Italy - Coppa Italia
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Football Predictions
Inter Milan lost their advantage in the Serie A title race last time out and will be hoping not to crumble in the Coppa Italia. At the San Siro Stadium this Wednesday, the two will face off in the return leg of their semi-final, with Inter Milan hosting this time. Heading into this game, the tie is balanced at 1-1. Below we have the preview and a prediction for this match.
Inter and AC will be battling for the right to face Bologna or Empoli in the final. These two Milan giants will be facing off for the fifth and final time this season. AC Milan can rightly claim to have dominated the earlier four. They beat Inter Milan in the league and Super Coppa before drawing the rest.
Both sides are coming from defeats in Serie A, which left massive dents in their season’s ambitions. Inter lost to Bologna, and AC Milan to Atalanta.
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The Best Betting Odds for Inter Milan v AC Milan Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2 | 3.5 | 3.75 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.5 | 3.4 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.5 | 3.7 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.25 | 3.35 |
|
|
2.08 | 3.63 | 3.86 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Inter Milan and AC Milan?
Our prediction for the Inter Milan vs AC Milan match is: over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/04/2025 between Inter Milan and AC Milan in Coppa Italia :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 59.81% for a win of Inter Milan against AC Milan with odds of 2.08 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Inter Milan vs AC Milan is 19.6% with odds of 3.8 at Betfair.
- Our prediction model gives a 20.59% chance ⭐ for a win of AC Milan vs Inter Milan with odds of 4.33 at Betfair.
Inter Milan vs AC Milan Form
Inter Milan and AC Milan Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Apr 2025 - Serie A
16 Apr 2025 - Champions League
12 Apr 2025 - Serie A
8 Apr 2025 - Champions League
5 Apr 2025 - Serie A
2 Apr 2025 - Coppa Italia
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Apr 2025 - Champions League
12 Apr 2025 - Serie A
30 Mar 2025 - Serie A
11 Mar 2025 - Champions League
8 Mar 2025 - Serie A
25 Feb 2025 - Coppa Italia
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Apr 2025 - Serie A
8 Apr 2025 - Champions League
5 Apr 2025 - Serie A
2 Apr 2025 - Coppa Italia
16 Mar 2025 - Serie A
5 Mar 2025 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Apr 2025 - Serie A
11 Apr 2025 - Serie A
5 Apr 2025 - Serie A
2 Apr 2025 - Coppa Italia
30 Mar 2025 - Serie A
15 Mar 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Apr 2025 - Serie A
5 Apr 2025 - Serie A
2 Apr 2025 - Coppa Italia
15 Mar 2025 - Serie A
2 Mar 2025 - Serie A
18 Feb 2025 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Apr 2025 - Serie A
30 Mar 2025 - Serie A
8 Mar 2025 - Serie A
27 Feb 2025 - Serie A
22 Feb 2025 - Serie A
12 Feb 2025 - Champions League
Inter Milan vs AC Milan Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 Apr 2025 - Coppa Italia
2 Feb 2025 - Serie A
6 Jan 2025 - Super Cup
22 Sep 2024 - Serie A
22 Apr 2024 - Serie A
16 Sep 2023 - Serie A
Inter Milan - AC Milan: Form Analysis
This isn’t a very good period for Inter Milan. They have not only struggled against AC Milan this season but also come here off an unconvincing run. Inter Milan’s first defeat in Serie A was inflicted by AC Milan, a 2-1 loss.
They lost again in this game in the Super Cup, this time falling 3-2. In their last six matches, Inter Milan managed just two wins. The first in that run was the 1-1 draw with AC Milan in the opening leg of this tie.
For the second straight Milan Derby, Inter were forced to come from behind to draw. They are coming straight from losing 1-0 at Bologna.
AC Milan are unbeaten in four meetings with Inter Milan.
AC Milan haven't had a great campaign. While they’ve won silverware already, they are doing much worse than Inter, who are hunting on three fronts.
They lost over the weekend, falling 1-0 at home to Atalanta and dropping further away from the Champions League places. Placed ninth in the Serie A standings, it is looking increasingly clear that their only way back to Europe might not be through their league position.
The defeat to Atalanta left AC Milan with just one win in five matches. It was their fifth defeat in the last 10 matches.
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Inter Milan vs AC Milan last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Missing players
D. Dumfries
MidfielderP. Zielinski
Emerson
K. Walker
MidfielderR. Loftus-Cheek
ForwardS. Gimenez
Inter Milan & AC Milan Squad Analysis
Inter Milan forward Marcus Thuram is a potential absentee in this match. The club’s latest statement indicates he is nursing a thigh injury that will need a late assessment.
As the hosts have struggled to break down AC Milan this season, they would love to have all their top players around. Thuram features in that list, having scored 17 goals in all competitions while laying on five assists.
However, with a midfield full of goal scorers and spearheaded by Lautaro Martinez, Inter may have enough to cope with Thuram’s absence.
Inter’s Calhanoglu has three goals against AC Milan.
Tammy Abraham has been a thorn to Inter Milan this season. He scored twice in the four meetings between these teams, and his eyes will light up at another derby.
With four goals, he is the AC Milan leading scorer in this competition, scoring one more than he has managed in 28 league matches.
The Englishman will not be a loner in attack, with Christian Pulisic, Rafael Leao, and Tijjani Reijnders each having 10+ goal contributions. As Inter Milan are missing two defensive players for this game, Abraham will feel he has an easier workload.
Most goals and assists
Inter Milan
AC Milan
L. Martinez
(20 Goals)
C. Pulisic
(13 Goals)
, 
T. Reijnders
(13 Goals)
N. Barella
(8 Assists)
,
F. Dimarco
(8 Assists)
R. Leao
(9 Assists)
,
C. Pulisic
(9 Assists)
Inter Milan - AC Milan Key Points
- 19 goals were netted in Inter’s last five home matches.
- Eight of Inter Milan’s last 10 matches had three or more goals.
- Three of the last five of Milan’s fixtures yielded at least three goals.
- Four of Inter Milan’s last five matches had over 2.5 goals.
- AC Milan’s last five Coppa Italia matches had 21 goals scored.
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Our Inter Milan vs AC Milan Prediction
This tie is currently poised at 1-1, which is a break from the earlier high-scoring matches in the Milan derby. Four of the last six meetings between these two had over 2.5 goals. The four meetings between them this season had a total of 12 goals netted.
As both have been involved in high-scoring games in recent times, we expect the same here. Owing to their rivalry, these sides will also be seeking a win inside 90 minutes, and that could be another guarantee for goals. Our prediction for Inter Milan v AC Milan is for over 2.5.
Inter Milan vs AC Milan - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score
Failure to score in the Milan derby almost always is a guarantee of losing. In the last 12 meetings between these teams, at least one scored. The last time a team failed to score in this derby and didn’t lose was in 2022, when they drew 0-0. Our second bet for this game is for both teams to score.
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Try your luck on this year's Coppa Italia! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
Inter Milan vs AC Milan match : Frequently asked questions
The Inter Milan v AC Milan match will be played on Wednesday 23 March.
The Inter Milan v AC Milan match will be staged at the San Siro Stadium.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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