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Ireland vs England Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
by Ian John | in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Nations League action comes to Dublin on Saturday evening as the Republic of Ireland host England in their opening match of Group B2. The Boys in Green have proven to be stubborn opponents for the Three Lions over the years, so will our prediction back another close game between the two? It is certainly an acid test for caretaker England head coach Lee Carsley, whose first match in charge is against the national team he represents 40 times as a player.
The Republic of Ireland dispensed with Stephen Kenny as manager in the summer and replaced him with Heimir Hallgrimsson, the Icelandic manager who led Iceland to the quarterfinals of Euro 2018. Hallgrimsson famously coached his Iceland team to a win over England in the knockout phase of that tournament and he will be keen to repeat that in his first game as Ireland's head coach.
It is also a debut game for caretaker England boss Lee Carsley. He replaced Gareth Southgate in the summer following England's second successive European Championship Final defeat against Spain. It will be interesting to see how Carsley approaches this game tactically, especially given that it will likely be England's toughest away game in the group.
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The Best Betting Odds for Ireland v England Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.5 | 3.9 | 1.55 |
|
|
5.5 | 2.62 | 1.8 |
|
|
7.85 | 4.3 | 1.51 |
|
|
7.85 | 4.3 | 1.51 |
|
|
7 | 4.2 | 1.47 |
|
|
7 | 4.2 | 1.49 |
|
|
7 | 4.2 | 1.49 |
|
|
6.4 | 4.1 | 1.51 |
|
|
7.6 | 4.16 | 1.47 |
|
|
7 | 4.3 | 1.51 |
|
|
6.6 | 3.92 | 1.59 |
|
|
6.5 | 3.8 | 1.53 |
|
|
6.4 | 4.3 | 1.5 |
|
|
6 | 3.7 | 1.5 |
|
|
7.5 | 4 | 1.52 |
|
|
7 | 3.8 | 1.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Ireland and England?
Our prediction for the Ireland vs England match is: England to win and Under 2.5 Goals to be scored.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/09/2024 between Ireland and England in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 14.47% for a win of Ireland against England with odds of 7.85 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Ireland vs England is 28.33% with odds of 4.3 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 57.21% chance ⭐ for a win of England vs Ireland with odds of 1.8 at Ladbrokes.
Ireland - England Prediction and Best Odds:
| Ireland England Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| England wins | 57.21% | 1.8 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.05% | 2.2 at Betway |
| Both Team To Score | 54.17% | 2.3 at Betsson |
| Half-time / Full-time: England/England | 24.27% | 2.5 at Bet365 |
Ireland vs England Form
Ireland and England's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
15 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 |
|
3
|
6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -9 |
Ireland and England Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
4 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2023 - Euro
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - International Friendlies
13 Oct 2023 - Euro
10 Sep 2023 - Euro
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2023 - Euro
16 Oct 2023 - Euro
7 Sep 2023 - Euro
16 Jun 2023 - Euro
20 Nov 2022 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jul 2024 - Euro
10 Jul 2024 - Euro
6 Jul 2024 - Euro
30 Jun 2024 - Euro
25 Jun 2024 - Euro
20 Jun 2024 - Euro
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jul 2024 - Euro
30 Jun 2024 - Euro
25 Jun 2024 - Euro
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
3 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jul 2024 - Euro
10 Jul 2024 - Euro
20 Jun 2024 - Euro
16 Jun 2024 - Euro
20 Nov 2023 - Euro
12 Sep 2023 - International Friendlies
Ireland vs England Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
12 Nov 2020 - International Friendlies
Ireland - England: Form Analysis
Coming into the opening fixture of the Nations League, Ireland's form isn't particularly impressive. They have won just one of their last six games, a 2-1 win over Hungary back in June. In that six-game period they have lost to the Netherlands, Switzerland and Portugal, the latter a 3-0 loss in their most recent fixture.
