IF Elfsborg vs Molde Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League
by Daniel Ngulu in Europa League Predictions
Swedish side Elfsborg has one foot in the league stage of the Europa League as they prepare to host Norwegian side Molde. The two teams will meet in the return leg of their play-off tie this Thursday at the Boras Arena in Boras at 18.00 GMT.
Here’s our preview and a prediction of the match as the two sides meet for the fourth time in their history. In the first leg of this tie, Elfsborg registered a 1-0 away win to carry the advantage to the home leg.
With that win, they also ended a run of two straight losses against Molde, having earlier met in the Conference League in 2022. The hosts are enjoying a good run of form and will in this game go in search of an eighth unbeaten outing.
Meanwhile, Molde recovered from their loss in the first leg and come here knowing it is a must-win clash if they are to stay in the competition.
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The Best Betting Odds for IF Elfsborg v Molde Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
51 | 10 | 1.06 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.6 | 2.9 |
|
|
12.8 | 1.06 | 48 |
|
|
12.8 | 1.06 | 48 |
|
|
2.35 | 3.6 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.66 | 2.98 |
|
|
96 | 7 | 1.07 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.66 | 2.98 |
|
|
2.28 | 3.65 | 2.85 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between IF Elfsborg and Molde?
Our prediction for the IF Elfsborg vs Molde match is: Elfsborg to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/08/2024 between IF Elfsborg and Molde in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 54.9% for a win of IF Elfsborg against Molde with odds of 96 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between IF Elfsborg vs Molde is 13.64% with odds of 10 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 31.46% chance ⭐ for a win of Molde vs IF Elfsborg with odds of 48 at 1xbet.
IF Elfsborg - Molde Prediction and Best Odds:
| IF Elfsborg Molde Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| IF Elfsborg wins | 54.9% | 96 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.93% | 2.08 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 50% | 1.67 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time : IF Elfsborg/IF Elfsborg | 24.58% | 3.5 at Bet365 |
IF Elfsborg vs Molde Form
IF Elfsborg and Molde Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Aug 2024 - Allsvenskan
22 Aug 2024 - Europa League
18 Aug 2024 - Allsvenskan
15 Aug 2024 - Europa League
11 Aug 2024 - Allsvenskan
8 Aug 2024 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Aug 2024 - Eliteserien
22 Aug 2024 - Europa League
15 Aug 2024 - Europa League
11 Aug 2024 - Eliteserien
8 Aug 2024 - Europa League
1 Aug 2024 - Europa League
IF Elfsborg against Molde : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
22 Aug 2024 - Europa League
28 Jul 2022 - Conference League
21 Jul 2022 - Conference League
IF Elfsborg - Molde: Form Analysis
Elfsborg’s resilience has to be admired, the Swedes having started off from the Europa League 1st qualifying round. They’ve come all the way and are now just a game away from the league phase of the competition.
Their return to the Europa League after last participating in 2015 is close to reaping big fruits. The journey that started in early July has seen Elfsborg overcome Pafos, Sheriff and Rijeka. Now they have prepared Molde well for guillotine.
In their seven Europa League outings, they are on six wins and five of them with clean sheets. Across their last seven competitive matches, Elfsborg are unbeaten. They’ve only suffered one defeat in the last 14 encounters. In warming up for this game, Elfsborg beat IFK Göteborg 3-1.
With a narrow lead from the first leg, Elfsborg remain favorites to advance to the league phase.
Molde’s recent run has been shaky, and a case in point is their loss at home to Elfsborg in the first leg. That was their second straight defeat, the first also having been in the Europa League against Cercle Brugge.
However, they sailed through, as they had already taken a 3-0 lead at home. Right ahead of this game, Molde returned to their best, thumping HamKam 3-0 in the Norwegian top league. Their season in the Europa League started in the 2nd qualifying round but it hasn’t been smooth at all for Molde.
In their five matches so far, they have three losses. Here they will try to rise from the ashes though it is the first time they go to the return leg trailing. Molde’s away form in the Europa League reads five losses in six outings.
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IF Elfsborg against Molde Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
IF Elfsborg & Molde Squad Analysis
Injury in the game against Goteborg is set to rule out Sebastian Holmen from this match. The defender didn’t return after the break and Gustav Henriksson will keep the slot for this game.
Ahmed Qasen and Michael Baidoo have been major outlets for goals and should command starting berths here. The two have scored a combined eight goals in the last seven matches.
Injuries to key players won't help Molde's situation ahead of the return leg.
At Molde, in need of goals, Magnus Eikrem, brace scorer over the weekend, will be expected to start. With three goals in five matches, there can never be a better pick to lead the attack for the visitors.
Fredrik Gulbrandsen has, however, been confirmed absent with injury while Valdemar Lund is a major doubt after being withdrawn in their weekend game.
IF Elfsborg - Molde Key Points
- Molde have five losses in six away Europa League matches.
- Molde have three wins only in 12 away Europa League matches.
- Molde have suffered losses in half of their last 10 competitive matches.
- Elfsborg are unbeaten in their last seven outings, winning five of them.
- Elfsborg have six wins in their last seven matches in the Europa League.
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Our IF Elfsborg vs Molde Prediction
Elfsborg’s ambition to defend their narrow lead in this tie will be helped on by the fact that they will be playing at home. That is just one of the edges they have coming into the clash; the hosts have also had a great run in recent matches.
They arrive for this game unbeaten in the last seven matches, having won five. Their form in Europe this season has also been great. The Swedish side hasn’t lost in the seven Europa League matches played, winning six.
Meanwhile, Molde have three losses in five Europa League games. Our prediction for Elfsborg v Molde is for Elfsborg to win.
IF Elfsborg vs Molde - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5 goals
Elfsborg have been consistent in attack and the same could be seen in this game. Two of their last five matches produced over 2.5 goals. As for Molde, three of their last five matches returned at least three goals. These numbers lead us to a possible high-scoring game and our second prediction is for over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis IF Elfsborg Molde
| IF Elfsborg vs Molde | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| IF Elfsborg wins | 2.55 | 51 | +1,900.0% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 10 | +185.7% |
| Molde wins | 2.6 | 1.06 | -59.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- IF Elfsborg is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 1,900.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 39.2% and is now 2.0% (-37.3%)
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IF Elfsborg vs Molde match : Frequently asked questions
The Elfsborg v Molde game will kick off at 6pm GMT on Thursday 29th August.
The Elfsborg v Molde game will be played at the Boras Arena.
The Elfsborg v Molde game will be aired live on Viaplay Group for both Norwegian and Swedish audiences. You can also follow our Live Europa League page for the live scores.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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