Europe - Champions League
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by Kennedy Kechula in Champions League Predictions
Bayern Munich have all to play for when they head to Italy to take on Inter Milan in their Champions League quarter-final return leg. The German giants trail in this tie, following their 2-1 loss at home in the first leg. Bookmaker predictions favor Inter Milan to progress to the last four but can Bayern turn this match and the tie back in their favor?
The team that progresses from this encounter will face off with either Barcelona or Borussia Dortmund in the last four. It very likely looks like it will be Barcelona progressing after a 4-0 home win in the first leg. An all-German semi-final looks unlikely.
Both Inter Milan and Bayern Munich hold six-point leads in their respective leagues. The stars could be well aligned for Bayern Munich coming into this game. In their last three visits to Inter Milan in the Champions League, they beat the Italians.
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The Best Betting Odds for Inter Milan v Bayern Munich Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.63 | 3.6 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.63 | 3.75 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.62 | 3.4 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.55 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.77 | 3.74 | 2.55 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Inter Milan and Bayern Munich?
Our prediction for the Inter Milan vs Bayern Munich match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/04/2025 between Inter Milan and Bayern Munich in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.9% for a win of Inter Milan against Bayern Munich with odds of 2.77 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Inter Milan vs Bayern Munich is 20.4% with odds of 3.75 at Betfred.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.7% chance ⭐ for a win of Bayern Munich vs Inter Milan with odds of 2.6 at Tonybet.
Inter Milan vs Bayern Munich Form
Inter Milan and Bayern Munich Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2025 - Serie A
8 Apr 2025 - Champions League
5 Apr 2025 - Serie A
2 Apr 2025 - Coppa Italia
30 Mar 2025 - Serie A
16 Mar 2025 - Serie A
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2025 - Serie A
30 Mar 2025 - Serie A
11 Mar 2025 - Champions League
8 Mar 2025 - Serie A
25 Feb 2025 - Coppa Italia
22 Feb 2025 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Apr 2025 - Champions League
5 Apr 2025 - Serie A
2 Apr 2025 - Coppa Italia
16 Mar 2025 - Serie A
5 Mar 2025 - Champions League
1 Mar 2025 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Apr 2025 - Champions League
4 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
11 Mar 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Apr 2025 - Champions League
29 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Mar 2025 - Champions League
23 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
11 Mar 2025 - Champions League
28 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
12 Feb 2025 - Champions League
Inter Milan vs Bayern Munich Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
8 Apr 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2022 - Champions League
7 Sep 2022 - Champions League
Inter Milan - Bayern Munich: Form Analysis
A match at home to Bayern Munich comes with no guarantees for Inter Milan. They ended up winless the three times the Germans visited. This time Inter Milan will hope for a change.
The Italians had the perfect preparation for this match with a 3-1 win at home against Cagliari. That stretched their undefeated run to 12 matches across all competitions.
However, Inter Milan have lost their defensive solidity, getting breached in each of their last five matches in all competitions. In the Champions League, they still stand as one of the meanest, having conceded three times in their 11 matches so far.
Bayern Munich won all their three visits to Inter Milan.
Bayern Munich didn’t have much to celebrate after their home loss to Inter Milan. Hosting Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga, they could only play to a 2-2 draw.
Going without a win in half of their last 12 matches has shown the shaky side of the German giants. They will hope it doesn’t strike here. There is reason to stay positive after their slim loss at home, though.
In the last three matches away to Inter Milan, Bayern came off with wins. Head-to-head, they are also dominant against Inter Milan, with four wins, a draw and three losses. The Bavarians have lost four times in Europe this season.
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Inter Milan vs Bayern Munich last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
D. Dumfries
MidfielderP. Zielinski
M. Neuer
DefenderT. Buchmann
D. Upamecano
H. Ito
MidfielderA. Davies
J. Musiala
Inter Milan & Bayern Munich Squad Analysis
Inter Milan rotated the squad for their weekend win against Cagliari, resting six of the starters in the first leg in Munich. Lautaro Martinez was only rested in the 67th minute after scoring and helping the hosts put the game to bed.
The Argentine forward has seven goals in the Champions League this season. Inter’s weekend changes can only mean one thing: they know this tie isn’t settled.
Once again, the Nerazzurri will hope the Marcus Thuram-Martinez partnership delivers the goodies upfront. Inter will, however, be shorthanded with Mehdi Taremi, Denzel Dumfries and Piotr Zielinski missing.
Inter Milan will feel fresher after resting more players this weekend.
Bayern Munich, needing a win, will surely name an attacking lineup. We expect Thomas Muller and Harry Kane to start upfront. With 10 goals scored and a further two assists, Kane will be hoping to lift Bayern.
His xG rating of 10.22 makes him a probable scorer here. While Bayern are looking to continue with their good away run at Inter Milan, their injury list is piling up at the worst possible moment.
The Bavarians are set to miss out on the services of Manuel Neuer, Dayot Upamecano, Alphonso Davies, and Jamal Musiala.
Most goals and assists
Inter Milan
Bayern Munich
L. Martinez
(19 Goals)
H. Kane
(34 Goals)
N. Barella
(8 Assists)
,
F. Dimarco
(8 Assists)
M. Olise
(12 Assists)
,
H. Kane
(12 Assists)
Inter Milan and Bayern Munich Stats in Champions League
Inter Milan - Bayern Munich Key Points
- Both teams scored in Inter Milan’s last five matches.
- Both teams scored in Bayern Munich’s last five matches.
- Inter Milan conceded in their last two Champions League games.
- Bayern Munich kept one clean sheet in their six away UCL matches.
- Inter Milan scored in all their last 10 matches but kept two clean sheets only.
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Our Inter Milan vs Bayern Munich Prediction
Bayern Munich will feel the pressure heading into this game after losing at home in the first leg. They have to attack, and fortunately the Germans have some of the best forwards in world football. Though dealing with a number of injuries, we still feel Bayern will score in this game.
However, the expected attacking approach could leave spaces in defence for Inter Milan to exploit. Both teams rarely go without scoring, and our prediction for Inter Milan v Bayern Munich is for both teams to score.
Inter Milan vs Bayern Munich - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5 goals
Six of Bayern Munich’s last eight Champions League matches have so far attained an over 2.5 goals outcome. The fact that they trail in this tie means they have to once again go out to attack.
Inter Milan, playing at home, will also send out an attacking formation in a deliberate move to kill off this tie. With such, our second prediction would be for the match to produce over 2.5 goals.
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Inter Milan vs Bayern Munich match : Frequently asked questions
The Inter Milan v Bayern Munich match will be played on Wednesday, 16th April.
The Inter Milan v Bayern Munich match will be played at the San Siro Stadium in Milan.
The Inter Milan v Bayern Munich match will be aired live on Sky and Amazon Prime for fans in Italy. Those in Germany can catch the game on DAZN and Amazon Prime. Meanwhile, Sportytrader will have the match updates through the UEFA Champions League livescores portal.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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