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Inter Milan vs Roma Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Inter Milan
27/04/2025 09:00
Roma

Prediction :

 

AS Roma to win and under 2.5 goals

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions

Inter Milan have had a tough run in recent weeks, and things aren’t about to get easier as they prepare to host AS Roma. The two giants meet in the 34th round of matches in Serie A, with Inter leading the standings while Roma are seventh. We have a prediction for this match below.

Inter Milan’s title defence has hit some rocky waters, and they head into this game having lost their advantage at the league summit. At 71 points, they are tied with Napoli, who have an inferior goal difference. There’s, therefore, very little, if any, room for error. Roma, on the other hand, should feel disappointed to not have broken into the European football spots as yet.

The visitors have done well since Claudio Ranieri took charge but somehow suffer a setback just when they are about to rise into the top six. Roma have put up a 17-match unbeaten league run ahead of this game, and a win could push them as high as fourth.


 

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The Best Betting Odds for Inter Milan v Roma Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.73 3.8 4.75
Betfred
1.73 3.75 4.6
Ladbrokes
2 2.5 4.33
NetBet
1.73 3.7 4.6
1xbet
1.79 3.96 4.89
Check all Inter Milan vs Roma odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Inter Milan and Roma?

Our prediction for the Inter Milan vs Roma match is: AS Roma to win and under 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/04/2025 between Inter Milan and Roma in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.15% for a win of Inter Milan against Roma with odds of 2 at Ladbrokes.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Inter Milan vs Roma is 23.57% with odds of 3.96 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 31.28% chance ⭐ for a win of Roma vs Inter Milan with odds of 4.89 at 1xbet.

Inter Milan vs Roma Form

Inter Milan and Roma's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Inter Milan
Inter Milan
71 33 21 8 4 40
7
Roma
Roma
57 33 16 9 8 16

Inter Milan and Roma Last Matches

Inter Milan
Inter Milan Last matches
D W W D L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

23 Apr 2025 - Coppa Italia

Inter Milan
0 :  3
AC Milan

20 Apr 2025 - Serie A

Bologna
1 :  0
Inter Milan

16 Apr 2025 - Champions League

Inter Milan
2 :  2
Bayern Munich

12 Apr 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
3 :  1
Cagliari

8 Apr 2025 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
1 :  2
Inter Milan

5 Apr 2025 - Serie A

Parma
2 :  2
Inter Milan
W W W W D L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

23 Apr 2025 - Coppa Italia

Inter Milan
0 :  3
AC Milan

16 Apr 2025 - Champions League

Inter Milan
2 :  2
Bayern Munich

12 Apr 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
3 :  1
Cagliari

30 Mar 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
2 :  1
Udinese

11 Mar 2025 - Champions League

Inter Milan
2 :  1
Feyenoord

8 Mar 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
3 :  2
Monza
W W D D W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

20 Apr 2025 - Serie A

Bologna
1 :  0
Inter Milan

8 Apr 2025 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
1 :  2
Inter Milan

5 Apr 2025 - Serie A

Parma
2 :  2
Inter Milan

2 Apr 2025 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
1 :  1
Inter Milan

16 Mar 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  2
Inter Milan

5 Mar 2025 - Champions League

Feyenoord
0 :  2
Inter Milan
Roma
Roma Last matches
L W W D D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

19 Apr 2025 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  0
Hellas Verona

13 Apr 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  1
Roma

6 Apr 2025 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  1
Juventus

29 Mar 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  1
Roma

16 Mar 2025 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  0
Cagliari

13 Mar 2025 - Europa League

Athletic Bilbao
3 :  1
Roma
W W W W D W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

19 Apr 2025 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  0
Hellas Verona

6 Apr 2025 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  1
Juventus

16 Mar 2025 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  0
Cagliari

6 Mar 2025 - Europa League

Roma
2 :  1
Athletic Bilbao

2 Mar 2025 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  1
Como 1907

24 Feb 2025 - Serie A

Roma
4 :  0
Monza
D W W L W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

13 Apr 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  1
Roma

29 Mar 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  1
Roma

13 Mar 2025 - Europa League

Athletic Bilbao
3 :  1
Roma

9 Mar 2025 - Serie A

Empoli
0 :  1
Roma

16 Feb 2025 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  1
Roma

13 Feb 2025 - Europa League

Porto
1 :  1
Roma

Inter Milan vs Roma Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Inter Milan

83 %

Draw

0 %

Roma

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.83
Total goals
50%
BTTS
2
Goals scored (Team 1)
0.83
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

20 Oct 2024 - Serie A

Roma
0 :  1
Inter Milan

10 Feb 2024 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  4
Inter Milan

29 Oct 2023 - Serie A

Inter Milan
1 :  0
Roma

6 May 2023 - Serie A

Roma
0 :  2
Inter Milan

1 Oct 2022 - Serie A

Inter Milan
1 :  2
Roma

23 Apr 2022 - Serie A

Inter Milan
3 :  1
Roma
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Inter Milan - Roma: Form Analysis

Inter Milan’s hopes for a treble were dashed on Wednesday as they fell 3-0 to archrivals AC Milan in the Coppa Italia. The two giants faced off in the two-legged semi-final, with AC Milan claiming a 4-1 aggregate win.

