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Italy - Super Cup

Inter Milan
06 Jan 2025 13:00
AC Milan

Prediction :

 

Inter Milan wins the match

 
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Inter Milan vs AC Milan Prediction & Betting Tips - Super Cup

 by Kennedy Kechula in Football Predictions

The chance to prop themselves in the annals of Italian football history is here for Inter Milan and AC Milan as they meet in the Super Cup final. The second Milan derby of the season is set for play in Saudi Arabia, the venue of the contest being the Al Awwal Park in Riyadh. In this preview we will have a look at the two rivals’ recent performances and from the stats, come up with at least two predictions of the match.

Inter Milan are on the cusp of winning a fourth straight Super Cup. The Nerazzurri booked their place in the final courtesy of a win against the current Serie A leaders Atalanta. A win in this match will see Inter Milan bag their ninth Super Cup and go level with Juventus as the most successful teams in the Copa.

AC Milan have already played their role in ensuring Juventus do not extend their dominance. Milan, under new manager Sergio Conceicao, eliminated Juventus to book their slot.

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The Best Betting Odds for Inter Milan v AC Milan Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.83 3.5 4.5
Betfred
1.8 3.3 4.2
Ladbrokes
1.83 3.4 4.33
1xbet
1.78 3.41 4.38
22bet
1.78 3.41 4.38
Betobet
1.9 3.45 4.4
Betwinner
1.76 3.41 4.54
LSbet
1.76 3.41 4.54
Stake
1.83 3.6 4.7
Melbet
1.83 3.44 4.62
Tonybet
1.82 3.7 4.8
Betsson
1.88 3.5 4.5
William Hill
1.83 3.4 4.6
Vbet
1.85 3.55 4.8
Betway
1.83 3.4 4.33
Unibet
1.81 3.45 4.6
Betfair
1.7 3.5 4.5
Check all Inter Milan vs AC Milan odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Inter Milan and AC Milan?

Our prediction for the Inter Milan vs AC Milan match is: Inter Milan wins the match.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/01/2025 between Inter Milan and AC Milan in Super Cup :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 51.85% for a win of Inter Milan against AC Milan with odds of 1.9 at Betobet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Inter Milan vs AC Milan is 18.69% with odds of 3.7 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 29.46% chance ⭐ for a win of AC Milan vs Inter Milan with odds of 4.8 at Tonybet.

Inter Milan - AC Milan Prediction and Best Odds:

Inter Milan AC Milan Prediction Probability Odds
Inter Milan wins 51.85% 1.9 at Betobet
Over 2.5 goals 51.33% 2.05 at Betsson
Both Team To Score 55.42% 1.91 at Bet365
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Inter Milan 25.55% 5 at Unibet

Inter Milan vs AC Milan Form

Inter Milan and AC Milan Last Matches

Inter Milan
Inter Milan Last matches
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
0% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

2 Jan 2025 - Super Cup

Inter Milan
2 :  0
Atalanta

28 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Cagliari
0 :  3
Inter Milan

23 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Inter Milan
2 :  0
Como 1907

19 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia

Inter Milan
2 :  0
Udinese

16 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  6
Inter Milan

10 Dec 2024 - Champions League

Bayer Leverkusen
1 :  0
Inter Milan
D W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

2 Jan 2025 - Super Cup

Inter Milan
2 :  0
Atalanta

23 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Inter Milan
2 :  0
Como 1907

19 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia

Inter Milan
2 :  0
Udinese

6 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Inter Milan
3 :  1
Parma

26 Nov 2024 - Champions League

Inter Milan
1 :  0
Leipzig

10 Nov 2024 - Serie A

Inter Milan
1 :  1
Napoli
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
0% BTTS
3 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

28 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Cagliari
0 :  3
Inter Milan

16 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  6
Inter Milan

10 Dec 2024 - Champions League

Bayer Leverkusen
1 :  0
Inter Milan

23 Nov 2024 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
0 :  5
Inter Milan

30 Oct 2024 - Serie A

Empoli
0 :  3
Inter Milan

23 Oct 2024 - Champions League

BSC Young Boys
0 :  1
Inter Milan
AC Milan
AC Milan Last matches
L W D W D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

3 Jan 2025 - Super Cup

Juventus
1 :  2
AC Milan

29 Dec 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  1
Roma

20 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
0 :  1
AC Milan

15 Dec 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
0 :  0
Genoa

11 Dec 2024 - Champions League

AC Milan
2 :  1
Red Star Belgrade

6 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
AC Milan
D W W W D D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

29 Dec 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  1
Roma

15 Dec 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
0 :  0
Genoa

11 Dec 2024 - Champions League

AC Milan
2 :  1
Red Star Belgrade

3 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
6 :  1
Sassuolo

30 Nov 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  0
Empoli

23 Nov 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
0 :  0
Juventus
W D W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

3 Jan 2025 - Super Cup

Juventus
1 :  2
AC Milan

20 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
0 :  1
AC Milan

6 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
AC Milan

26 Nov 2024 - Champions League

SK Slovan Bratislava
2 :  3
AC Milan

9 Nov 2024 - Serie A

Cagliari
3 :  3
AC Milan

5 Nov 2024 - Champions League

Real Madrid
1 :  3
AC Milan

Inter Milan vs AC Milan Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Inter Milan

83 %

Draw

0 %

AC Milan

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.67
Total goals
50%
BTTS
2
Goals scored (Team 1)
0.67
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

22 Sep 2024 - Serie A

Inter Milan
1 :  2
AC Milan

22 Apr 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  2
Inter Milan

16 Sep 2023 - Serie A

Inter Milan
5 :  1
AC Milan

16 May 2023 - Champions League

Inter Milan
1 :  0
AC Milan

10 May 2023 - Champions League

AC Milan
0 :  2
Inter Milan

5 Feb 2023 - Serie A

Inter Milan
1 :  0
AC Milan
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Inter Milan - AC Milan: Form Analysis

Inter Milan trounced Atalanta 2-0 to advance to the final. Here they have the chance to win an unprecedented fourth Super Cup title in succession. In total they have eight wins in Super Cup finals.

