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Inter Milan vs Arsenal Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Devesh Jaganath in Champions League Predictions
Inter Milan and Arsenal will put their unbeaten Champions League records on the line this week when they face off at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza on Wednesday night. Both these sides are on seven points and are separated by goal difference, with I Nerazzurri currently in seventh place and the Gunners in ninth. Let’s get into the match prediction.
The only previous time these European giants met was in the group stage at the 2003-04 edition of this competition and both games ended with the away side securing victory. Arsenal though, are winless and failed to score in their last four Champions League away games in Italy (W0 D1 L3) dating back to 2008 against AC Milan.
Despite having the oldest average team age in the competition this season (31 years and 139 days), Inter Milan’s solid defensive performances to date see them enter this match as the favourites, according to the bookmakers. To the key stats!
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The Best Betting Odds for Inter Milan v Arsenal Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.75 | 3.1 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.9 | 2.3 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.74 | 3.3 | 2.84 |
|
|
2.74 | 3.3 | 2.84 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.1 | 2.85 |
|
|
2.66 | 3.32 | 2.65 |
|
|
2.66 | 3.32 | 2.65 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.2 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.12 | 2.88 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.2 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.83 | 3.21 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.7 | 3.1 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.75 | 3.1 | 2.85 |
|
|
2.63 | 3 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.72 | 3.25 | 2.78 |
|
|
2.7 | 3.1 | 2.7 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Inter Milan and Arsenal?
Our prediction for the Inter Milan vs Arsenal match is: Under 2.5!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/11/2024 between Inter Milan and Arsenal in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.67% for a win of Inter Milan against Arsenal with odds of 2.9 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Inter Milan vs Arsenal is 25.31% with odds of 3.32 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 28.02% chance ⭐ for a win of Arsenal vs Inter Milan with odds of 2.9 at Ladbrokes.
Inter Milan - Arsenal Prediction and Best Odds:
| Inter Milan Arsenal Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Inter Milan wins | 46.67% | 2.9 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.81% | 2.15 at Betfair |
| Both Team To Score | 33.33% | 1.83 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Inter Milan | 21% | 6.5 at Betfair |
Inter Milan vs Arsenal Form
Inter Milan and Arsenal's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
|
12
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Inter Milan and Arsenal Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Nov 2024 - Serie A
30 Oct 2024 - Serie A
27 Oct 2024 - Serie A
23 Oct 2024 - Champions League
20 Oct 2024 - Serie A
5 Oct 2024 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Nov 2024 - Serie A
27 Oct 2024 - Serie A
5 Oct 2024 - Serie A
1 Oct 2024 - Champions League
22 Sep 2024 - Serie A
30 Aug 2024 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Oct 2024 - Serie A
23 Oct 2024 - Champions League
20 Oct 2024 - Serie A
28 Sep 2024 - Serie A
18 Sep 2024 - Champions League
15 Sep 2024 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2024 - Premier League
30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
27 Oct 2024 - Premier League
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
19 Oct 2024 - Premier League
5 Oct 2024 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Oct 2024 - Premier League
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
5 Oct 2024 - Premier League
1 Oct 2024 - Champions League
28 Sep 2024 - Premier League
25 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2024 - Premier League
30 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
19 Oct 2024 - Premier League
22 Sep 2024 - Premier League
19 Sep 2024 - Champions League
15 Sep 2024 - Premier League
Inter Milan - Arsenal: Form Analysis
Inter Milan have built up solid momentum ahead of this headline fixture, with their 1-0 win over Venezia at the weekend marking their eighth consecutive match without defeat.
During that period, I Nerazzurri secured an incredible seven wins and a 4-4 draw against Juventus, while they have only suffered one defeat in 14 matches this season.
However, the benchmark of their success has been their defence, which has kept clean sheets in more than half of their matches across all competitions this season (eight in 14 games).
Inter and Arsenal are two of only three sides that are yet to concede in this season’s Champions League!
Meanwhile, Arsenal enter this match off the back of disappointment, having lost their last Premier League match to Newcastle United 1-0 over the weekend.
That result ended a three-match unbeaten run for the Gunners, which included a 1-0 win against Shakhtar Donetsk in this competition. They drew goalless with Atalanta and beat PSG on matchdays one and two respectively.
However, the visitors have been struggling on the road, failing to win four of their last five matches, with a victory over lower-division Preston North End in the EFL Cup being the only exception.
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Inter Milan against Arsenal Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
C. Augusto
K. Tierney
T. Tomiyasu
R. Calafiori
Inter Milan & Arsenal Squad Analysis
Inter Milan received a significant injury boost over the weekend against Venezia, with midfielder Hakan Calhanoglu shaking off a knock to return to the squad, and he will be in line to start this one.
That means that the Serie A champions have just one confirmed absentee for this match in the form of Carlos Augusto (muscle injury), while Kristjan Asllani is flagged as a minor doubt.
Reports suggest that Arsenal’s captain Martin Odegaard could make his return from injury in this match!
Gabriel Magalhaes was flagged as a doubt for the Gunners’ last outing, but the Brazilian played the entire 90 against Newcastle United and is expected to partner William Saliba in the heart of the defence this week.
However, the Gunners are still a little short-handed in defence, with Riccardo Calafiori (knee), Takehiro Tomiyasu (knee) and Kieran Tierney (hamstring) all expected to miss this trip to Milan due to injury.
Most goals and assists
Inter Milan
Arsenal
M. Thuram
(8 Goals)
K. Havertz
(7 Goals)
M. Taremi
(3 Assists)
, 
F. Dimarco
(3 Assists)
B. Saka
(7 Assists)
Inter Milan - Arsenal Key Points
- Inter Milan have kept four clean sheets in their last five matches in all competitions.
- Inter Milan have not conceded a goal in this season’s Champions League.
- Arsenal have failed to score in three of their last five away games in all competitions.
- Arsenal have also not conceded a goal in this season’s Champions League.
- All three of Arsenal’s Champions League games this season have ended with under 2.5 goals.
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Our Inter Milan vs Arsenal Prediction
Both these sides have been excellent in defence in this season’s Champions League and are currently two of only three teams - along with league leaders Aston Villa - that have yet to concede a goal after the first three matches.
With that in mind, this match could turn into a tactical one, where clear-cut chances for both teams are at a premium, and the first goal could easily end up being the winner. Our Inter Milan vs Arsenal prediction: Under 2.5!
Inter Milan vs Arsenal - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score (NO)
Neither of these sides have conceded in their first three matches of this competition. Additionally, Inter have kept four clean sheets in their last five games, while Arsenal have failed to score in three of their last five on the road.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Inter Milan Arsenal
| Inter Milan vs Arsenal | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Milan wins | 2.7 | 2.75 | +1.9% |
| Draw | 3.1 | 3.1 | 0% |
| Arsenal wins | 2.7 | 2.75 | +1.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Inter Milan is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 1.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 37.0% and is now 36.4% (-0.7%)
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Inter Milan vs Arsenal match : Frequently asked questions
The UEFA Champions League match between Inter Milan and Arsenal will be played on November 6 at 20:00 GMT.
The UEFA Champions League match between Inter Milan and Arsenal will take place at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in Milan.
The UEFA Champions League match between Inter Milan and Arsenal will be broadcast on TNT Sports and discovery+ in the UK.
Alternatively, you can stay up to the minute with all the UEFA Champions League Livescores right here on SportyTrader!
Istvan Kovacs will take charge of this match, with the assistance of Mihai Marica, Ferencz Tunyogi and Horatiu Fesnic as the fourth official.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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