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Italy vs North Macedonia Prediction & Betting Tips - Euro
by Devesh Jaganath in Euro Predictions
Italy and North Macedonia will face off in the hotly-contested Group C of the Euro Qualifiers on Friday. The hosts are currently in third place, while the visitors are one spot below them. England and Ukraine lead the group, while Malta are the bottom side. Italy are assured a playoff spot, having won their group at the Nations League last year. Still, they will not want to leave anything to chance and will want to get into the top two spots in their last two games of this competition. The Blues come into this match off the back of a 3-1 loss to England last month. That result ended a four-match unbeaten run and left them on ten points after six matches. The hosts trail Ukraine by three points and are six behind England. The reverse fixture between these sides ended 1-1, but the Italians will be determined to claim all three points this time on their home patch. Italy have lost only once in their last five matches at home and are strong favourites to secure another victory here.
Meanwhile, North Macedonia have kept themselves in contention for a qualification spot, but a loss here will see them exit the competition. They have recorded two wins, one draw, and three losses in their six matches, leaving them on seven points with two games left to play. However, even if they win this match, they could still be knocked out if Ukraine get a draw or better in their final group match against Italy next Monday. The Lynxes were beaten by Ukraine 2-0 in their last match in this competition but bounced back with a 3-1 friendly victory over Armenia last month. They will need to bring the same type of form into this match, though it will be difficult away to the formidable Italians. The visitors have lost four of their last five matches on the road and conceded 12 goals in that time while only scoring two. All indicators suggest they will struggle to get anything from this one.
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The Best Betting Odds for Italy v North Macedonia Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.13 | 8.5 | 21 |
|
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1.1 | 8.5 | 22 |
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|
1.14 | 9.25 | 23 |
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|
1.14 | 9.25 | 23 |
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|
1.11 | 8.8 | 24 |
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|
1.11 | 8.8 | 24 |
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1.1 | 9 | 24 |
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|
1.14 | 7.9 | 21 |
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|
1.13 | 8.95 | 23.34 |
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1.13 | 11 | 25 |
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|
1.11 | 8 | 19 |
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1.13 | 9.5 | 20 |
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|
1.12 | 9 | 26 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Italy and North Macedonia?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/11/2023 between Italy and North Macedonia in Euro :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 58.09% for a win of Italy against North Macedonia with odds of 1.14 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Italy vs North Macedonia is 20.32% with odds of 11 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.6% chance ⭐ for a win of North Macedonia vs Italy with odds of 26 at Betsson.
Italy - North Macedonia Prediction and Best Odds:
Italy North Macedonia Prediction | Probability | Odds |
---|---|---|
Italy wins | 58.09% | 1.14 at 1xbet |
Under 2.5 | 57.33% | 2.71 at Tonybet |
Both Team To Score | 53.13% | |
Half-time / Full-time : Italy/Italy | 31.57% | 1.5 at Bet365 |
Italy vs North Macedonia Form
Italy and North Macedonia's standings in the Euro
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2
|
14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 |
4
|
8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 |
Italy and North Macedonia Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Oct 2023 - Euro
14 Oct 2023 - Euro
12 Sep 2023 - Euro
9 Sep 2023 - Euro
18 Jun 2023 - UEFA Nations League
15 Jun 2023 - UEFA Nations League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Oct 2023 - Euro
12 Sep 2023 - Euro
23 Mar 2023 - Euro
23 Sep 2022 - UEFA Nations League
7 Jun 2022 - UEFA Nations League
4 Jun 2022 - UEFA Nations League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Oct 2023 - Euro
9 Sep 2023 - Euro
18 Jun 2023 - UEFA Nations League
15 Jun 2023 - UEFA Nations League
26 Mar 2023 - Euro
20 Nov 2022 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Oct 2023 - Euro
12 Sep 2023 - Euro
9 Sep 2023 - Euro
19 Jun 2023 - Euro
16 Jun 2023 - Euro
23 Mar 2023 - Euro
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Sep 2023 - Euro
16 Jun 2023 - Euro
23 Mar 2023 - Euro
26 Sep 2022 - UEFA Nations League
12 Jun 2022 - UEFA Nations League
9 Jun 2022 - UEFA Nations League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Oct 2023 - Euro
12 Sep 2023 - Euro
19 Jun 2023 - Euro
23 Sep 2022 - UEFA Nations League
5 Jun 2022 - UEFA Nations League
2 Jun 2022 - UEFA Nations League
Italy vs North Macedonia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
50 %
25 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Sep 2023 - Euro
24 Mar 2022 - World Cup
6 Oct 2017 - World Cup
9 Oct 2016 - World Cup
Italy against North Macedonia Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
Italy - North Macedonia Key Points
- Seven of Italy’s last ten matches have ended with over 2.5 goals scored
- Italy have scored two or more goals in three of their last five home matches
- Italy have only kept one clean sheet in their last six games
- North Macedonia have conceded two or more goals in three of their last five away matches
- North Macedonia are averaging above two goals conceded per match in this competition
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Our Italy vs North Macedonia Prediction
Italy are one of the shortest-priced favourites for the day and could move into second place in the group with a win here. The visitors have to win this match to stay alive in the competition, but we feel that they will struggle to contain the Italians on their home patch. Therefore, our Italy vs North Macedonia prediction: Over 2.5.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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