They drew 1-1 with New Zealand in Stephen Kenny's final game as manager but did follow that with a 0-0 home draw with Belgium. However, that win over Hungary apart, Ireland's most recent wins have come against the likes of Gibraltar, Malta, Latvia and Armenia.
England were relegated to Nations League B in the last tournament.
They finished bottom of their group in League A last time out. In a way, that has helped Lee Carsley out a little as he won't face one of Europe's big guns in his opening fixture.
After stuttering throughout the Euros to reach the Final, England again underwhelmed, losing 2-1 to Spain in a game that the Spanish fully deserved to win. Results were not a problem for his predecessor, Gareth Southgate, but getting consistent attacking performances from England's best attacking talents certainly was.
Following a dismal Nations League performance last time, Carsley will be hoping England stamp their authority on the game and take what could prove to be a vital three points here.
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Ireland against England Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Ireland & England Squad Analysis
Head coach Hallgrimsson has chosen a blend of experienced and inexperienced squad for the game with England. Experienced defenders Shane Duffy and Enda Stevens, who both featured against Portugal, are left out of the squad. Southampton goalkeeper Gavin Bazunu misses out through injury.
New Ipswich Town signing Sammie Szmodics has been called up and could earn his fifth cap, while Brighton youngster Evan Ferguson has been recalled.
Ferguson is arguably the biggest talent in this Republic squad.
The new manager has called up Leicester midfielder Kasey McAteer and he could earn his first cap in this game. Caoimhin Kelleher of Liverpool is likely to deputize for Bazunu in goal for the Irish.
England manager Lee Carsley named four new players in his squad for this game. Newcastle defender Tino Livramento, midfielders Morgan Gibbs-White (Nottingham Forest) and Angel Gomes (Lille) as well as Chelsea's in-form striker Noni Madueke.
However, Carsley has seen three key players withdrawn from the squad:
Phil Foden, Ollie Watkins and Cole Palmer reported injured.
Kieran Trippier retired from international football following the Euros, while Kyle Walker's lack of fitness and game time at Manchester City saw him left out of the squad.
Jude Bellingham is absent through injury, while Marcus Rashford, Luke Shaw, Lewis Dunk, Joe Gomez, Ivan Toney, James Maddison and Adam Wharton were not selected for Carsley's first squad as England manager.
Most goals and assists
Ireland
England
R. Brady
(1 Goals)
,
L. Scales
(1 Goals)
,
E. Ferguson
(1 Goals)
H. Kane
(3 Goals)
R. Brady
(1 Assists)
,
F. Ebosele
(1 Assists)
,
M. Johnston
(1 Assists)
N. Madueke
(2 Assists)
,
J. Bellingham
(2 Assists)
Ireland - England Key Points
- England have not lost any of the last seven against the Republic of Ireland.
- Ireland have won just one of their last six matches, drawing two, losing three.
- Nine of England's last 13 games have seen under 2.5 goals scored.
- Five of Ireland's last eight games have seen under 2.5 goals scored.
- Only three of 17 matches between the two teams have seen over 2.5 goals scored.
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Our Ireland vs England Prediction
Our prediction for the Republic of Ireland vs. England Nations League Group B2 match is: England to win and Under 2.5 Goals to be scored.
Historically, this fixture has always been a very close game, of relatively few goals. However, while England have improved over the last decade or so, the Republic of Ireland have struggled for form. Their recent form is poor, especially at home, whereas England's form is solid if unspectacular. The data suggests another tight game with few goals, but a likely win for the visiting England team.
Ireland vs England - Other Interesting Predictions
Harry Kane (England) to score at any time.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Ireland England
| Ireland vs England | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ireland wins | 6.25 | 6.5 | +4.0% |
| Draw | 4.1 | 3.9 | -4.9% |
| England wins | 1.5 | 1.55 | +3.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- England is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 3.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 66.7% and is now 64.5% (-2.2%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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