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Inter Milan vs Napoli Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
by Daniel Ngulu in Serie A Predictions
In the first, real pivotal moment of the Italian Serie A title race, Inter Milan are set to welcome Napoli to the Giuseppe Meazza Stadium on Sunday. This is a top of the table clash with one point separating I Nerazzurri and Gli Azzurri. Table topping Napoli will be looking to go four points clear while Inter Milan are eyeing three points to go top.
It could still be too early to make the title call but a win here will go a long way. Read on for our preview, the stats and a prediction for the match. Inter Milan are coming from a triumphant home outing in the Champions League.
That stretched their unbeaten run to nine matches, and eight of them being wins. Napoli, on the other hand, had a free midweek and should come here refreshed and ready to bounce back after their weekend loss at home.
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The Best Betting Odds for Inter Milan v Napoli Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.8 | 3.7 | 4.33 |
|
|
2.05 | 2.5 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.82 | 3.79 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.82 | 3.79 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.81 | 3.7 | 4.3 |
|
|
1.89 | 3.75 | 4.1 |
|
|
1.85 | 3.7 | 4.12 |
|
|
1.81 | 3.65 | 4.1 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.75 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.76 | 3.8 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.6 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.7 | 4.4 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.6 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.85 | 3.74 | 4.7 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Inter Milan and Napoli?
Our prediction for the Inter Milan vs Napoli match is: Under 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/11/2024 between Inter Milan and Napoli in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.82% for a win of Inter Milan against Napoli with odds of 2.05 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Inter Milan vs Napoli is 22.4% with odds of 3.8 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.78% chance ⭐ for a win of Napoli vs Inter Milan with odds of 4.7 at Vbet.
Inter Milan - Napoli Prediction and Best Odds:
| Inter Milan Napoli Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Inter Milan wins | 47.82% | 2.05 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.73% | 1.98 at Vbet |
| Both Team To Score | 32.08% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Inter Milan | 23.01% | 4.75 at Bet365 |
Inter Milan vs Napoli Form
Inter Milan and Napoli's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
38 | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 14 |
|
3
|
34 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 25 |
Inter Milan and Napoli Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Nov 2024 - Champions League
3 Nov 2024 - Serie A
30 Oct 2024 - Serie A
27 Oct 2024 - Serie A
23 Oct 2024 - Champions League
20 Oct 2024 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Nov 2024 - Champions League
3 Nov 2024 - Serie A
27 Oct 2024 - Serie A
5 Oct 2024 - Serie A
1 Oct 2024 - Champions League
22 Sep 2024 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Oct 2024 - Serie A
23 Oct 2024 - Champions League
20 Oct 2024 - Serie A
28 Sep 2024 - Serie A
18 Sep 2024 - Champions League
15 Sep 2024 - Serie A
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Nov 2024 - Serie A
29 Oct 2024 - Serie A
26 Oct 2024 - Serie A
20 Oct 2024 - Serie A
4 Oct 2024 - Serie A
29 Sep 2024 - Serie A
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Nov 2024 - Serie A
26 Oct 2024 - Serie A
4 Oct 2024 - Serie A
29 Sep 2024 - Serie A
26 Sep 2024 - Coppa Italia
31 Aug 2024 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2024 - Serie A
20 Oct 2024 - Serie A
21 Sep 2024 - Serie A
15 Sep 2024 - Serie A
18 Aug 2024 - Serie A
17 May 2024 - Serie A
Inter Milan vs Napoli Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
17 Mar 2024 - Serie A
22 Jan 2024 - Super Cup
3 Dec 2023 - Serie A
21 May 2023 - Serie A
4 Jan 2023 - Serie A
12 Feb 2022 - Serie A
Inter Milan - Napoli: Form Analysis
Inter Milan will welcome the prospect of playing a third straight home match. They won the first two and look set to go 10 matches unbeaten. In their most recent, they had to fight hard for a 1-0 win against Arsenal in the Champions League.
In a game that Arsenal had big pockets of domination, it was Inter Milan’s defensive discipline that stood out. The hosts have six clean sheets in their last eight matches. That run was only disrupted by a 4-4 draw with Juventus and a 3-2 win over Torino.
To emphasize on their defensive shape, Inter managed four 1-0 wins inside their last six matches. In 21 home league matches, they lost just once.
Inter Milan are unbeaten in their last five matches against Napoli.
Napoli will go into this game keen on reestablishing their four-point lead that was disrupted in their loss last time out. Antonio Conte’s men are smarting from a 3-0 home defeat to Atalanta, which halted a six-game winning run.
Conte’s teams rarely lose by that margin, yet this was the second this season and it is a real concern. The manager will be rallying his charges to avoid a consecutive league loss for the first time since December 2023.
