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Italy vs England Prediction & Betting Tips - Euro
by Joseph King | in Euro Predictions
A blockbuster matchup in the first round of the Euro 2024 qualifiers sees defending champions Italy taking on England at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona in Naples. This is the first of eight matches that each team in Group C will play, with Ukraine, Malta and North Macedonia rounding out the rest of the group. Both England and Italy will be expected to secure the two qualifying positions that are up for grabs and will likely find themselves battling it out for the top spot. These two teams have a good bit of recent history, most notably with the Italians besting the Three Lions to claim the Euro 2021 crown at Wembley.
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The Best Betting Odds for Italy v England Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.9 | 3.1 | 2.55 |
|
|
2.95 | 2.97 | 2.57 |
|
|
3.24 | 3.18 | 2.45 |
|
|
3.24 | 3.18 | 2.45 |
|
|
2.95 | 3.08 | 2.57 |
|
|
2.95 | 3.08 | 2.57 |
|
|
3.24 | 3.18 | 2.45 |
|
|
2.97 | 3.08 | 2.64 |
|
|
3 | 3.11 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.9 | 2.9 | 2.6 |
|
|
3.15 | 3.15 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.95 | 3.1 | 2.65 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.2 | 2.55 |
|
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The odds for this one are fairly close across the board although the bookmakers are leaning slightly towards England to get a result. You can back Gareth Southgate’s men at odds of 2.60 to walk away from Naples with the three points. Those looking to back the home side can get Italy at very tempting odds of 2.80 for the win. If you think the match will ultimately end in a stalemate you can get a price of 3.10 for the draw.
Italy vs England Form
Italy and England's standings in the Euro
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
20 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 18 |
|
2
|
14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 |
Italy and England Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Nov 2022 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2022 - International Friendlies
26 Sep 2022 - UEFA Nations League
23 Sep 2022 - UEFA Nations League
14 Jun 2022 - UEFA Nations League
11 Jun 2022 - UEFA Nations League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Sep 2022 - UEFA Nations League
7 Jun 2022 - UEFA Nations League
4 Jun 2022 - UEFA Nations League
1 Jun 2022 - Finalissima 2022
24 Mar 2022 - World Cup
12 Nov 2021 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Nov 2022 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2022 - International Friendlies
26 Sep 2022 - UEFA Nations League
14 Jun 2022 - UEFA Nations League
11 Jun 2022 - UEFA Nations League
29 Mar 2022 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Dec 2022 - World Cup
4 Dec 2022 - World Cup
29 Nov 2022 - World Cup
25 Nov 2022 - World Cup
21 Nov 2022 - World Cup
26 Sep 2022 - UEFA Nations League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Dec 2022 - World Cup
4 Dec 2022 - World Cup
25 Nov 2022 - World Cup
21 Nov 2022 - World Cup
26 Sep 2022 - UEFA Nations League
14 Jun 2022 - UEFA Nations League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2022 - World Cup
23 Sep 2022 - UEFA Nations League
7 Jun 2022 - UEFA Nations League
4 Jun 2022 - UEFA Nations League
15 Nov 2021 - World Cup
9 Oct 2021 - World Cup
Italy vs England Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
75 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
23 Sep 2022 - UEFA Nations League
11 Jun 2022 - UEFA Nations League
11 Jul 2021 - Euro
27 Mar 2018 - International Friendlies
Italy - England: Form Analysis
Italy’s most recent run of form has seen them have an extremely positive 2022-24 UEFA Nations League group stage. Up against the likes of Germany, Hungary and their opponents today, England, Italy would finish with three wins, two draws and one defeat to top Group A3 with 11 points. Roberto Mancini’s side has not played much since those Nations League matches, partaking in only two friendlies towards the end of 2022. The Azzurri would go on to record a 3-1 away victory over Albania before falling 2-0 away from home to Austria in their most recent outing. Italy was able to hold England to a 0-0 draw at the Molineux Stadium when the two sides met in the Nations League. The defending European champions would then go on to record a 1-0 victory in the return fixture against England thanks to a 68th minute Giancomo Raspadori strike at the San Siro in September.
