Africa - AFCON
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Guinea vs Senegal Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
by Devesh Jaganath in AFCON Predictions
The winners of Group C in the Africa Cup of Nations will be decided this week when Senegal take on Guinea on Tuesday evening. Senegal currently lead the group standings with six points, while Guinea are behind them in second place with four points.
Cameroon and Gambia, who are on one and zero points, respectively, face off in the other match in the group, so be sure to check out our free AFCON prediction for that match.
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The Best Betting Odds for Guinea v Senegal Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.75 | 3.1 | 1.75 |
|
|
4.9 | 3.05 | 1.83 |
|
|
6.34 | 3.14 | 1.74 |
|
|
6.34 | 3.14 | 1.74 |
|
|
5.55 | 3 | 1.85 |
|
|
5.55 | 3 | 1.85 |
|
|
5 | 3.25 | 1.8 |
|
|
5.71 | 3.03 | 1.83 |
|
|
5 | 3.25 | 1.8 |
|
|
5.1 | 3.17 | 1.86 |
|
|
4.75 | 3.1 | 1.85 |
|
|
5.25 | 3.2 | 1.82 |
|
|
4.65 | 3.2 | 1.9 |
|
|
3.4 | 2.8 | 2.35 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Guinea and Senegal?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/01/2024 between Guinea and Senegal in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 24.99% for a win of Guinea against Senegal with odds of 6.34 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Guinea vs Senegal is 39.93% with odds of 3.25 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.08% chance ⭐ for a win of Senegal vs Guinea with odds of 2.35 at William Hill.
Guinea - Senegal Prediction and Best Odds:
| Guinea Senegal Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 39.93% | 3.25 at Stake |
| Under 2.5 | 77.86% | 1.55 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 37.5% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 25.27% | 4.33 at Bet365 |
Guinea vs Senegal Form
Guinea and Senegal's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
|
3
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 |
Guinea and Senegal Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Jan 2024 - AFCON
15 Jan 2024 - AFCON
8 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
17 Nov 2023 - World Cup
9 Sep 2023 - AFCON
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Jan 2024 - AFCON
8 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
17 Nov 2023 - World Cup
14 Jun 2023 - AFCON
24 Mar 2023 - AFCON
9 Jun 2022 - AFCON
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Jan 2024 - AFCON
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
9 Sep 2023 - AFCON
17 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2023 - AFCON
5 Jun 2022 - AFCON
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Jan 2024 - AFCON
15 Jan 2024 - AFCON
8 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
18 Nov 2023 - World Cup
9 Sep 2023 - AFCON
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Jan 2024 - AFCON
15 Jan 2024 - AFCON
8 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2023 - World Cup
9 Sep 2023 - AFCON
24 Mar 2023 - AFCON
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
20 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies
17 Jun 2023 - AFCON
28 Mar 2023 - AFCON
4 Feb 2023 - African Nations Championship
14 Jan 2023 - African Nations Championship
Guinea vs Senegal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
14 Jan 2022 - AFCON
Guinea - Senegal: Form Analysis
A draw will secure Syli National's passage to the next round, and with Senegal likely resting players for upcoming battles post the group stage, Guinea may sense an opportunity to achieve a favourable result here. Guinea previously held Cameroon to a 1-1 draw in the opening round, taking an early lead through Mohamed Bayo. The team could have maintained that advantage if captain Francois Kamano hadn't received a straight red card towards the end of the first half. Guinea moved closer to qualification with a solid 1-0 victory over Gambia, showing excellent defensive solidity by not allowing a single shot on target in the match. In their last five games across competitions, Guinea have won three, drawn one, and lost one. Notably, they have not conceded more than one goal in any of these matches, with all but one game ending with fewer than three goals.
The Lions of Teranga are already guaranteed a spot in the knockout rounds, having won their first two matches in the competition. Senegal started their AFCON campaign impressively, claiming a 3-0 victory over Gambia, where Lamine Camara became the youngest Senegalese ever to score two goals in an AFCON game. That result was followed by another impressive performance against Cameroon, where they ran out 3-1 winners to secure their passage to the next round. Clearly standing out in the competition, Senegal appears to be a notch above the rest. It will likely require an extraordinary performance from another participating nation to halt their progress. Senegal are in exceptional form, with four wins and one draw in their last five games, conceding only one goal in the process while having scored 11 in that time.
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Players list
I. Kone
DefenderI. Diakite
I. Sylla
M. Camara
S. Sow
MidfielderS. Cisse
M. Guilavogui
A. Diawara
A. Camara
ForwardM. Bayo
K. Cisse
E. Mendy
DefenderK. Koulibaly
A. Seck
F. Ballo-Toure
MidfielderN. Mendy
C. Kouyate
I. Gueye
S. Mane
K. Diatta
ForwardI. Ndiaye
N. Jackson
Substitutes
A. Keita
M. Camara
DefenderI. Diakite
M. Diakhaby
S. Sylla
MidfielderM. Konate
S. Cisse
K. Cisse
J. Kante
M. Bayo
M. Guilavogui
A. Gomis
M. Diaw
DefenderF. Ballo-Toure
F. Mendy
N. Ndiaye
MidfielderI. Gueye
L. Camara
P. Ciss
C. Kouyate
B. Dieng
N. Jackson
I. Ndiaye
Missing players
A. Toure
Y. Sabaly
Guinea & Senegal Squad Analysis
Guinea will be without their captain, Francois Kamano, who received a straight red card in the team's 1-1 draw against Cameroon in the first game. Additionally, there are concerns over the availability of Serhou Guirassy, who is dealing with a hamstring strain, and Issiaga Sylla, who is doubtful due to a calf injury. If Sylla starts, he is likely to assume captaincy duties, as he did in the previous game, while Mohamed Bayo should spearhead the attack.
Senegal faces the potential absence of defender Moussa Niakhite once more, as he missed the second game due to an injury sustained in the first. Midfielder Lamine Camara and striker Habib Diallo are also doubtful, having gone off injured in the 3-1 win over Cameroon in the last match. There is a possibility that Chelsea's Nicolas Jackson could earn his first start of the tournament in the forward position, while veteran Idrissa Gueye might be included in the starting 11.
Most goals and assists
Guinea
Senegal
L. Camara
(2 Goals)
,
H. Diallo
(2 Goals)
S. Mane
(3 Assists)
Guinea - Senegal Key Points
- Senegal have only failed to score in one of their last ten matches
- Senegal have scored three goals in each of their two games in this competition
- Senegal have scored two or more goals in three of their last five matches
- Senegal are the highest-scoring team in the tournament after the first two games
- Guinea have only kept two clean sheets in their last ten matches
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Our Guinea vs Senegal Prediction
With a place in the knockout stages already secure, Senegal are likely to hand starts to a few of their squad players in this one. Despite this, the Lions of Teranga have more than enough strength in depth and will certainly not want to lose this match as they look to maintain momentum heading to the next round. This should be a quality match, but we’re staying away from the 1x2 market. Our Guinea vs Senegal prediction: Senegal Over 0.5.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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