Looking at their recent run, it is clear they will be the favorites in this game. Inter’s win over Atalanta was their seventh in a row in domestic action.

The manner of the wins also matters, and Inter Milan have scored at least twice in each of them while keeping six clean sheets. This season, Inter have suffered just two defeats. One of them was in the first Milan derby this season.

AC Milan lost to Inter the last time they met in the Super Cup final.

With fond memories, Milan will recall their late 2-1 win over Inter Milan in Serie A. They still trail Inter in terms of wins in this derby but will come here confident that they can bag this title.

To book their slot here, AC Milan came from a goal down to beat record winners Juventus 2-1. Milan have a new manager in Sergio Conceicao, and the win over Juventus was his first on his touchline debut.

That was their fifth unbeaten outing, though two of those matches ended in draws. Only Atalanta beat Milan in their last 13 matches.

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Inter Milan against AC Milan Lineups: Starting 11

Inter Milan

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

1
Y. Sommer
31
Y. Bisseck
6
S. De Vrij
95
A. Bastoni
2
D. Dumfries
23
N. Barella
20
H. Calhanoglu
22
H. Mkhitaryan
32
F. Dimarco
99
M. Taremi
10
L. Martinez
20
A. Jimenez
7
A. Morata
11
C. Pulisic
14
T. Reijnders
29
Y. Fofana
80
Y. Musah
19
T. Hernandez
28
M. Thiaw
23
F. Tomori
22
Emerson
16
M. Maignan

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

AC Milan

Missing players

Inter Milan
Inter Milan
Goalkeeper

R. Di Gennaro

Defender

F. Acerbi

B. Pavard

AC Milan
AC Milan
Defender

A. Florenzi

Midfielder

S. Chukwueze

Forward

N. Okafor

Inter Milan & AC Milan Squad Analysis

Inter Milan are a solid side, thanks to solid individual players. A standout name in that case is Denzel Dumfries. The Dutchman scored both goals in their semi-final win and will be confident coming into this match.

He has now scored three times in the last five matches. As Inter hope for Dumfries to extend this streak, they are forced to do without their main man in. attack.

Marcus Thuram was hauled off at half time in the semi-final with a thigh injury. Mehdi Taremi should be a direct replacement, partnering with skipper Lautaro Martinez.

Inter will still be without Francesco Acerbi and Benjamin Pavard in this match.

The new Milan manager has suggested all players have a chance in his reign. He put that to practice when he recalled Fikayo Tomori. The Portuguese coach also benefited from Ismael Bennacer and Cristian Pulisic recovering from injuries.

Those three players featured changes from his predecessor. Pulisic would go on to score Milan’s first as they came back against Juventus. Milan will, however, be without Englishman Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Alessandro Florenzi, Samuel Chukwueze and Noah Okafor all through injuries.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Inter Milan
CD Huachipato AC Milan
Top Goalscorer
Netherlands D. Dumfries (2 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
USA C. Pulisic (2 Goals)

Inter Milan - AC Milan Key Points

  1. Inter Milan are on seven straight wins in domestic action.
  2. Inter Milan have five straight wins in their latest Super Cup matches.
  3. In the last seven meetings between these two, Inter won six times.
  4. AC Milan lost in their last Super Cup meeting with Inter.
  5. AC Milan failed to win in three of their last six matches.
  6. AC Milan lost twice in three Super Cup matches.
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Our Inter Milan vs AC Milan Prediction

Such matches require players at their optimum, and Inter Milan will feel well rested, having played their semi-final a day earlier. This is an advantage and an addition to their already good run.

At Milan, though enjoying the new-manager bounce, haven't been as convincing as Inter Milan. They may well come looking entirely different, this being a derby but they are underdogs here. In our prediction for Inter Milan v AC Milan, we say: Inter Milan wins the match.

Prediction :

 

Inter Milan wins the match

 
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Inter Milan vs AC Milan - Other Interesting Predictions

Inter Milan to win to nil

Odds 3.25

Inter Milan have been solid defensively in the run-up to this match, keeping five straight clean sheets. None of the last three matches between these two ended with a clean sheet but there could be change here. Our second prediction is for Inter Milan to win to nil.

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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Inter Milan AC Milan

Inter Milan vs AC Milan Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Inter Milan wins 1.67 1.83 +9.6%
Draw 3.8 3.5 -7.9%
AC Milan wins 5 4.5 -10.0%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Inter Milan is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 9.6% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 59.9% and is now 54.6% (-5.2%)

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Inter Milan vs AC Milan match : Frequently asked questions

The Inter Milan v AC Milan Super Cup match will be played on Monday 6th January.

The Inter Milan v AC Milan Super Cup match will be staged at the Al Awwal Park in Riyadh.

Inter Milan will miss Francesco Acerbi, Marcus Thuram and Benjamin Pavard. AC Milan will be without Noah Okafor, Samuel Chukwueze, Ruben Loftus-Cheek and Alessandro Florenzi.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Inter Milan vs AC Milan Prediction
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