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by Daniel Ngulu in World Cup Predictions
In round five of the CAF region qualifiers for the 2026 World Cup, Guinea will play host to Somalia in Group G. Guinea start this week in fourth place while Somalia are bottom of the pile. We have the prediction of this match below.
Guinea do not have an appropriate venue to host this match and as such will be welcoming Somalia in Abidjan. They will hope playing a home match away from home doesn’t derail their ambitions.
In their last competitive match, Guinea lost 1-0 to Tanzania and will be looking to bounce back here. That happened to be their only defeat in four matches and facing one of the weakest teams in Africa will be a boost.
Somalia are winless in this group and also in their last 10 matches. The last time Somalia won a football match was six years ago, beating Burundi 1-0 in the CECAFA Senior Challenge.
They are among the four teams in the qualification process that are yet to claim a point after four rounds. While they lost each of their last five World Cup qualifying matches, Somalia will be looking at the fact that they scored in four of them as an inspiration.
In their history, Somalia have played 15 matches in World Cup qualifiers, and have just one win and 13 defeats.
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The Best Betting Odds for Guinea v Somalia Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.07 | 13 | 23 |
|
|
1.05 | 9 | 26 |
|
|
1.2 | 4.5 | 19 |
|
|
1.06 | 11.5 | 38 |
|
|
1.06 | 11.5 | 38 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Guinea and Somalia?
Our prediction for the Guinea vs Somalia match is: Guinea to win and over 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/03/2025 between Guinea and Somalia in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 71.89% for a win of Guinea against Somalia with odds of 1.2 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Guinea vs Somalia is 12.83% with odds of 14 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 15.29% chance ⭐ for a win of Somalia vs Guinea with odds of 51 at Betfair.
Guinea vs Somalia Form
Guinea and Somalia's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
|
6
|
0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -6 |
Guinea and Somalia Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2024 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2024 - AFCON
16 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
12 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2024 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2024 - AFCON
12 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
6 Sep 2024 - AFCON
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
2 Feb 2024 - AFCON
28 Jan 2024 - AFCON
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - AFCON
20 Mar 2024 - AFCON
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
16 Nov 2023 - World Cup
0/3 (0%)
0/3 (0%)
3/3 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
20 Mar 2024 - AFCON
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
0/3 (0%)
1/3 (33%)
2/3 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - AFCON
16 Nov 2023 - World Cup
Missing players
M. Guilavogui
Guinea - Somalia Key Points
- Four of Guinea’s last seven World Cup qualifiers at home produced over 3.5 goals.
- Five of Somalia’s last nine World Cup qualifying matches had over 3.5 goals.
- Somalia lost each of their last five matches in World Cup qualifiers.
- Guinea won three of their last four matches.
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Our Guinea vs Somalia Prediction
Guinea will face off with Somalia for the first time in the two nations' history. This is a match pitting two sides far apart in the FIFA rankings and we expect Guinea to prevail. They face off with one of the weakest teams on the continent, case in point; Somalia are yet to pick a point.
Apart from their weak showings, Somalia have been conceding a lot of goals and we expect that trend to continue. They are winless in five straight World Cup qualification matches. Our prediction for Guinea v Somalia is for Guinea to win and over 3.5 goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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