England takes the field together for the first time since their heartbreaking 2-1 loss to France in the quarterfinals of the World Cup back in December of 2022. There was plenty to be encouraged about during that tournament as the Three Lions put on a number of impressive attacking displays including a 6-2 win over Iran and back-to-back 3-0 wins over Wales and Senegal. However, England’s abysmal performance in the Nations League cannot be ignored as the team would fail to register a single win in six group stage matches. The result was a bottom-place finish in Group A3 meaning that Southgate’s men will be playing the next iteration of the tournament in League B.
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Italy against England Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Italy & England Squad Analysis
Mancini will be unable to call upon his recently preferred striker Giacomo Raspadori to lead the line. Raspadori netted the winner against England in the last outing and will be a big miss for Italy as he had begun to establish his place in the starting 11, getting the nod in five consecutive matches. The 58-year-old former Manchester City boss will also be without the services of experienced Lazio striker Ciro Immobile but will be able to call upon Juventus’ Federico Chiesa, who could shoulder a large portion of the attacking responsibilities.
As for England, Gareth Southgate will unfortunately be without the in-form Marcus Rashford, who had to withdraw from the squad due to injury. Mason Mount and Nick Pope will also miss out here. Harry Kane will lead the line here and will likely be flanked by Bukayo Saka on the right and one of either Phil Foden or Jack Grealish on the left. Expect the midfield pairing of Jude Bellingham and Declan Rice behind, with the possibility of Jordan Henderson also getting the start should Southgate opt for a 4-3-3 formation instead of the 3-4-3.
Most goals and assists
Italy
England
D. Frattesi
(3 Goals)
H. Kane
(8 Goals)
N. Barella
(3 Assists)
J. Henderson
(2 Assists)
,
B. Saka
(2 Assists)
,
H. Kane
(2 Assists)
Italy - England Key Points
- Italy is unbeaten against England in the last six meetings between the two sides.
- The Italians took four points out of a possible six against England in the Nations League just a few months ago, recording a 1-0 win at home.
- Italy has a record of seven wins, three draws and two defeats on home soil dating back to the Euro 2021 tournament.
- Italy manager Roberto Mancini has an overall record of two wins, one draw and zero defeats against England manager Gareth Southgate.
- Due to the team’s disastrous Nations League performance, England has recorded only three wins in its last 11 outings across all competitions.
- Ignoring the neutral venues of the World Cup, England has only won three of its last seven away matches, with two of those wins coming against 211th ranked San Marino and 153rd ranked Andorra.
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Our Italy vs England Prediction
Four of the last five meetings between Italy and England have resulted in a draw so getting the push protection on a stalemate provides a nice safety blanket here. As previously mentioned, It will be interesting to see how England respond here in their first match since the World Cup quarterfinals defeat. A 1-1 draw could definitely be on the cards here but we believe Italy can pull out a win enough of the time to make this a profitable bet. Our Italy vs England prediction: Italy draw no bet
Italy vs England - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score
1-1 exact score
Italy vs England match : Frequently asked questions
The match between Italy and England is being played at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona Stadium, home of Serie A club Napoli in the south of the country.
Those in the UK can watch the Italy vs England match live on Channel 4. The match can also be viewed on live stream for free on All 4 or you can follow along with the action using SportyTrader’s Livescore tool.
The Euro 2024 qualifying match between Italy and England kicks off at 7:45 pm local time with coverage on Channel 4 starting at 7 pm.
The referee for the match will be 36-year-old Serbian official Srdjan Jovanovich. Jovanovich refereed the Inter vs Porto Champions League round of 16 match as well as the Manchester United vs Real Betis Europa League clash.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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