The league leaders will have to rise above the loss very fast, with a number of tough matches lined up after this. They will be up against an unpredictable Roma, then Torino and after that a double header with Lazio in the Serie A and Coppa Italia.
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Players list
Y. Sommer
DefenderB. Pavard
F. Acerbi
S. De Vrij
D. Dumfries
M. Darmian
MidfielderN. Barella
P. Zielinski
H. Mkhitaryan
ForwardM. Arnautovic
M. Taremi
A. Meret
DefenderG. Di Lorenzo
A. Rrahmani
A. Buongiorno
M. Olivera
MidfielderF. Anguissa
S. Lobotka
S. Mctominay
ForwardC. Ngonge
G. Simeone
K. Kvaratskhelia
Substitutes
J. Martinez
R. Di Gennaro
DefenderM. Darmian
S. De Vrij
T. Palacios
Y. Bisseck
MidfielderP. Zielinski
K. Asllani
T. Buchanan
D. Frattesi
ForwardM. Arnautovic
J. Correa
M. Taremi
E. Caprile
N. Contini
DefenderJ. Jesus
L. Spinazzola
P. Mazzocchi
R. Marin
MidfielderS. Lobotka
G. Simeone
G. Raspadori
D. Neres
A. Zerbin
C. Ngonge
Inter Milan & Napoli Squad Analysis
Simone Inzaghi will be expected to make changes to the Inter team after their hard-fought win over Arsenal in the Champions League. Nicolo Barella, Federico Dimarco, Marcus Thuram, Francesco Acerbi and Henrikh Mkhitaryan all started from the bench in the midweek game.
A few shake-ups could see some of these names start on Sunday. Hakan Calhanoglu got his first start since recovering from a thigh injury and was superb in the match. He could, however, be among the players to make way. What’s more for Inter Milan, only Carlos Augusto is unavailable through injury.
Romelu Lukaku and Matteo Politano will line up against their former employers.
Napoli will line up their best too, hoping the extended rest has done them a world of good. In this encounter, Inter Milan will be facing a number of their former employees. This includes Romelu Lukaku and Matteo Politano while Khvicha Kvaratskhelia will once again lead the attack.
Most goals and assists
Inter Milan
Napoli
M. Thuram
(12 Goals)
R. Lukaku
(6 Goals)
H. Mkhitaryan
(4 Assists)
, 
F. Dimarco
(4 Assists)
,
A. Bastoni
(4 Assists)
D. Neres
(4 Assists)
,
R. Lukaku
(4 Assists)
Inter Milan - Napoli Key Points
- Three of Napoli’s last five matches had under 2.5 goals.
- Napoli’s last five matches averaged 2.2 goals.
- Inter Milan won 1-0 in four of their last six matches.
- Seven of the last 10 meetings between these two had under 2.5 goals.
- Napoli’s last five away matches produced an average of 2.0 goals.
- Both Napoli and Inter had three clean sheets in the last five matches.
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Our Inter Milan vs Napoli Prediction
This match is set to feature two prolific attackers; Lautaro Martinez and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia. It is likely all the attention will be on the two, but in reality it should be on the defences. Look at the number of clean sheets these teams have been keeping.
That is by the sheer performance of the defences as these teams’ matches aren’t really high-scoring. Given we expect another defensive masterclass, our prediction for Inter Milan v Napoli is for under 2.5 goals.
Inter Milan vs Napoli - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score: NO
Still sticking with the defences, we expect that both will be well marshaled like it has been the case in most matches. Napoli have three clean sheets in five matches and Inter have four. The same defences are the ones we are banking on. Our second prediction is for at least one of the teams to fail to score.
2 Goals Ahead Early Payout
More than 80 leagues and competitions are available on this football promotion from bet365. If the team that you have backed takes a two-goal lead at any point in the game, then your bet is a winner. This counts on both single bets and on multiple placed on the full time market, though of course on a multiple it is only the game in question that is marked as a winner, all the other selections still have to win as well.
A bet placed on any enhanced price is not valid for this offer, nor any bet that is cashed out. If you have partially chased out, the remainder of the stake is paid out as a winner. If your acca selection would have been a loser but for this offer then you will not gain any acca boost winnings. So for example, your team goes 2-0 up so you are paid out as a winner but the end result is 2-2, your bet is still a winner if all the other selections win but you do not gain any acca boost.
Inter Milan vs Napoli match : Frequently asked questions
The Inter Milan v Napoli match will be staged on Sunday 10 November.
The Inter Milan v Napoli match will be played at the San Siro Stadium in Milan.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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