Inter Milan vs Atalanta Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
by Sridhar in Serie A Predictions
Defending Serie A champions Inter Milan will come up against a stuttering Atalanta as both teams look to get in form in the 2024-25 campaign. This match at the Giuseppe Meazza Stadium on Friday comes with our prediction of another lively match.
Inter are unbeaten after two matches, although their draw in the first match against Genoa is still a suboptimal result. Facing Atalanta is tricky, but the Nerazzurri have been on top of things in this fixture lately.
The hosts have won the last four league matches against Atalanta, while the visitors travel here with a long-standing winless record weighing them down. Will Atalanta experience a change of fortune and a rare win at the Giuseppe Meazza? Or are the hosts strong enough to continue their grip over Atalanta and make it back-to-back league wins? We look at the two teams, their form, and analyze their squad to come up with our prediction.
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The Best Betting Odds for Inter Milan v Atalanta Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1 | 51 | 151 |
|
|
1.91 | 2.75 | 4.33 |
|
|
1 | 51 | 151 |
|
|
1 | 51 | 151 |
|
|
1.57 | 4.3 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.71 | 4.08 | 4.48 |
|
|
1.04 | 15.75 | 72 |
|
|
1.65 | 4.18 | 4.82 |
|
|
1.66 | 4.2 | 5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Inter Milan and Atalanta?
Our prediction for the Inter Milan vs Atalanta match is: Over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/08/2024 between Inter Milan and Atalanta in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 63.14% for a win of Inter Milan against Atalanta with odds of 1.91 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Inter Milan vs Atalanta is 19.87% with odds of 51 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 16.99% chance ⭐ for a win of Atalanta vs Inter Milan with odds of 151 at Bet365.
Inter Milan - Atalanta Prediction and Best Odds:
| Inter Milan Atalanta Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Inter Milan wins | 63.14% | 1.91 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.78% | 1.79 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 47.08% | 1.75 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time : Inter Milan/Inter Milan | 27.33% | 2.45 at Ladbrokes |
Inter Milan vs Atalanta Form
Inter Milan and Atalanta's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
|
12
|
3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 |
Inter Milan and Atalanta Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2024 - Serie A
17 Aug 2024 - Serie A
11 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
7 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Aug 2024 - Serie A
19 Aug 2024 - Serie A
14 Aug 2024 - Uefa Super Cup
9 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Inter Milan against Atalanta : Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
28 Feb 2024 - Serie A
4 Nov 2023 - Serie A
27 May 2023 - Serie A
31 Jan 2023 - Coppa Italia
13 Nov 2022 - Serie A
16 Jan 2022 - Serie A
Inter Milan - Atalanta: Form Analysis
The defending champions Inter Milan started their season with a 2-2 draw at Genoa but recovered quickly to win 2-0 at Lecce. The draw at Genoa was disappointing as a Marcus Thuram brace saw them lead 2-1, but a goal in the dying minutes saw them settle for a point.
Inter have won their last four league matches against Atalanta.
To go with that record, the Nerazzurri have also avoided defeat in their last ten home league matches against Atalanta. In this sequence, Inter recorded seven wins and three draws, clearly pointing who has an edge in this fixture.
Atalanta are yet to hit their stride in this season, winning one and losing one of their two Serie A matches. They started with a confident 4-0 win over Lecce, but Torino humbled them 2-1 in the last match. The only positive for La Dea is the form of their latest signing, Mateo Retegui, who has three goals to his name, while Marco Brescianini also scored twice in the win over Lecce.
The visitors also lost 2-0 to Real Madrid in the season opener, when they were beaten in the UEFA Super Cup final. Atalanta will now attempt to kick-start their season after a slow start has left them with two defeats in their first three competitive matches of the 2024-25 campaign.
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Inter Milan against Atalanta Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Missing players
T. Buchanan
G. Scalvini
B. Djimsiti
ForwardG. Scamacca
Inter Milan & Atalanta Squad Analysis
Mehdi Teremi started for Inter against Lecce and could be once again starting, unless manager Simone Inzaghi opts for veteran Marko Arnautovic. Marcus Thuram will be the focal point of their attacks, having already scored two goals in this season to go with three key passes in Serie A.
Inter’s captain and talismanic striker Lautaro Martinez missed the last game and is highly unlikely to feature here owing to a muscle injury. There are concerns elsewhere with Tajon Buchanon and Stephan de Vrij set to miss this fixture.
Last season's Serie A top goalscorer Lautaro Martinez is a big miss for Inter.
Atalanta will be without long-term absentees Gianluca Scamacca and Giorgio Scalvini. Along with them, Sead Kolasinac and Mitchel Bakker are also unavailable for this trip.
Matteo Retegui with three goals and Marco Brescianini with two goals have been Atalanta’s best players in this season. Midfielder Lazar Samardzic will once again be their creator from the middle, as he aggregates three key passes in this competition this year.
Inter Milan - Atalanta Key Points
- The last four Serie A matches between these sides have produced over 2.5 goals.
- Two of Inter’s last three Serie A matches have produced four goals each.
- At home, in seven of their last nine Serie A matches, Inter have scored at least two goals.
- Eight of Atalanta’s last nine matches have seen at least three goals scored.
- Likewise, in eight of Atalanta’s last nine away Serie A matches, more than two goals were scored.
- In five of Atalanta’s last seven Serie A matches, exactly three goals were scored.
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Our Inter Milan vs Atalanta Prediction
Inter and Atalanta have traditionally produced some high-scoring games, at least in recent times. The last four matches have seen over 2.5 goals scored, with three of those seeing at least four goals. With Inter in good scoring form at this venue and with Atalanta continuing its tradition of seeing high scoring on the road, that trend looks set to continue here. That’s why our Inter Milan v Atalanta prediction is for over 2.5 goals to be scored.
Inter Milan vs Atalanta - Other Interesting Predictions
Mateo Retegui to score anytime
Summer signing Mateo Retegui has settled into his life at Atalanta very quickly, scoring three goals in his two Serie A matches. The Argentina forward has also scored on his last visit to this venue, although it was for his previous side Genoa against AC Milan in May. He could once again find the back of the net in this match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Inter Milan Atalanta
| Inter Milan vs Atalanta | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Milan wins | 1.67 | 1 | -40.1% |
| Draw | 3.9 | 51 | +1,207.7% |
| Atalanta wins | 4.4 | 151 | +3,331.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Inter Milan is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 40.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 59.9% and is now 100.0% (40.1%)
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Inter Milan vs Atalanta match : Frequently asked questions
This Inter Milan vs Atalanta Serie A match will be televised live on TNT Sports in the UK.
You can also follow the game through our live scores. Check out our Serie A Livescore page!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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