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Inter Milan vs AC Milan Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
by Sridhar in Serie A Predictions
It's the first Derby della Madonnina of the 2024-25 Serie A season as Inter Milan play city rivals AC Milan at San Siro. This match on Sunday has all the makings of a classic, and our prediction is a win for the Nerazzurri against the Rossoneri.
The blue half of Milan has dominated the red half in recent seasons, winning the last six matches in all competitions. This is the longest such winning streak in the 115-year history of this city rivalry, and Inter look determined to extend that sequence.
AC Milan didn’t have the best of starts to their campaign, and their woes are further compounded by the injury to first-choice ‘keeper Mike Maignan. That could be a body blow for the designated visitors, especially as they look for ways to turn things around.
Milan manager Paulo Fonseca has failed to beat Inter in his four previous meetings against them, drawing three and losing once. Will that change here, or does Inter have enough quality to keep winning? Read on to find our prediction.
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The Best Betting Odds for Inter Milan v AC Milan Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.7 | 3.9 | 5 |
|
|
1.7 | 3.75 | 4.8 |
|
|
1.73 | 4.19 | 5.07 |
|
|
1.73 | 4.19 | 5.07 |
|
|
1.72 | 3.8 | 5 |
|
|
1.71 | 3.88 | 4.74 |
|
|
1.71 | 3.88 | 4.74 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.95 | 4.7 |
|
|
1.66 | 4.04 | 4.88 |
|
|
1.68 | 4.1 | 5 |
|
|
1.67 | 3.75 | 5 |
|
|
1.7 | 3.95 | 4.7 |
|
|
1.7 | 3.8 | 5 |
|
|
1.71 | 3.94 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.7 | 3.8 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.68 | 3.9 | 5.1 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Inter Milan and AC Milan?
Our prediction for the Inter Milan vs AC Milan match is: Inter Milan to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/09/2024 between Inter Milan and AC Milan in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.02% for a win of Inter Milan against AC Milan with odds of 1.75 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Inter Milan vs AC Milan is 31.45% with odds of 4.19 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 15.53% chance ⭐ for a win of AC Milan vs Inter Milan with odds of 5.5 at Vbet.
Inter Milan - AC Milan Prediction and Best Odds:
| Inter Milan AC Milan Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Inter Milan wins | 53.02% | 1.75 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.04% | 1.88 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 63.33% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Inter Milan/Inter Milan | 26.23% | 2.75 at Betsson |
Inter Milan vs AC Milan Form
Inter Milan and AC Milan's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
34 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 25 |
|
8
|
26 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
Inter Milan and AC Milan Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Sep 2024 - Champions League
15 Sep 2024 - Serie A
30 Aug 2024 - Serie A
24 Aug 2024 - Serie A
17 Aug 2024 - Serie A
11 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2024 - Serie A
24 Aug 2024 - Serie A
7 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
22 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 May 2024 - Serie A
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Sep 2024 - Champions League
15 Sep 2024 - Serie A
17 Aug 2024 - Serie A
11 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
26 May 2024 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Sep 2024 - Champions League
14 Sep 2024 - Serie A
31 Aug 2024 - Serie A
24 Aug 2024 - Serie A
17 Aug 2024 - Serie A
13 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Sep 2024 - Champions League
14 Sep 2024 - Serie A
17 Aug 2024 - Serie A
13 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2024 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2024 - Serie A
24 Aug 2024 - Serie A
6 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 May 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Inter Milan vs AC Milan Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
22 Apr 2024 - Serie A
16 Sep 2023 - Serie A
16 May 2023 - Champions League
10 May 2023 - Champions League
5 Feb 2023 - Serie A
18 Jan 2023 - Super Cup
Inter Milan - AC Milan: Form Analysis
Inter Milan are fourth in the Serie A standings ahead of this weekend, with eight points from four matches. They have two wins and draws each and start this round two points behind leaders Udinese.
The Nerazzurri are coming off a 0-0 draw against Manchester City in the midweek Champions League fixture, a creditable performance against a top European side. They would need that confidence to improve their league fortunes, as Inter drew 1-1 with Monza in their last Serie A match.
Inter have won 13 of their last 16 home Serie A matches.
Both their home wins this season have come to nil, including a comprehensive 4-0 win over Atalanta. AC Milan are tenth in the standings with five points from one win and two draws. They are coming off a 3-1 loss to Liverpool in the Champions League, despite taking a lead in the third minute.
In the league too, AC Milan are struggling for consistency, winning only one of their four league matches this season. That victory has come in their last outing, when they won 4-0 against Venezia. It was a much-needed win for the Rossoneri, as they started the campaign with two draws and one loss. Both the draws have come by a 2-2 scoreline, while the loss was by a 2-1 margin to Parma.
