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12 October 2024 - 12:00 

- Day 3

Africa - AFCON

Guinea
VS
Ethiopia

Prediction :

Under 2.5

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Guinea vs Ethiopia Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON

 by Daniel Ngulu in AFCON Predictions

Guinea and Ethiopia will be eyeing returns to winning ways when they face off in Group H of the 2025 AFCON qualifiers. Syli National will not have the full complement of home fans as they host Walyas in Cote d’Ivoire on Friday. Follow on for our prediction of the match. 

Guinea were among the favorites in this group but find themselves bottom after two rounds. This is a chance for them to bag their first win, and points, of the qualifiers. 

A late collapse was to blame for their 2-1 loss to Tanzania last time out. That was their third straight defeat, and for obvious reasons, they’ve found it hard playing home matches away from home. 

In their last three matches Guinea scored just a goal, while conceding four times.

Ethiopia have also had to play home matches in distant venues and this will not be a new experience. The last time out they lost 2-0 to Congo DR in what was supposed to be a home game but was played in Tanzania. 

The Walyas actually did well in the game, holding on for an hour until they were disarmed in the second half. It was the fourth straight match that they failed to post a win. 

Ethiopia have also gone without a goal in three of their last four matches. They actually scored just once in the four matches in perspective and should be worried at having just one win in nine outings. 

The one-time African champions have no win in six AFCON qualification games.

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The Best Betting Odds for Guinea v Ethiopia Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
1xbet
1.43 4.1 8.15
22bet
1.43 4.1 8.15
Betobet
1.4 3.9 8.75
Betwinner
1.62 3.56 5.98
Stake
1.44 3.9 8
Melbet
1.43 4.1 8.15
Tonybet
1.43 3.95 8
Check all Guinea vs Ethiopia odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Guinea and Ethiopia?

Our prediction for the Guinea vs Ethiopia match is: Under 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/10/2024 between Guinea and Ethiopia in AFCON :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 57.74% for a win of Guinea against Ethiopia with odds of 1.62 at Betwinner.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Guinea vs Ethiopia is 20.03% with odds of 4.1 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 22.23% chance ⭐ for a win of Ethiopia vs Guinea with odds of 8.75 at Betobet.

Guinea vs Ethiopia Form

Guinea and Ethiopia's standings in the AFCON

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3
Ethiopia
Ethiopia
1 2 0 1 1 -2
4
Guinea
Guinea
0 2 0 0 2 -2

Guinea and Ethiopia Last Matches

Guinea
Guinea Last matches
W W W L L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
3.33
BTTS
50%
Goals scored
2.33
Goals conceded
1
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%

10 Sep 2024 - AFCON

Guinea
1 :  2
Tanzania

6 Sep 2024 - AFCON

DR Congo
1 :  0
Guinea

10 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Guinea
0 :  1
Mozambique

6 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Algeria
1 :  2
Guinea

25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Guinea
5 :  1
Bermuda

21 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Guinea
6 :  0
Vanuatu
Ethiopia
Ethiopia Last matches
L W D D D L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
1.67
BTTS
33%
Goals scored
0.5
Goals conceded
1.17
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%

9 Sep 2024 - AFCON

Ethiopia
0 :  2
DR Congo

4 Sep 2024 - AFCON

Tanzania
0 :  0
Ethiopia

9 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Djibouti
1 :  1
Ethiopia

6 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Guinea-Bissau
0 :  0
Ethiopia

24 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Ethiopia
2 :  1
Lesotho

21 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Ethiopia
0 :  3
Burkina Faso

Guinea against Ethiopia : Head to Head (H2H)

Guinea

100 %

Draw

0 %

Ethiopia

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
3.5
BTTS
50%
Goals scored (Team 1)
2.5
Goals scored (Team 2)
1
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%

27 Mar 2023 - AFCON

Ethiopia
2 :  3
Guinea

24 Mar 2023 - AFCON

Guinea
2 :  0
Ethiopia
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Guinea vs Ethiopia last Lineups

Guinea

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

22
I. Kone
12
I. Diakite
5
M. Diakhaby
17
J. Jeanvier
3
I. Sylla
7
M. Guilavogui
8
N. Keita
6
A. Diawara
21
S. Sylla
11
M. Bayo
18
A. Camara
9
G. Kebede Gebeto
10
A. Nassir
7
S. Dagnachew
27
D. Hotessa Dukele
12
Y. Endashaw Zewide
8
A. Yohannes
20
R. Yesuf Mohammed
16
Y. Baye
15
A. Tamene
21
A. Tunjo
22
T. Shanko

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Ethiopia

Missing players

Guinea
Guinea
Defender

M. Diakhaby

Forward

O. Camara

Ethiopia
Ethiopia

Guinea - Ethiopia Key Points

  1. In three of their last four matches, Ethiopia didn’t score.
  2. In two of their last three matches, Guinea failed to score.
  3. In their last five away matches, Ethiopia managed just one goal.
  4. An average of 1.4 goals were scored in Ethiopia’s last five matches.
  5. Ethiopia failed to score in their last two away matches against Guinea.
  6. Guinea scored an average of 1.4 goals in the last five AFCON qualifying matches.
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Our Guinea vs Ethiopia Prediction

Ethiopia are poor on their travels and have managed just one goal in their last five away games. They aren’t great in attack generally, and their matches have mostly produced low scoring returns.

In the last two away matches against Guinea, Ethiopia failed to score. Guinea will sense the opportunity for a first win in this group, but they are also not doing well in attack. As two struggling teams face off, our prediction for Guinea v Ethiopia is for the game to have under 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

Under 2.5

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Guinea vs Ethiopia Prediction
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