Germany - Bundesliga
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by Daniel Ngulu in Bundesliga Predictions
Hoffenheim’s quest to rise further away from the relegation zone could encounter some headwinds this weekend. Die Kraichgauer are set to host Europe chasers Freiburg this Sunday. We have a prediction for this match below.
A change in management at Hoffenheim has brought mixed results but their run remains shaky. The home team came from behind three times to beat Leipzig after the latest international break.
However, they slumped into their poor ways again soon after, and come into this game on three straight defeats. The most recent of them saw their elimination from the DFB Pokal, a 3-0 fall at the hands of Wolfsburg. That made it three losses without scoring.
Like Hoffenheim, Freiburg are also coming from defeat in the DFB Pokal. They were dumped out by lower league side Arminia Bielefeld in a 3-1 loss.
That was a second defeat for the team in three matches, having earlier fallen 4-0 to Borussia Dortmund. As they are placed seventh, however, Freiburg will come here as favorites, and looking to push for a spot in the top six.
They are winless in three away matches and scored just once in the process. Over the recent seasons Freiburg have fashioned themselves as Hoffenheim’s bogey team. They are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Hoffenheim, winning five.
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The Best Betting Odds for Hoffenheim v Freiburg Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.4 | 3.25 | 3 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.2 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.46 | 3.34 | 3.08 |
|
|
2.46 | 3.34 | 3.08 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.3 | 2.95 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Hoffenheim and Freiburg?
Our prediction for the Hoffenheim vs Freiburg match is: Freiburg to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/12/2024 between Hoffenheim and Freiburg in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.43% for a win of Hoffenheim against Freiburg with odds of 2.55 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Hoffenheim vs Freiburg is 19.43% with odds of 3.38 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 38.14% chance ⭐ for a win of Freiburg vs Hoffenheim with odds of 3.08 at 1xbet.
Hoffenheim - Freiburg Prediction and Best Odds:
| Hoffenheim Freiburg Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Hoffenheim wins | 42.43% | 2.55 at Betsson |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.08% | 1.95 at Betobet |
| Both Team To Score | 51.67% | |
| Half-time: Freiburg / Full-time: Hoffenheim | 16.23% | 34 at Betsson |
Hoffenheim vs Freiburg Form
Hoffenheim and Freiburg's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
42 | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | -3 |
|
14
|
27 | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | -16 |
Hoffenheim and Freiburg Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Dec 2024 - DFB Pokal
1 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
28 Nov 2024 - Europa League
23 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
10 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
7 Nov 2024 - Europa League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
7 Nov 2024 - Europa League
2 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
30 Oct 2024 - DFB Pokal
19 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
3 Oct 2024 - Europa League
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Dec 2024 - DFB Pokal
1 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
28 Nov 2024 - Europa League
10 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
27 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
24 Oct 2024 - Europa League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Dec 2024 - DFB Pokal
30 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
23 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
14 Nov 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
3 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
3 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
30 Oct 2024 - DFB Pokal
19 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
28 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
14 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Dec 2024 - DFB Pokal
23 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
14 Nov 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
26 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
5 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
Hoffenheim vs Freiburg Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
17 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
20 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga
19 Aug 2023 - Bundesliga
12 Mar 2023 - Bundesliga
18 Sep 2022 - Bundesliga
30 Apr 2022 - Bundesliga
19 Jan 2022 - DFB Pokal
Hoffenheim against Freiburg Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
O. Kabak
MidfielderG. Promel
ForwardI. Bebou
D. Kyereh
Most goals and assists
Hoffenheim
Freiburg
A. Hlozek
(9 Goals)
V. Grifo
(10 Goals)
A. Kramaric
(7 Assists)
V. Grifo
(9 Assists)
Hoffenheim - Freiburg Key Points
- Freiburg are unbeaten in six matches against Hoffenheim.
- Freiburg lost only once in their last four league matches.
- Hoffenheim lost each of their last three matches.
- Half of Hoffenheim’s 12 league matches ended in defeat.
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Our Hoffenheim vs Freiburg Prediction
have slumped to straight defeats in the last three matches, across different competitions. It is further concerning that they failed to score in those three defeats, which came after scoring four times against Leipzig.
In this game, they will encounter hard times again as Freiburg have lately been doing well in this fixture. The visiting team hasn’t had great results either but with their dominance over Hoffenheim we will back them here. Our prediction for Hoffenheim v Freiburg is for Freiburg to win.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Hoffenheim Freiburg
| Hoffenheim vs Freiburg | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hoffenheim wins | 2.63 | 2.4 | -8.7% |
| Draw | 3.3 | 3.25 | -1.5% |
| Freiburg wins | 2.63 | 3 | +14.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Hoffenheim is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 8.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 38.0% and is now 41.7% (3.6%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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