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Italy - Serie A

Inter Milan
10 Nov 2024 14:45
Napoli

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5

 
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Inter Milan vs Napoli Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

 by Daniel Ngulu in Serie A Predictions

In the first, real pivotal moment of the Italian Serie A title race, Inter Milan are set to welcome Napoli to the Giuseppe Meazza Stadium on Sunday. This is a top of the table clash with one point separating I Nerazzurri and Gli Azzurri. Table topping Napoli will be looking to go four points clear while Inter Milan are eyeing three points to go top. 

It could still be too early to make the title call but a win here will go a long way. Read on for our preview, the stats and a prediction for the match. Inter Milan are coming from a triumphant home outing in the Champions League. 

That stretched their unbeaten run to nine matches, and eight of them being wins. Napoli, on the other hand, had a free midweek and should come here refreshed and ready to bounce back after their weekend loss at home.

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The Best Betting Odds for Inter Milan v Napoli Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.8 3.7 4.33
Ladbrokes
2.05 2.5 4.2
1xbet
1.82 3.79 4.6
22bet
1.82 3.79 4.6
Betobet
1.81 3.7 4.3
Stake
1.89 3.75 4.1
Melbet
1.85 3.7 4.12
Tonybet
1.81 3.65 4.1
Vbet
1.85 3.74 4.7
Betway
1.75 3.75 4.5
Unibet
1.76 3.8 4.6
Betfair
1.75 3.6 4.6
Betsson
1.8 3.7 4.4
William Hill
1.83 3.6 4.33
Check all Inter Milan vs Napoli odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Inter Milan and Napoli?

Our prediction for the Inter Milan vs Napoli match is: Under 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/11/2024 between Inter Milan and Napoli in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.82% for a win of Inter Milan against Napoli with odds of 2.05 at Ladbrokes.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Inter Milan vs Napoli is 22.4% with odds of 3.8 at Unibet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 29.78% chance ⭐ for a win of Napoli vs Inter Milan with odds of 4.7 at Vbet.

Inter Milan - Napoli Prediction and Best Odds:

Inter Milan Napoli Prediction Probability Odds
Inter Milan wins 47.82% 2.05 at Ladbrokes
Over 2.5 goals 55.73% 1.98 at Vbet
Both Team To Score 32.08% 1.83 at Betway
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Inter Milan 23.01% 4.75 at Bet365

Inter Milan vs Napoli Form

Inter Milan and Napoli's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Napoli
Napoli
26 12 8 2 2 10
4
Inter Milan
Inter Milan
25 12 7 4 1 12

Inter Milan and Napoli Last Matches

Inter Milan
Inter Milan Last matches
W W D W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

6 Nov 2024 - Champions League

Inter Milan
1 :  0
Arsenal

3 Nov 2024 - Serie A

Inter Milan
1 :  0
Venezia

30 Oct 2024 - Serie A

Empoli
0 :  3
Inter Milan

27 Oct 2024 - Serie A

Inter Milan
4 :  4
Juventus

23 Oct 2024 - Champions League

BSC Young Boys
0 :  1
Inter Milan

20 Oct 2024 - Serie A

Roma
0 :  1
Inter Milan
L W W D W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

6 Nov 2024 - Champions League

Inter Milan
1 :  0
Arsenal

3 Nov 2024 - Serie A

Inter Milan
1 :  0
Venezia

27 Oct 2024 - Serie A

Inter Milan
4 :  4
Juventus

5 Oct 2024 - Serie A

Inter Milan
3 :  2
Torino FC

1 Oct 2024 - Champions League

Inter Milan
4 :  0
Red Star Belgrade

22 Sep 2024 - Serie A

Inter Milan
1 :  2
AC Milan
D D W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

30 Oct 2024 - Serie A

Empoli
0 :  3
Inter Milan

23 Oct 2024 - Champions League

BSC Young Boys
0 :  1
Inter Milan

20 Oct 2024 - Serie A

Roma
0 :  1
Inter Milan

28 Sep 2024 - Serie A

Udinese
2 :  3
Inter Milan

18 Sep 2024 - Champions League

Manchester City
0 :  0
Inter Milan

15 Sep 2024 - Serie A

Monza
1 :  1
Inter Milan
Napoli
Napoli Last matches
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

3 Nov 2024 - Serie A

Napoli
0 :  3
Atalanta

29 Oct 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
0 :  2
Napoli

26 Oct 2024 - Serie A

Napoli
1 :  0
Lecce

20 Oct 2024 - Serie A

Empoli
0 :  1
Napoli

4 Oct 2024 - Serie A

Napoli
3 :  1
Como 1907

29 Sep 2024 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  0
Monza
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

3 Nov 2024 - Serie A

Napoli
0 :  3
Atalanta

26 Oct 2024 - Serie A

Napoli
1 :  0
Lecce

4 Oct 2024 - Serie A

Napoli
3 :  1
Como 1907

29 Sep 2024 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  0
Monza

26 Sep 2024 - Coppa Italia

Napoli
5 :  0
Palermo

31 Aug 2024 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  1
Parma
D L W D W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

29 Oct 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
0 :  2
Napoli

20 Oct 2024 - Serie A

Empoli
0 :  1
Napoli

21 Sep 2024 - Serie A

Juventus
0 :  0
Napoli

15 Sep 2024 - Serie A

Cagliari
0 :  4
Napoli

18 Aug 2024 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
3 :  0
Napoli

17 May 2024 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  2
Napoli

Inter Milan vs Napoli Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Inter Milan