That defeat came on the road for AC Milan, and they have also failed to win in their other away league match, a 2-2 draw at Lazio.
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Players list
Y. Sommer
DefenderB. Pavard
F. Acerbi
C. Augusto
M. Darmian
F. Dimarco
MidfielderP. Zielinski
K. Asllani
D. Frattesi
ForwardL. Martinez
M. Thuram
M. Maignan
DefenderEmerson
M. Gabbia
F. Tomori
T. Hernandez
MidfielderY. Fofana
T. Reijnders
ForwardN. Okafor
S. Chukwueze
R. Loftus-Cheek
S. Pavlovic
Substitutes
R. Di Gennaro
J. Martinez
DefenderS. De Vrij
C. Augusto
M. Darmian
Y. Bisseck
T. Palacios
MidfielderP. Zielinski
K. Asllani
D. Frattesi
M. Taremi
M. Arnautovic
J. Correa
N. Raveyre
L. Torriani
DefenderS. Pavlovic
A. Jimenez
M. Thiaw
MidfielderY. Musah
K. Zeroli
R. Loftus-Cheek
S. Chukwueze
F. Terracciano
ForwardN. Okafor
L. Jovic
Inter Milan & AC Milan Squad Analysis
Inter Milan’s captain, Lautaro Martinez, started the midweek match against Manchester City on the bench but is likely to start here. He has an impressive record of eight goals in 16 matches against Milan, four of those coming in ten Serie A matches.
Another player set to return for the Nerazzurri is Federico Dimarco, who could get a starting role. The only absentee for Inter is Tajon Buchanan, while Marko Arnautovic remains doubtful but could recover in time for this match.
Thuram has scored in both his Serie A matches against Milan.
The forward has scored four goals in four league matches this season and could get into the record books with another one in this match. Milan won’t have their first-choice goalkeeper, Mike Maignan, to stop him, as he was forced off with an injury on Tuesday. That could mean a starting role for the 19-year-old teenager Lorenzo Torriani, which may further weaken their chances.
Not just that, the Rossoneri have other injury concerns as well, with Ismael Bennacer, Alessandro Florenzi, Marco Sportiello, and Malick Thiaw also out of contention with various injuries.
While all those injuries keep them worried, AC Milan will hope that Christian Pulisic will provide the spark. He has two goals and two assists to his name already, making him a key player for the Rossoneri.
Most goals and assists
Inter Milan
AC Milan
M. Thuram
(12 Goals)
C. Pulisic
(8 Goals)
F. Dimarco
(4 Assists)
,
A. Bastoni
(4 Assists)
, 
H. Mkhitaryan
(4 Assists)
R. Leao
(5 Assists)
,
C. Pulisic
(5 Assists)
,
Y. Fofana
(5 Assists)
Inter Milan - AC Milan Key Points
- Inter have won their last six matches against AC Milan in all competitions
- Inter have won two of their last three league matches, drawing the other
- AC Milan have lost two of their last four competitive matches, winning only one
- AC Milan have lost two of their last three designated away league matches, drawing the other
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Our Inter Milan vs AC Milan Prediction
The form book goes out of the window in derbies, keeping fans on the tenterhooks, and Derby della Madonnina is no different. Inter Milan and AC Milan come into this fixture with contrasting forms, but it is the Nerazzurri who have a slight upper hand. They have bossed AC Milan in the recent seasons with six straight wins in all competitions and are definitely strong favorites to continue that run here. AC are also likely to miss their first-choice 'keeper, which puts further pressure on the Rossoneri. That’s why our prediction for Inter Milan vs AC Milan is a win for Inter Milan.
Inter Milan vs AC Milan - Other Interesting Predictions
Marcus Thuram to score anytime
Marcus Thuram has been Inter’s top striker this season, scoring four goals in four league matches. He also had success against AC Milan last year, scoring in both the league derbies. Can he continue that run and score once again here? Back Thuram to score a goal here.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Inter Milan AC Milan
| Inter Milan vs AC Milan | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Milan wins | 1.9 | 1.7 | -10.5% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.9 | +11.4% |
| AC Milan wins | 4 | 5 | +25.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Inter Milan is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 10.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 52.6% and is now 58.8% (6.2%)
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Inter Milan vs AC Milan match : Frequently asked questions
This Inter Milan vs AC Milan Italian Serie A match will be televised live on DAZN in Italy and on TNT Sports 1 in the UK.
You can also follow the game through our live scores. Check out our Italian Serie A Livescore page!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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