Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
by Joseph King in Bundesliga Predictions
Matchday three in the 2024/25 Bundesliga season sees 11th-place Hofenheim locking horns with defending champions Bayer Leverkusen who are sitting eighth. Let’s break down this match between Die Kraichgauer and Die Werkself.
Hoffenheim had a strong season last year, securing their best finish since the 2019/20 campaign in seventh place which qualified them for the league phase of the Europa League.
Hoffenheim will be looking to build upon the success of last season. They secured their best finish since the 2019/20 campaign in seventh place, thus qualifying them for the league phase of the Europa League.
It’s been a mixed start to the new season for Hoffenheim who have split their first two Bundesliga fixtures. In addition, they also needed penalties to get past fourth-division side Wurzburger Kickers in the first round of the DFB Pokal. Hoffenheim fell to a 3-1 away defeat against Frankfurt in their most recent outing.
Leverkusen had a historic 2023/24 season, winning the league and cup double while remaining unbeaten in all domestic competitions.
They come into this game after seeing their 35 match Bundesliga unbeaten run come to an end in their latest match. Leverkusen blew a 2-0 lead against RB Leipzig to ultimately lose 3-2. A 3-2 away win over Monchengladbach in the opening fixture of the season means that Xabi Alonso’s side sits even on points with their opponents today.
The defending champions have been victorious in three of the four matches that they have played in the new season. They also claimed their first piece of silverware for the 2024/25 campaign after winning the DFL Supercup on penalties against Stuttgart.
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The Best Betting Odds for Hoffenheim v Bayer Leverkusen Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6 | 4.75 | 1.48 |
|
|
5 | 4.6 | 1.53 |
|
|
4.26 | 3.66 | 1.72 |
|
|
4.26 | 3.66 | 1.72 |
|
|
6 | 5 | 1.47 |
|
|
5.65 | 5.05 | 1.47 |
|
|
5.2 | 5 | 1.53 |
|
|
5.4 | 5 | 1.5 |
|
|
6 | 5.2 | 1.47 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Hoffenheim and Bayer Leverkusen?
Our prediction for the Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen match is: Both teams to score + over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/09/2024 between Hoffenheim and Bayer Leverkusen in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 28.78% for a win of Hoffenheim against Bayer Leverkusen with odds of 6 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen is 19.03% with odds of 5.2 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 52.19% chance ⭐ for a win of Bayer Leverkusen vs Hoffenheim with odds of 1.72 at 1xbet.
Hoffenheim - Bayer Leverkusen Prediction and Best Odds:
| Hoffenheim Bayer Leverkusen Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen wins | 52.19% | 1.72 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72.88% | 2.03 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 72.5% | 1.4 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time: Bayer Leverkusen/Bayer Leverkusen | 24.39% | 2.25 at Ladbrokes |
Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen Form
Hoffenheim and Bayer Leverkusen's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
|
14
|
3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 |
Hoffenheim and Bayer Leverkusen Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
24 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
16 Aug 2024 - DFB Pokal
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
28 Aug 2024 - DFB Pokal
23 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
17 Aug 2024 - Super Cup
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
7 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Hoffenheim against Bayer Leverkusen : Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
4 Nov 2023 - Bundesliga
11 Feb 2023 - Bundesliga
20 Aug 2022 - Bundesliga
7 May 2022 - Bundesliga
15 Dec 2021 - Bundesliga
Hoffenheim against Bayer Leverkusen Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Missing players
O. Kabak
D. Jurasek
MidfielderF. Becker
M. John
G. Promel
ForwardI. Bebou
Hoffenheim - Bayer Leverkusen Key Points
- Hoffenheim saw over 2.5 goals in 27 of 34 Bundesliga fixtures last season (79%).
- 25 of Leverkusen's 34 fixture's last year also finished with over 2.5 goals (74%).
- Both teams to score (BTTS) + over 2.5 goals have occurred in three of Leverkusen’s four competitive fixtures.
- Hoffenheim have seen BTTS + over 2.5 goals in all three of their matches.
- Five of the last six meetings between these two sides have produced BTTS + over 2.5 goals.
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Our Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction
This has historically been a fixture which sees plenty of goal-scoring action and we envision the trend continuing on Saturday. All eyes will be on Leverkusen to see how they respond after finally losing a league match. However, this could work to their advantage as the players can now play without the pressure of trying to conserve the lengthy domestic unbeaten run.
Hoffenheim’s defensive woes look to have carried over into the new campaign and is something the champions should be able to take full advantage of. Our Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction: both teams to score + over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Hoffenheim Bayer Leverkusen
| Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hoffenheim wins | 5 | 6 | +20.0% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 4.75 | +26.7% |
| Bayer Leverkusen wins | 1.67 | 1.48 | -11.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bayer Leverkusen is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 11.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 59.9% and is now 67.6% (7.7%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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