50 %

Draw

33 %

Napoli

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.17
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored (Team 1)
0.83
Goals scored (Team 2)
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5

17 Mar 2024 - Serie A

Inter Milan
1 :  1
Napoli

22 Jan 2024 - Super Cup

Napoli
0 :  1
Inter Milan

3 Dec 2023 - Serie A

Napoli
0 :  3
Inter Milan

21 May 2023 - Serie A

Napoli
3 :  1
Inter Milan

4 Jan 2023 - Serie A

Inter Milan
1 :  0
Napoli

12 Feb 2022 - Serie A

Napoli
1 :  1
Inter Milan
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Inter Milan - Napoli: Form Analysis

Inter Milan will welcome the prospect of playing a third straight home match. They won the first two and look set to go 10 matches unbeaten. In their most recent, they had to fight hard for a 1-0 win against Arsenal in the Champions League.

In a game that Arsenal had big pockets of domination, it was Inter Milan’s defensive discipline that stood out. The hosts have six clean sheets in their last eight matches. That run was only disrupted by a 4-4 draw with Juventus and a 3-2 win over Torino.

To emphasize on their defensive shape, Inter managed four 1-0 wins inside their last six matches. In 21 home league matches, they lost just once.

Inter Milan are unbeaten in their last five matches against Napoli.

Napoli will go into this game keen on reestablishing their four-point lead that was disrupted in their loss last time out. Antonio Conte’s men are smarting from a 3-0 home defeat to Atalanta, which halted a six-game winning run.

Conte’s teams rarely lose by that margin, yet this was the second this season and it is a real concern. The manager will be rallying his charges to avoid a consecutive league loss for the first time since December 2023.

The league leaders will have to rise above the loss very fast, with a number of tough matches lined up after this. They will be up against an unpredictable Roma, then Torino and after that a double header with Lazio in the Serie A and Coppa Italia.

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Inter Milan against Napoli Lineups: Starting 11

Inter Milan

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

1
Y. Sommer
28
B. Pavard
15
F. Acerbi
95
A. Bastoni
2
D. Dumfries
23
N. Barella
20
H. Calhanoglu
22
H. Mkhitaryan
32
F. Dimarco
10
L. Martinez
9
M. Thuram
77
K. Kvaratskhelia
11
R. Lukaku
21
M. Politano
8
S. Mctominay
6
B. Gilmour
99
F. Anguissa
17
M. Olivera
4
A. Buongiorno
13
A. Rrahmani
22
G. Di Lorenzo
1
A. Meret

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Napoli

Missing players

Inter Milan
Inter Milan
Defender

C. Augusto

Napoli
Napoli
Midfielder

M. Folorunsho

Inter Milan & Napoli Squad Analysis

Simone Inzaghi will be expected to make changes to the Inter team after their hard-fought win over Arsenal in the Champions League. Nicolo Barella, Federico Dimarco, Marcus Thuram, Francesco Acerbi and Henrikh Mkhitaryan all started from the bench in the midweek game.

A few shake-ups could see some of these names start on Sunday. Hakan Calhanoglu got his first start since recovering from a thigh injury and was superb in the match. He could, however, be among the players to make way. What’s more for Inter Milan, only Carlos Augusto is unavailable through injury.

Romelu Lukaku and Matteo Politano will line up against their former employers.

Napoli will line up their best too, hoping the extended rest has done them a world of good. In this encounter, Inter Milan will be facing a number of their former employees. This includes Romelu Lukaku and Matteo Politano while Khvicha Kvaratskhelia will once again lead the attack.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Inter Milan
CD Huachipato Napoli
Top Goalscorer
France M. Thuram (8 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Georgia K. Kvaratskhelia (5 Goals)
Best assists
Italy F. Dimarco (3 Assists)
Iran M. Taremi (3 Assists)
Best assists
Belgium R. Lukaku (4 Assists)

Inter Milan - Napoli Key Points

  1. Three of Napoli’s last five matches had under 2.5 goals.
  2. Napoli’s last five matches averaged 2.2 goals.
  3. Inter Milan won 1-0 in four of their last six matches.
  4. Seven of the last 10 meetings between these two had under 2.5 goals.
  5. Napoli’s last five away matches produced an average of 2.0 goals.
  6. Both Napoli and Inter had three clean sheets in the last five matches.
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Our Inter Milan vs Napoli Prediction

This match is set to feature two prolific attackers; Lautaro Martinez and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia. It is likely all the attention will be on the two, but in reality it should be on the defences. Look at the number of clean sheets these teams have been keeping.

That is by the sheer performance of the defences as these teams’ matches aren’t really high-scoring. Given we expect another defensive masterclass, our prediction for Inter Milan v Napoli is for under 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5

 
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Inter Milan vs Napoli - Other Interesting Predictions

Both teams to score: NO

Odds 1.95

Still sticking with the defences, we expect that both will be well marshaled like it has been the case in most matches. Napoli have three clean sheets in five matches and Inter have four. The same defences are the ones we are banking on. Our second prediction is for at least one of the teams to fail to score.

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Inter Milan vs Napoli match : Frequently asked questions

The Inter Milan v Napoli match will be staged on Sunday 10 November.

The Inter Milan v Napoli match will be played at the San Siro Stadium in Milan.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Inter Milan vs Napoli Prediction
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