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Hoffenheim vs Holstein Kiel Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
by Kennedy Kechula in Bundesliga Predictions
Buoyed by their performance in the second tier, Holstein Kiel are eyeing a win in their first ever Bundesliga game. They will start off with an away match at Hoffenheim on Saturday. If you are looking to bet on this match, we have a prediction at the end of this preview.
Hoffenheim survived a scare against Regionalliga side Würzburger Kickers in the DFB Pokal, needing penalties to win after a 2-2 draw. They will look to do better, having come from behind twice in that match.
A run of three wins in their closing five league games last season is a place to start from in seeking motivation for this clash. Hoffenheim scored 17 times in those five matches, losing once.
This will mark their second meeting with Holstein Kiel in history. Their first was also goal-laden as Hoffenheim won the German Cup game 5-1 in 2021.
Holstein Kiel didn’t have a great preseason. That didn’t matter much as they started their competitive season with a 3-2 away win at Alemannia Aachen in the German Cup. The challenge gets tougher as they make their Bundesliga debut.
Holstein Kiel finished second in Bundesliga 2 last season just a point behind winners St. Pauli. They aren’t tipped for a top finish in the highest league but the visitors can afford to dream, inspired by Heidenheim’s performance last season.
Their manager Marcel Rapp will have an idea of the challenge ahead, having served at Hoffenheim’s youth teams before. The one strength that could define Holstein Kiel’s league opener is their ability in attack. They scored in each of their last 25 matches.
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The Best Betting Odds for Hoffenheim v Holstein Kiel Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.29 | 5.5 | 10 |
|
|
1.91 | 2.8 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.17 | 6 | 27 |
|
|
1.17 | 6 | 27 |
|
|
1.69 | 4.4 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.62 | 4.34 | 4.9 |
|
|
1.2 | 6 | 21 |
|
|
1.63 | 4.36 | 4.8 |
|
|
1.65 | 4.5 | 4.8 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Hoffenheim and Holstein Kiel?
Our prediction for the Hoffenheim vs Holstein Kiel match is: Over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/08/2024 between Hoffenheim and Holstein Kiel in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.08% for a win of Hoffenheim against Holstein Kiel with odds of 1.91 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Hoffenheim vs Holstein Kiel is 18.02% with odds of 6 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.9% chance ⭐ for a win of Holstein Kiel vs Hoffenheim with odds of 27 at 1xbet.
Hoffenheim - Holstein Kiel Prediction and Best Odds:
| Hoffenheim Holstein Kiel Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Hoffenheim wins | 41.08% | 1.91 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.49% | 1.65 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 58.33% | |
| Half-time: Holstein Kiel / Full-time: Hoffenheim | 15.66% | 17 at Bet365 |
Hoffenheim vs Holstein Kiel Form
Hoffenheim and Holstein Kiel's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
16
|
8 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -6 |
|
17
|
5 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -12 |
Hoffenheim and Holstein Kiel Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2024 - DFB Pokal
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
13 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2024 - Bundesliga
3 May 2024 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2024 - DFB Pokal
13 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
12 May 2024 - Bundesliga
26 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
13 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
30 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2024 - DFB Pokal
29 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 May 2024 - 2nd Bundesliga
11 May 2024 - 2nd Bundesliga
5 May 2024 - 2nd Bundesliga
27 Apr 2024 - 2nd Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 May 2024 - 2nd Bundesliga
27 Apr 2024 - 2nd Bundesliga
13 Apr 2024 - 2nd Bundesliga
30 Mar 2024 - 2nd Bundesliga
9 Mar 2024 - 2nd Bundesliga
23 Feb 2024 - 2nd Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2024 - DFB Pokal
29 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 May 2024 - 2nd Bundesliga
5 May 2024 - 2nd Bundesliga
20 Apr 2024 - 2nd Bundesliga
6 Apr 2024 - 2nd Bundesliga
Hoffenheim vs Holstein Kiel Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
26 Oct 2021 - DFB Pokal
Players list
O. Baumann
DefenderK. Akpoguma
T. Drexler
P. Kaderabek
MidfielderA. Stach
G. Promel
D. Geiger
S. Nsoki
ForwardM. Moerstedt
M. Berisha
J. Bruun Larsen
T. Weiner
DefenderF. Porath
T. Becker
A. Kelati
MidfielderP. Erras
M. Ivezic
M. Schulz
N. Remberg
A. Bernhardsson
ForwardS. Machino
F. Arp
Substitutes
L. Philipp
DefenderA. Szalai
S. Nsoki
L. Strobl
MidfielderD. Geiger
F. Micheler
ForwardJ. Bruun Larsen
M. Moerstedt
M. Berisha
T. Dahne
DefenderM. Geschwill
L. Rosenboom
MidfielderM. Schulz
N. Remberg
A. Gigovic
A. Kelati
F. Porath
F. Arp
Missing players
O. Kabak
C. Lenz
MidfielderF. Becker
ForwardI. Bebou
C. Kleine-Bekel
Most goals and assists
Hoffenheim
Holstein Kiel
M. Bulter
(5 Goals)
, 
A. Kramaric
(5 Goals)
S. Machino
(5 Goals)
A. Kramaric
(2 Assists)
F. Porath
(2 Assists)
Hoffenheim - Holstein Kiel Key Points
- Six goals were scored in these teams’ only previous meeting.
- Hoffenheim scored 17 times in their last five league matches.
- Holstein Kiel’s last five away matches produced a total of 15 goals.
- 22 goals were scored in Hoffenheim’s last five home league games.
- Both teams’ matches in the DFB Pokal had at least three goals scored.
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Our Hoffenheim vs Holstein Kiel Prediction
This match marks the first meeting for these two teams in the Bundesliga. Their only encounter so far, a DFB Pokal game three years ago, ended with six goals being scored. Both are coming from high-scoring German Cup outings, where they each conceded twice and scored at least as many.
Goals were the highlight of Hoffenheim’s closing league matches last season. The team scored 17 in five games and meets a side whose finish also involved high scores. Going into the first week of the Bundesliga, our prediction for Hoffenheim v Holstein Kiel is for the match to produce over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Hoffenheim Holstein Kiel
| Hoffenheim vs Holstein Kiel | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hoffenheim wins | 1.53 | 1.29 | -15.7% |
| Draw | 4.33 | 5.5 | +27.0% |
| Holstein Kiel wins | 5.5 | 10 | +81.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Hoffenheim is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 15.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 65.4% and is now 77.5% (12.2%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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