italy. They have also failed to score in five of the seven matches against Italy, while keeping just two clean sheets.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Italy vs Poland Form
Italy and Poland's standings in the UEFA Nations League
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
|
12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 |
3
|
7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Italy and Poland Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Nov 2020 - International Friendlies
14 Oct 2020 - UEFA Nations League
11 Oct 2020 - UEFA Nations League
7 Oct 2020 - International Friendlies
7 Sep 2020 - UEFA Nations League
4 Sep 2020 - UEFA Nations League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Nov 2020 - International Friendlies
14 Oct 2020 - UEFA Nations League
7 Oct 2020 - International Friendlies
4 Sep 2020 - UEFA Nations League
18 Nov 2019 - Euro
12 Oct 2019 - Euro
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2020 - UEFA Nations League
7 Sep 2020 - UEFA Nations League
15 Nov 2019 - Euro
15 Oct 2019 - Euro
8 Sep 2019 - Euro
5 Sep 2019 - Euro
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Nov 2020 - International Friendlies
14 Oct 2020 - UEFA Nations League
11 Oct 2020 - UEFA Nations League
7 Oct 2020 - International Friendlies
7 Sep 2020 - UEFA Nations League
4 Sep 2020 - UEFA Nations League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Nov 2020 - International Friendlies
14 Oct 2020 - UEFA Nations League
11 Oct 2020 - UEFA Nations League
7 Oct 2020 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2019 - Euro
13 Oct 2019 - Euro
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Sep 2020 - UEFA Nations League
4 Sep 2020 - UEFA Nations League
16 Nov 2019 - Euro
10 Oct 2019 - Euro
6 Sep 2019 - Euro
7 Jun 2019 - Euro
Italy vs Poland Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
11 Oct 2020 - UEFA Nations League
14 Oct 2018 - UEFA Nations League
7 Sep 2018 - UEFA Nations League
Italy against Poland Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
Italy - Poland Key Points
- Italy are unbeaten in 24 home matches.
- Poland are unbeaten in the last five matches.
- Italy have seven clean sheets in 11 home matches.
- Italy have 15 wins and five draws in their last 20 matches.
- Poland have failed to score in five of seven matches against Italy.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Our Italy vs Poland Prediction
Italy have found their mojo after missing the 2018 World Cup and they have been in blistering form at home. They have dominated Poland in past matches and this will give them a psychological edge here. With a run of 20 unbeaten matches and 24 unbeaten at home, Italy will look at this as a chance to extend their lead in the group. They have seven clean sheets in 11 home matches, and will only need an improvement on their attacking in Nations League matches. They have failed to score more than one in their eight Nations League games so far, but facing a Poland side without a clean sheet in four away Nations League matches presents an opportunity for Italy. Poland may be underdogs here, but with a run of five matches unbeaten, they come with good quality. However, they have just one win in four away Nations League matches and Italy may not be the best hunting ground as they look to address that shortcoming. With their run against Italy, and especially in goal scoring, we don’t think they will prevail here, and a win for Italy seems likeliest.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings