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Italy vs Ecuador Prediction & Betting Tips - International Friendlies
by Ian John in Football Predictions
Italy face Ecuador at the Red Bull Stadium in New York on Sunday night (8pm kick off). The Italians came through a tight qualifying campaign to qualify a distant second to England in their group but qualified for the finals in Germany through that. The holders of that tournament have not been in the best of form and manager Luciano Spalletti has had to oversee a new influx of players coming in to replace a number of veterans in key positions. The manager has also chastised his players for their 'addiction' to playing PlayStation games ahead of key games for the Azzuri. They defeated Venezuela 2-1 in Fort Lauderdale prior to this game where they will face an Ecuador team who are in a rich vein of form and sure to give the Italian side a real test.
Ecuador have just one defeat in their last ten games, and that came away to World Champions Argentina by a narrow 1-0 scoreline. They sit 5th in the World Cup Qualifying table for CONMEBOL, ahead of Brazil and with just one defeat in their six games. If they have an issue, it is with scoring goals as they have scored just five in their six games so far, but defensively they are very strong conceding just three goals in total in their qualifying games, only Argentina have conceded fewer. Their last 20 games has seen a total of 8 draws, six of which have been by a 0-0 scoreline, the other two by a 1-1 scoreline. In 13 of those games, one or both teams have failed to score.
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The Best Betting Odds for Italy v Ecuador Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.1 | 3.2 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.1 | 3.6 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.25 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.02 | 3.1 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.08 | 3.38 | 3.63 |
|
|
2.08 | 3.38 | 3.63 |
|
|
2.18 | 3.24 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.18 | 3.24 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.02 | 3.2 | 3.65 |
|
|
2.14 | 3.34 | 3.46 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.2 | 3.55 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.25 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.2 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.2 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.3 | 3.4 |
|
|
1 | 1 | 1 |
|
|
2.04 | 3.29 | 3.64 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Italy and Ecuador?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/03/2024 between Italy and Ecuador in International Friendlies :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.62% for a win of Italy against Ecuador with odds of 2.2 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Italy vs Ecuador is 15.77% with odds of 3.38 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 33.6% chance ⭐ for a win of Ecuador vs Italy with odds of 3.65 at Stake.
Italy - Ecuador Prediction and Best Odds:
| Italy Ecuador Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Italy wins | 50.62% | 2.2 at Betfred |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.64% | 2.5 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 61.9% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Italy/Italy | 20.57% | 3.6 at Betsson |
Italy vs Ecuador Form
Italy and Ecuador Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
20 Nov 2023 - Euro
17 Nov 2023 - Euro
17 Oct 2023 - Euro
14 Oct 2023 - Euro
12 Sep 2023 - Euro
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Nov 2023 - Euro
14 Oct 2023 - Euro
12 Sep 2023 - Euro
23 Mar 2023 - Euro
23 Sep 2022 - UEFA Nations League
7 Jun 2022 - UEFA Nations League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
20 Nov 2023 - Euro
17 Oct 2023 - Euro
9 Sep 2023 - Euro
18 Jun 2023 - UEFA Nations League
15 Jun 2023 - UEFA Nations League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
16 Nov 2023 - World Cup
17 Oct 2023 - World Cup
12 Oct 2023 - World Cup
12 Sep 2023 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
17 Oct 2023 - World Cup
12 Sep 2023 - World Cup
17 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies
29 Nov 2022 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Nov 2023 - World Cup
12 Oct 2023 - World Cup
7 Sep 2023 - World Cup
20 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2023 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2023 - International Friendlies
Players list
G. Vicario
DefenderM. Darmian
F. Dimarco
A. Bastoni
G. Mancini
R. Bellanova
MidfielderJorginho
L. Pellegrini
N. Zaniolo
N. Barella
ForwardG. Raspadori
J. Burrai
DefenderP. Hincapie
P. Estupinan
W. Pacho
A. Preciado
F. Torres
MidfielderG. Plata
A. Franco
M. Caicedo
ForwardJ. Sarmiento
A. Minda
Substitutes
G. Donnarumma
M. Carnesecchi
DefenderA. Cambiaso
G. Scalvini
G. Di Lorenzo
A. Buongiorno
MidfielderM. Locatelli
F. Chiesa
M. Zaccagni
D. Frattesi
G. Bonaventura
ForwardM. Retegui
R. Orsolini
A. Dominguez
H. Galindez
DefenderJ. Hurtado
R. Arboleda
A. Chala
L. Realpe
J. Ordonez
MidfielderJ. Ortiz
K. Paez
J. Cifuentes
J. Yeboah
C. Gruezo
A. Mena
ForwardA. Obando
J. Caicedo
Most goals and assists
Italy
Ecuador
N. Barella
(1 Goals)
,
A. Bastoni
(1 Goals)
,
M. Zaccagni
(1 Goals)
J. Sarmiento
(1 Goals)
,
A. Minda
(1 Goals)
,
K. Paez
(1 Goals)
,
K. Rodriguez
(1 Goals)
L. Pellegrini
(1 Assists)
,
R. Calafiori
(1 Assists)
C. Gruezo
(1 Assists)
,
J. Yeboah
(1 Assists)
Italy - Ecuador Key Points
- The game will be played at a neutral venue, the Red Bull Stadium in New York.
- Ecuador have not conceded a goal in any of their last four games, winning the last two of them 1-0 over Chile and 2-0 over Guatemala just a few days ago. Prior to that they drew 0-0 with both Colombia and Venezuela.
- Italy come into this game after a 2-1 win over Venezuela at the Chase Stadium in Fort Lauderdale, Florida. Mateo Retegui (40,80) scored both their goals. It means Italy are unbeaten in their last three games and have lost just one of their last eight games in all competitions.
- Ecuador have had just one defeat in their last ten games, a 1-0 away loss to Argentina back in September 2023.
- The teams have met just twice previously, Italy winning 2-0 at the FIFA World Cup in 2002, and the teams drew 1-1 in a friendly three years later in a game played in the United States.
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Our Italy vs Ecuador Prediction
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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