Now Inter are left with the league and Champions League to play for. Neither of those fronts promises an easy route, yet the pressure is already mounting for Nerazzurri. Simone Inzaghi’s men come into this match winless in the last three outings.

Before their loss to AC Milan, they had suffered a 1-0 loss at Bologna in the league. Once a defensively solid side, Inter have lost that touch lately. In their last 11 matches across all competitions, they managed just one clean sheet.

Inter have four straight wins against Roma. 

AS Roma are in good shape coming into this game and will have reason to imagine they can edge this. After back-to-back draws, they rose to beat Verona 1-0 last time out.

Roma haven't been scoring a lot of goals but have been so sound defensively. In their last 10 league matches, they’ve won seven times by one-goal margins. Claudio Ranieri’s side is unbeaten in the last 17 Serie A outings, and in that run, they managed to score more than a goal in just seven matches.

Mid-December was the last time they lost a league match, and the visitors will be confident of breaking Inter Milan’s dominance in this fixture.

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Inter Milan vs Roma last Lineups

Inter Milan

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

13
J. Martinez
31
Y. Bisseck
6
S. de Vrij
95
A. Bastoni
36
M. Darmian
23
N. Barella
21
K. Asllani
22
H. Mkhitaryan
32
F. Dimarco
10
L. Martinez
99
M. Taremi
14
E. Shomurodov
56
A. Saelemaekers
35
T. Baldanzi
18
M. Soule
17
M. Kone
4
B. Cristante
3
Angelino
5
E. N Dicka
23
G. Mancini
19
Z. Celik
99
M. Svilar

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Roma

Missing players

Inter Milan
Inter Milan
Defender

D. Dumfries

A. Bastoni

Midfielder

P. Zielinski

H. Mkhitaryan

Forward

M. Thuram

Roma
Roma
Defender

S. Abdulhamid

V. Nelsson

Forward

A. Dovbyk

S. El Shaarawy

P. Dybala

Inter Milan & Roma Squad Analysis

Inter Milan will know they can’t afford any more slip-ups, and Simone Inzaghi will still have a tough balancing act with the injuries and suspensions. The absence of Marcus Thuram, their leading scorer, has not only hurt the team but also denied Lautaro Martinez a strike partner.

The two have been coordinating superbly in attack and have great chemistry, which has seen them score a combined 24 goals. For now the Frenchman remains doubtful with a muscular injury.

Inter will also be without Denzel Dumfries as well as the suspended duo Alessandro Bastoni and Henrikh Mkhitaryan.

Roma’s Paulo Dybala is out for the season.

If there is a player who will come into focus in this game on the Roma side, it has to be goalkeeper Mile Svilar. The Serbian has kept 13 clean sheets in his 33 matches in the league this season.

He has faced 138 shots in his time in goal in the current campaign but produced a save percentage of 76%. No wonder Roma have opened negotiations to hand him a fresh contract.

Svilar will hope to stop the marauding Inter Milan forward line, which is led by Lautaro Martinez. Upfront, Paulo Dybala remains a long-term absentee with a hamstring injury, and we are not likely to see him again this season.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Inter Milan
CD Huachipato Roma
Top Goalscorer
Argentina L. Martinez (20 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Ukraine A. Dovbyk (13 Goals)
Best assists
Italy F. Dimarco (8 Assists)
Italy N. Barella (8 Assists)
Best assists
Argentina P. Dybala (4 Assists)

Inter Milan and Roma Stats in Serie A

Inter Milan
Inter Milan
Roma
Roma
64%
Victories
48%
24%
Draw
27%
12%
Defeats
24%
3.15
Total goals per match
2.42
2.18
Goals scored per match
1.45
0.97
Goals conceded per match
0.97
61%
Over 2.5
39%
39%
Under 2.5
61%
52%
BTTS
48%
39%
No goals conceded
39%

Inter Milan - Roma Key Points

  1. Inter Milan have failed to score in their last two matches.
  2. Roma are unbeaten in 17 league matches, winning 12 of them.
  3. Nine of Roma’s last 11 league matches produced under 2.5 goals.
  4. Inter Milan are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.
  5. Three of the last four meetings between these teams had under 2.5 goals.
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Our Inter Milan vs Roma Prediction

Inter Milan are going through a tough period, and getting to face Roma will not count as an easier outing. In their last two matches, Inter Milan failed to score, and here they get to face a sturdy defensive side. Inter themselves have lost their defensive solidity of the past weeks, keeping just two clean sheets in the last 12 league matches.

Roma will be looking to pile the misery on them, and with a 17-game unbeaten run in the league, they have the belief. Our prediction for Inter Milan v AS Roma is for AS Roma to win and under 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

AS Roma to win and under 2.5 goals

 
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Inter Milan vs Roma - Other Interesting Predictions

Roma to keep a clean sheet

Odds 5

In their last 10 league matches, Roma have conceded just three goals. In no game have they conceded twice out of those 10 outings. The fact that Inter Milan will be missing their leading scorer further convinces us that the hosts might struggle in attack.

They haven't scored in their last two matches, and it will be tough here too. Our second prediction for this match is for Roma to keep a clean sheet.

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Inter Milan vs Roma match : Frequently asked questions

The Inter Milan v Roma match will be played on Sunday, April 27.

The Inter Milan v Roma match will be played at the San Siro Stadium in Milan.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Inter Milan vs Roma Prediction
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