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Italy vs Albania Prediction & Betting Tips - Euro
by Ian John in Euro Predictions
Saturday's final Euro 2024 fixture is the second game in Group B and sees defending Champions Italy taking on underdogs Albania. Luciano Spalletti's team has not had the best times since winning Euro 2020. They failed to qualify for the 2022 FIFA World Cup, the second consecutive World Cup Finals they have missed and they finished a distant second to England in Group C, only pipping the Ukraine to second spot by having a better head-to-head record. They faced an Albania side coached by ex-Arsenal full-back Sylvinho and who were the surprise winners of Group E ahead of the Czech Republic and Poland. This would have been a straightforward task for Italy a few years back. Now it looks like a much tougher opening fixture for the Azzurri.Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
The Best Betting Odds for Italy v Albania Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1 | 41 | 501 |
|
|
1.33 | 4.2 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.61 | 2.75 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.31 | 4.4 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.01 | 29 | 501 |
|
|
1.01 | 29 | 501 |
|
|
1.33 | 4.74 | 11.5 |
|
|
1.33 | 4.74 | 11.5 |
|
|
1.39 | 4.7 | 9.2 |
|
|
1.39 | 4.54 | 8.8 |
|
|
1.41 | 4.7 | 8.6 |
|
|
1.01 | 21 | 201 |
|
|
1.38 | 5.1 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.36 | 4.6 | 9.5 |
|
|
1.31 | 5.1 | 12 |
|
|
1.02 | 19 | 91 |
|
|
1.36 | 5.2 | 10 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Italy and Albania?
Our prediction for the Italy vs Albania match is: Our prediction for the Italy v Albania Euro 2024 Group B game is that Under 2.5 Goals will be scored.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/06/2024 between Italy and Albania in Euro :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 67.71% for a win of Italy against Albania with odds of 1.61 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Italy vs Albania is 20.57% with odds of 41 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 11.72% chance ⭐ for a win of Albania vs Italy with odds of 501 at Bet365.
Italy - Albania Prediction and Best Odds:
| Italy Albania Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Italy wins | 67.71% | 1.61 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 53.53% | 1.91 at Vbet |
| Both Team To Score | 47.92% | 2.73 at Betsson |
| Half-time / Full-time : Italy/Italy | 33.1% | 2.13 at Vbet |
Italy vs Albania Form
Italy and Albania's standings in the Euro
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
|
4
|
1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 |
Italy and Albania Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
4 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
20 Nov 2023 - Euro
17 Nov 2023 - Euro
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
4 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
17 Nov 2023 - Euro
14 Oct 2023 - Euro
12 Sep 2023 - Euro
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
20 Nov 2023 - Euro
17 Oct 2023 - Euro
9 Sep 2023 - Euro
18 Jun 2023 - UEFA Nations League
15 Jun 2023 - UEFA Nations League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
3 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
20 Nov 2023 - Euro
17 Nov 2023 - Euro
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
3 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
20 Nov 2023 - Euro
12 Oct 2023 - Euro
10 Sep 2023 - Euro
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
17 Nov 2023 - Euro
7 Sep 2023 - Euro
20 Jun 2023 - Euro
27 Mar 2023 - Euro
24 Sep 2022 - UEFA Nations League
Italy vs Albania Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
16 Nov 2022 - International Friendlies
9 Oct 2017 - World Cup
24 Mar 2017 - World Cup
Italy - Albania: Form Analysis
Italy come into their opening Euro 2024 game on the back of solid form. They have lost just one of their last ten matches, a 3-1 defeat to England at Wembley. They have drawn three of those games, including a crucial 0-0 draw in Poland against Ukraine, which earned them a spot in the finals. The Azzurri are unbeaten in their last six matches, winning both their two friends in March, beating Venezuela and Ecuador, before drawing 0-0 at home to Turkey and then beating Bosnia-Herzegovina 1-0 in their final European Championships warm-up game last week. Goals have been a little thin on the ground for Italy, who have scored just five in the last five games but on a more positive note, they have conceded just one goal over that period. They also have history on their side as they have won every game that they have played against Albania.
Albania will be competing in just its second European Championships finals. They went out in the group stage back in 2016 but did earn their first victory at a European Finals with a 1-0 win over Romania. They were defeated just once in qualifying, one fewer loss than their opponents but had lost two back-to-back friends in March, losing at home to Chile 3-0 and then a 1-0 defeat away to Sweden. However, they bounced back in their final two warm-up fixtures for Euro 2024, defeating Liechtenstein 3-0 and then Azerbaijan 3-1, both games taking place in Hungary. The Albanian squad now includes a number of players playing club football at higher levels in the game, notably a number who play in Serie A in Italy including Kristjan Assllani, who is a part of Serie A Champions Inter Milan's first-team squad. It will be intriguing to see how this relatively young squad fare in what is Euro 2024's Group of Death.Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Italy against Albania Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Italy & Albania Squad Analysis
Italy's main injury news occurred before Luciano Spalletti had named his squad for the finals. Two key central defenders, Francesco Acerbi and Giorgio Scalvini were ruled out of the tournament through injury, Spalletti also decided against bringing in the likes of experienced Leonardo Spinazzola, Marco Verratti, Domenico Berardi and perhaps most surprisingly, Ciro Immobile. In-form Atalanta striker Gianluca Scamacca did earn a place in the squad. Spalletti will likely adopt a 3-4-2-1 formation, with Scamacca or Genoa frontman Mateo Retegui likely to lead the line. Key midfielder Nicolo Barella is a doubt for the opening game and may well not be risked ahead of games with Spain and Croatia.
Albania boss Sylvinho has no injury worries ahead of the game with Italy. However, the former Arsenal full-back has a couple of selection posers. Who will start in goal is one with Brentford's Thomas Strakosha battling Mergim Berisha for the starting position between the sticks. Competition for places in midfield is also strong with several potential permutations available to the manager including four players who play their club football in Italy. Armando Broja will likely be the focal point in attack for the Albanians.
Most goals and assists
Italy
Albania
N. Barella
(1 Goals)
,
A. Bastoni
(1 Goals)
,
M. Zaccagni
(1 Goals)
N. Bajrami
(1 Goals)
,
K. Gjasula
(1 Goals)
,
Q. Laci
(1 Goals)
L. Pellegrini
(1 Assists)
,
R. Calafiori
(1 Assists)
J. Asani
(1 Assists)
Italy - Albania Key Points
- There has been under 2.5 goals scored in four of Italy’s last five games.
- All of Albania’s last three matches at a Euro Finals had under 2.5 goals.
- Seven of Albania’s last 12 games have seen under 2.5 goals.
- Three of the four games played between Italy and Albania have seen under 2.5 goals
- Italy have conceded just one goal in their last five games.
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Our Italy vs Albania Prediction
Italy vs Albania - Other Interesting Predictions
Italy to win to nil
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Italy vs Albania match : Frequently asked questions
An all-German officiating team will take control of the game between Italy and Albania in Group B of Euro 2024.
Felix Zwayer will be the referee. He refereed 33 games in total this season, issuing 159 yellow cards and four red cards, two of which were straight reds.
His assistant referees will be Stefan Lupp and Marco Achmuller. Daniel Siebert is the fourth official in Dortmund, while Bastian Dankert will be the VAR official on duty for the game.
The Group B clash between Italy and Albania will be the first Euro 2024 game shown on the BBC, and the game will be shown live on BBC One.
However, if you are a punter who enjoys In-Play betting or you want to keep up with all the data and stats from the game, check out Sportytrader’s Euro 2024 Livescore page for a complete statistical breakdown of the game in real-time.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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