Guinea-Bissau vs Mali Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
by Devesh Jaganath | in AFCON Predictions
The final gameweek four match in Group I at the Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers will see Guinea-Bissau take on Mali at Estadio Nacional 24 de Setembro on Tuesday evening. The African Wild Dogs are third in the current standings, while Les Aigles lead the group. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Guinea-Bissau suffered a second consecutive defeat in qualifying for AFCON 2025 last week when they were beaten 1-0 by this opponent in Bamako. However, the scoreline arguably flattered the Wild Dogs, who failed to manage a single shot on target across the 90.
The result meant they remained on three points, two behind Mozambique and four off the group leaders. If Guinea-Bissau lose here and Mozambique beat Eswatini in the other match in the group, they will have to win both matches next month to have any hope of qualifying.
However, the hosts have fared quite well on home soil in recent months, currently unbeaten in their last four games, including two wins and two draws.
Meanwhile, despite getting the win last week, Mali would likely have been somewhat disappointed to have only got a single goal for all their dominance in the match.
Still, the result has taken them to four matches without defeat and put them two points clear at the top of the group. Another victory here will guarantee them qualification for the main event in Morocco next year.
Excluding the last AFCON, the Eagles are unbeaten in their last four away games across all competitions (W3 D1 L0) and have kept clean sheets in each of their last three.
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The Best Betting Odds for Guinea-Bissau v Mali Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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4 | 3.1 | 1.83 |
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4.23 | 3.2 | 1.94 |
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4.23 | 3.2 | 1.94 |
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4.2 | 3.05 | 1.9 |
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4.23 | 3.2 | 1.94 |
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4.2 | 3.2 | 1.9 |
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4.23 | 3.2 | 1.94 |
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4.2 | 3.2 | 1.9 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Guinea-Bissau and Mali?
Our prediction for the Guinea-Bissau vs Mali match is: Under 2.5!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/10/2024 between Guinea-Bissau and Mali in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 15.91% for a win of Guinea-Bissau against Mali with odds of 4.23 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Guinea-Bissau vs Mali is 32.71% with odds of 3.2 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 51.39% chance ⭐ for a win of Mali vs Guinea-Bissau with odds of 1.94 at 1xbet.
Guinea-Bissau vs Mali Form
Guinea-Bissau and Mali's standings in the AFCON
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
3
|
3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 |
Guinea-Bissau and Mali Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
5 Sep 2024 - AFCON
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
6 Sep 2024 - AFCON
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
Guinea-Bissau against Mali : Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
6 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
Guinea-Bissau - Mali Key Points
- Five of Guinea-Bissau’s last six matches in all competitions have ended with under 2.5 goals.
- Guinea-Bissau have kept clean sheets in two of their last three home games.
- Five of Mali’s last six matches in all competitions have ended with under 2.5 goals.
- Mali have kept clean sheets in five of their last seven games.
- Mali have kept clean sheets in three of their last four away games (excluding the last AFCON competition).
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Our Guinea-Bissau vs Mali Prediction
While Mali will be the side entering this contest with the momentum, Guinea-Bissau’s home record of late has been impressive, particularly their defence, which has only been breached once in the last three games.
The Eagles’ main strength in this competition has also been their defence, which has only conceded once, and they will likely prioritise the clean sheet here, given their solid standing in the group. Our Guinea-Bissau vs Mali prediction: Under 2.5!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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