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Houston Dynamo vs Saint Louis City SC Prediction & Betting Tips - Major League Soccer
by Joseph King | in Major League Soccer Predictions
The fifth-place Houston Dynamo welcome the Western Conference leaders to town when they take on St. Louis City SC on Saturday. Only four points separate eighth-place and second-place in the West. This means that every remaining match carries greater significance as we head into the final stretch of the MLS regular season. Houston have been on an extremely impressive run over the past seven weeks that has seen them shoot up in the standings. Ahead of this fixture, the Dynamo have registered six wins, one draw and only one defeat over their previous eight games across all competitions. They saw their four match winning streak snapped in their last outing against the LA Galaxy as the match fizzled out to a 0-0 draw. The key to Houston’s success this season has been their strong form at Shell Energy Stadium. They’ve won nine of 13 in front of the home fans and boast a remarkable defensive record of only eight goals conceded.
The dream season continues on for St. Louis City who will be looking to extend their lead atop the West standings. They’ve managed 15 wins and three draws across 28 matches to give them a seven point lead over second-place Seattle. Since returning from a disappointing Leagues Cup, City have experienced mixed results. They clobbered Austin 6-3 at home in their first game back but have since only managed one win in their last four. Their most recent appearance saw Bradley Carnell’s men relinquish a two goal lead to hosts LA Galaxy in a match that finished 2-2. Similar to their opponents today, much of St. Louis City’s success is owed to their fantastic home results. Their 10 wins at home gives them the fourth-best home mark in the entire MLS. However, away wins have been much harder to come upon as the expansion side has managed only five in 14 trips.
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Houston Dynamo vs Saint Louis City SC Form
Houston Dynamo and Saint Louis City SC's standings in the Major League Soccer
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
|
56 | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 17 |
4
|
51 | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 13 |
Houston Dynamo and Saint Louis City SC Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Sep 2023 - Major League Soccer
23 Aug 2023 - US Open Cup
7 Aug 2023 - Leagues Cup
2 Aug 2023 - Leagues Cup
25 Jul 2023 - Leagues Cup
21 Jul 2023 - Leagues Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2023 - US Open Cup
25 Jul 2023 - Leagues Cup
12 Jul 2023 - Major League Soccer
8 Jul 2023 - Major League Soccer
10 Jun 2023 - Major League Soccer
13 May 2023 - Major League Soccer
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Sep 2023 - Major League Soccer
7 Aug 2023 - Leagues Cup
2 Aug 2023 - Leagues Cup
21 Jul 2023 - Leagues Cup
1 Jul 2023 - Major League Soccer
14 Jun 2023 - Major League Soccer
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Sep 2023 - Major League Soccer
2 Sep 2023 - Major League Soccer
26 Aug 2023 - Major League Soccer
20 Aug 2023 - Major League Soccer
27 Jul 2023 - Leagues Cup
23 Jul 2023 - Leagues Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Aug 2023 - Major League Soccer
27 Jul 2023 - Leagues Cup
15 Jul 2023 - Major League Soccer
1 Jul 2023 - Major League Soccer
21 Jun 2023 - Major League Soccer
11 Jun 2023 - Major League Soccer
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Sep 2023 - Major League Soccer
2 Sep 2023 - Major League Soccer
26 Aug 2023 - Major League Soccer
23 Jul 2023 - Leagues Cup
12 Jul 2023 - Major League Soccer
8 Jul 2023 - Major League Soccer
Houston Dynamo vs Saint Louis City SC Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
3 Jun 2023 - Major League Soccer
Houston Dynamo against Saint Louis City SC Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 4 - 1 - 1
Missing players
T. Schmitt
R. Alm
Most goals and assists
Houston Dynamo - Saint Louis City SC Key Points
- Houston has a +18 goal differential at home compared to -13 on the road.
- The hosts have won their last two consecutive home MLS matches by a combined score of 7-0.
- The Dynamo have a home expected goal differential per 90 of +0.72, the fourth-best mark in the West.
- St. Louis City have scored less than half of the goals on the road (18) than they have at home this season (37).
- The visitors hold an expected goal differential per 90 minutes of -0.18, ranking as the fourth-worst team in the West.
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Our Houston Dynamo vs Saint Louis City SC Prediction
Houston are formidable at home and will prove to be difficult opponents for high-flying St. Louis City. The underlying numbers suggest that the expansion team should eventually begin to regress but that hasn’t happened up to this point. Still, we’re going to trust in the numbers and continue to fade this St. Louis team on the road. Houston’s pristine home defensive record combined with St. Louis City’s drastic drop-off in away goal production should result in three points for the hosts. Our Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City prediction is for Houston to win.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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