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Israel vs Italy Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
by Sridhar in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Italy will look to continue their winning momentum when they travel to Israel for matchday two in the 2024-25 Nations League. This Group A2 match at the Netanya Stadium on Monday is likely to end up being an exciting match full of goals.
After matchday one, Israel is third in the standings with zero points, while Italy is top with three points and thanks to their away goals. Belgium defeated Israel 3-1 away from home in the first match, scoring two goals after the break. That was a third loss in four matches for the Israelis, who have shipped at least three goals in each of those defeats. That wasn’t a good start for a team that’s making its debut in Group A after earning promotion in the last edition.
It was their fifth Nations League game in a row that featured over 2.5 goals, which could once again be the case here. Their opponents Italy are coming here with the confidence of a 3-1 win over France in Paris that was the highlight of matchday one. That came after conceding one of the fastest goals in the history of European competitions, but three goals from the 30th minute onwards gave them a stunning win.
This was a welcome result after the Italians crashed out of Euro 2024 in the last 16 round. It marked their fourth win out of the last five matches in this competition, with only a loss to Spain blotting their record in this sequence.
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The Best Betting Odds for Israel v Italy Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7.5 | 5 | 1.38 |
|
|
7 | 3.1 | 1.53 |
|
|
7.98 | 5.13 | 1.41 |
|
|
7.98 | 5.13 | 1.41 |
|
|
8.25 | 5 | 1.37 |
|
|
9.7 | 5.5 | 1.3 |
|
|
9.7 | 5.5 | 1.3 |
|
|
9.2 | 5.6 | 1.33 |
|
|
10.5 | 5.65 | 1.28 |
|
|
9.8 | 5.6 | 1.31 |
|
|
8.7 | 5.1 | 1.38 |
|
|
8.5 | 5 | 1.33 |
|
|
9.05 | 5.25 | 1.35 |
|
|
9 | 4.75 | 1.33 |
|
|
9.5 | 5 | 1.36 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Israel and Italy?
Our prediction for the Israel vs Italy match is: Over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/09/2024 between Israel and Italy in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 23.66% for a win of Israel against Italy with odds of 10.5 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Israel vs Italy is 25.35% with odds of 5.65 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 50.99% chance ⭐ for a win of Italy vs Israel with odds of 1.53 at Ladbrokes.
Israel - Italy Prediction and Best Odds:
| Israel Italy Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Italy wins | 50.99% | 1.53 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 51.19% | 2.34 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 60.42% | 2.05 at William Hill |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Italy | 25.73% | 4.25 at Unibet |
Israel vs Italy Form
Israel and Italy's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
13 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
|
4
|
4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -8 |
Israel and Italy Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2024 - Euro
21 Nov 2023 - Euro
18 Nov 2023 - Euro
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2024 - Euro
18 Nov 2023 - Euro
15 Nov 2023 - Euro
12 Sep 2023 - Euro
19 Jun 2023 - Euro
25 Mar 2023 - Euro
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - Euro
12 Nov 2023 - Euro
9 Sep 2023 - Euro
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
29 Jun 2024 - Euro
24 Jun 2024 - Euro
20 Jun 2024 - Euro
15 Jun 2024 - Euro
9 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Jun 2024 - Euro
9 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
4 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
17 Nov 2023 - Euro
14 Oct 2023 - Euro
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
29 Jun 2024 - Euro
24 Jun 2024 - Euro
20 Jun 2024 - Euro
21 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
20 Nov 2023 - Euro
Israel vs Italy Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
5 Sep 2017 - World Cup
5 Sep 2016 - World Cup
Israel against Italy Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 5 - 1 - 1
Most goals and assists
Israel
Italy
M. Abu Fani
(2 Goals)
D. Frattesi
(3 Goals)
O. Gloukh
(1 Assists)
F. Dimarco
(4 Assists)
Israel - Italy Key Points
- Israel’s last four matches have produced over 2.5 goals
- The last five Nations League matches have all produced at least three goals each time
- Italy’s last three Nations League matches have all seen more than two goals scored
- Four of Italy’s last five away Nations League matches have all seen three or more goals scored
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Our Israel vs Italy Prediction
The stunning win in Paris has put Italy at the forefront of things in a group that has all the signs of being a group of death. A win against Israel here will further increase their chances of promotion, but Italy won’t take things for granted. Israel is likely to put a strong case at home, which promises goals in this exciting encounter. Our prediction for Israel vs Italy is for over 2.5 goals to be scored.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Israel Italy
| Israel vs Italy | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Israel wins | 7.5 | 7.5 | 0% |
| Draw | 4.75 | 5 | +5.3% |
| Italy wins | 1.38 | 1.38 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Italy is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 72.5% and is now 72.5% (0.0%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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