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HJK Helsinki vs FK Panevezys Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Devesh Jaganath in Champions League Predictions
HJK Helsinki have a mountain to climb when they face Panevezys in the Champions League first qualifying round second leg on Tuesday evening. The visitors won last week’s opening leg 3-0 at Aukstaitija Stadionas. The winner of this match will face Jagiellonia Białystok in the second qualifying round.
While HJK Helsinki lost the first leg last week, the scoreline does not accurately reflect how the game panned out as they were the superior side across several metrics. Klubi outperformed their opponents in terms of possession (61%) and attempts on goal (9). Unfortunately, their finishing was wasteful and ultimately cost them.
Over the last six games in all competitions, HJK have now won three and lost three. However, their home record is impressive, unbeaten in their last four and they have only suffered one defeat in their last 11 games.
Notably, the hosts have only failed to score in one of their last 15 home games and they will need to keep up that solid record to overturn this big deficit.
Meanwhile, Panevezys will feel they already have one foot in the next round after last week’s result. Their 3-0 lead came courtesy of Ernestas Veliulis, Nicolas Gorobsov and Noel Mbo’s goals despite being reduced to 10 men in the second half.
The visitors have not been great domestically this season, though, currently in ninth place. The first-leg victory also followed back-to-back A Lyga home losses.
On the road, PAN have won only one of their last six matches in all competitions and conceded two or more goals in four of those games, while failing to score in three.
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The Best Betting Odds for HJK Helsinki v FK Panevezys Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.5 | 1.22 | 13 |
|
|
1.2 | 7 | 12 |
|
|
5.85 | 1.25 | 13.8 |
|
|
5.85 | 1.25 | 13.8 |
|
|
1.27 | 6 | 8.75 |
|
|
1.22 | 7 | 11 |
|
|
1.22 | 7 | 11 |
|
|
5 | 1.18 | 12 |
|
|
1.34 | 5.4 | 8.2 |
|
|
1.22 | 7.4 | 12 |
|
|
6.2 | 1.25 | 15 |
|
|
5.75 | 1.18 | 13 |
|
|
1.2 | 7.25 | 12 |
|
|
9.5 | 1.06 | 41 |
|
|
1.2 | 7 | 10 |
|
|
1.22 | 5.8 | 10 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between HJK Helsinki and FK Panevezys?
Our prediction for the HJK Helsinki vs FK Panevezys match is: HJK Helsinki wins!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/07/2024 between HJK Helsinki and FK Panevezys in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 55.62% for a win of HJK Helsinki against FK Panevezys with odds of 9.5 at Betfair.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between HJK Helsinki vs FK Panevezys is 17.75% with odds of 7.4 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 26.64% chance ⭐ for a win of FK Panevezys vs HJK Helsinki with odds of 41 at Betfair.
HJK Helsinki - FK Panevezys Prediction and Best Odds:
| HJK Helsinki FK Panevezys Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| HJK Helsinki wins | 55.62% | 9.5 at Betfair |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.06% | 8 at Betfair |
| Both Team To Score | 45.83% | |
| Half-time: FK Panevezys / Full-time: HJK Helsinki | 20.64% | 46 at Betfair |
HJK Helsinki vs FK Panevezys Form
HJK Helsinki and FK Panevezys Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jul 2024 - Champions League
6 Jul 2024 - Veikkausliiga
30 Jun 2024 - Veikkausliiga
26 Jun 2024 - Suomen Cup
19 Jun 2024 - Veikkausliiga
16 Jun 2024 - Suomen Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Jun 2024 - Veikkausliiga
7 Jun 2024 - Veikkausliiga
25 May 2024 - Veikkausliiga
22 May 2024 - Veikkausliiga
17 May 2024 - Veikkausliiga
4 May 2024 - Veikkausliiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jul 2024 - Champions League
6 Jul 2024 - Veikkausliiga
30 Jun 2024 - Veikkausliiga
26 Jun 2024 - Suomen Cup
16 Jun 2024 - Suomen Cup
12 Jun 2024 - Veikkausliiga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jul 2024 - Champions League
4 Jul 2024 - A Lyga
29 Jun 2024 - A Lyga
26 Jun 2024 - A Lyga
22 Jun 2024 - A Lyga
19 Jun 2024 - A Lyga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jul 2024 - Champions League
4 Jul 2024 - A Lyga
29 Jun 2024 - A Lyga
22 Jun 2024 - A Lyga
1 Jun 2024 - A Lyga
25 May 2024 - A Lyga
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jun 2024 - A Lyga
19 Jun 2024 - A Lyga
16 Jun 2024 - A Lyga
11 May 2024 - A Lyga
6 May 2024 - LFF Cup
28 Apr 2024 - A Lyga
HJK Helsinki vs FK Panevezys Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
9 Jul 2024 - Champions League
Players list
J. Ost
DefenderB. Lyons-Foster
M. Boamah
N. Pallas
A. Halme
MidfielderG. Kanellopoulos
T. Keskinen
L. Lingman
ForwardS. Hostikka
K. Meriluoto
L. Erwin
E. Timbur
DefenderR. Rasimavicius
L. Klimavicius
K. Dubra
R. Mazan
MidfielderJ. Cadjenovic
L. De Vega
E. Veliulis
N. Gorobsov
F. Palacios
ForwardS. Gussias
Substitutes
N. Maenpaa
DefenderJ. Toivio
D. Tomas
K. Kouassivi-Benissan
M. Ylitolva
MidfielderL. Moller
K. Palumets
ForwardA. Albanese
Atom
H. Bande
L. Plange
A. Olusanya
D. Bukel
V. Cerniauskas
DefenderA. Karvatskiy
M. Cacutalua
M. Beneta
MidfielderN. Bosancic
N. Luksys
J. Sarpong
ForwardN. Mbo
Most goals and assists
HJK Helsinki
FK Panevezys
L. Moller
(1 Goals)
HJK Helsinki - FK Panevezys Key Points
- HJK are unbeaten in their last four home matches
- HJK have only failed to score in one of their last 10 home games
- Panevezys have lost four of their last five away matches
- Panevezys have conceded two or more goals in four of their last five away games
- Panevezys have failed to score in three of their last six away matches
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Our HJK Helsinki vs FK Panevezys Prediction
While Panevezys are in a very strong position to reach round two of qualifying, HJK will feel that they are still in with a shot of overturning this deficit based on their performance last week.
Klubi are likely to dominate possession here as they did in the first leg, and if they can get an early goal, it will be interesting to see how the visitors respond. Our HJK Helsinki vs Panevezys prediction: HJK Helsinki wins!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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