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Africa - AFCON

Guinea-Bissau
15 Oct 2024 12:00
Mali

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5

 
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Guinea-Bissau vs Mali Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON

 by Devesh Jaganath in AFCON Predictions

The final gameweek four match in Group I at the Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers will see Guinea-Bissau take on Mali at Estadio Nacional 24 de Setembro on Tuesday evening. The African Wild Dogs are third in the current standings, while Les Aigles lead the group. Let’s get into the match prediction. 

Guinea-Bissau suffered a second consecutive defeat in qualifying for AFCON 2025 last week when they were beaten 1-0 by this opponent in Bamako. However, the scoreline arguably flattered the Wild Dogs, who failed to manage a single shot on target across the 90. 

The result meant they remained on three points, two behind Mozambique and four off the group leaders. If Guinea-Bissau lose here and Mozambique beat Eswatini in the other match in the group, they will have to win both matches next month to have any hope of qualifying. 

However, the hosts have fared quite well on home soil in recent months, currently unbeaten in their last four games, including two wins and two draws. 

Meanwhile, despite getting the win last week, Mali would likely have been somewhat disappointed to have only got a single goal for all their dominance in the match. 

Still, the result has taken them to four matches without defeat and put them two points clear at the top of the group. Another victory here will guarantee them qualification for the main event in Morocco next year. 

Excluding the last AFCON, the Eagles are unbeaten in their last four away games across all competitions (W3 D1 L0) and have kept clean sheets in each of their last three.

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The Best Betting Odds for Guinea-Bissau v Mali Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Ladbrokes
4 3.1 1.83
1xbet
4.23 3.2 1.94
22bet
4.23 3.2 1.94
Betobet
4.2 3.05 1.9
Betwinner
4.23 3.18 1.95
LSbet
4.23 3.18 1.95
Stake
4.3 3.1 1.9
Melbet
4.23 3.2 1.94
Tonybet
4.2 3.2 1.9
Betway
4.5 3.1 1.8
Unibet
4.9 3.08 1.85
Betfair
4.75 2.8 1.75
Betsson
4.75 3.1 1.87
Vbet
4.8 3.11 1.93
Check all Guinea-Bissau vs Mali odds
Up to $150 to bet on Guinea-Bissau - Mali! 

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What is the prediction for the football match between Guinea-Bissau and Mali?

Our prediction for the Guinea-Bissau vs Mali match is: Under 2.5!

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/10/2024 between Guinea-Bissau and Mali in AFCON :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 15.77% for a win of Guinea-Bissau against Mali with odds of 4.9 at Unibet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Guinea-Bissau vs Mali is 32.76% with odds of 3.2 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 51.47% chance ⭐ for a win of Mali vs Guinea-Bissau with odds of 1.95 at Betwinner.

Guinea-Bissau - Mali Prediction and Best Odds:

Guinea-Bissau Mali Prediction Probability Odds
Mali wins 51.47% 1.95 at Betwinner
Under 2.5 78.22% 1.87 at Tonybet
Both Team To Score 31.25% 2.5 at Unibet
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Mali 23.86% 4.5 at Unibet

Guinea-Bissau vs Mali Form

Guinea-Bissau and Mali's standings in the AFCON

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Mali
Mali
14 6 4 2 0 9
3
Guinea-Bissau
Guinea-Bissau
5 6 1 2 3 -2

Guinea-Bissau and Mali Last Matches

Guinea-Bissau
Guinea-Bissau Last matches
L D D W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

11 Oct 2024 - AFCON

Mali
1 :  0
Guinea-Bissau

10 Sep 2024 - AFCON

Mozambique
2 :  1
Guinea-Bissau

5 Sep 2024 - AFCON

Guinea-Bissau
1 :  0
Eswatini

10 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Guinea-Bissau
1 :  1
Egypt

6 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Guinea-Bissau
0 :  0
Ethiopia

22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Sudan
1 :  0
Guinea-Bissau
L W L D D W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

5 Sep 2024 - AFCON

Guinea-Bissau
1 :  0
Eswatini

10 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Guinea-Bissau
1 :  1
Egypt

6 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Guinea-Bissau
0 :  0
Ethiopia

22 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Guinea-Bissau
0 :  1
Nigeria

11 Sep 2023 - AFCON

Guinea-Bissau
2 :  1
Sierra Leone

27 Mar 2023 - AFCON

Guinea-Bissau
0 :  1
Nigeria
L L L L L L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

6/6 (100%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

11 Oct 2024 - AFCON

Mali
1 :  0
Guinea-Bissau

10 Sep 2024 - AFCON

Mozambique
2 :  1
Guinea-Bissau

22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Sudan
1 :  0
Guinea-Bissau

18 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Equatorial Guinea
4 :  2
Guinea-Bissau

13 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Côte d'Ivoire
2 :  0
Guinea-Bissau

6 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies

Mali
6 :  2
Guinea-Bissau
Mali
Mali Last matches
W L D D W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

11 Oct 2024 - AFCON

Mali
1 :  0
Guinea-Bissau

10 Sep 2024 - AFCON

Eswatini
0 :  1
Mali

6 Sep 2024 - AFCON

Mali
1 :  1
Mozambique

11 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Madagascar
0 :  0
Mali

6 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Mali
1 :  2
Ghana

26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Nigeria
0 :  2
Mali
W W L L D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

11 Oct 2024 - AFCON

Mali
1 :  0
Guinea-Bissau

6 Sep 2024 - AFCON

Mali
1 :  1
Mozambique

6 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Mali
1 :  2
Ghana

3 Feb 2024 - AFCON

Mali
1 :  2
Côte d'Ivoire

30 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Mali
2 :  1
Burkina Faso

16 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Mali
2 :  0
South Africa
D D W W D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

10 Sep 2024 - AFCON

Eswatini
0 :  1
Mali

11 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Madagascar
0 :  0
Mali

26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Nigeria
0 :  2
Mali

22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Mauritania
0 :  2
Mali

24 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Namibia
0 :  0
Mali

20 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Tunisia
1 :  1
Mali

Guinea-Bissau vs Mali Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Guinea-Bissau

0 %

Draw

0 %

Mali

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4.5
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1
Goals scored (Team 1)
3.5
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

11 Oct 2024 - AFCON

Mali
1 :  0
Guinea-Bissau

6 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies

Mali
6 :  2
Guinea-Bissau
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Guinea-Bissau
CD Huachipato Mali
Top Goalscorer
Z. Turbo (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Mali L. Sinayoko (3 Goals)
Best assists
D. Gomes (1 Assists)
Best assists
Mali K. Doumbia (2 Assists)

Guinea-Bissau - Mali Key Points

  1. Five of Guinea-Bissau’s last six matches in all competitions have ended with under 2.5 goals.
  2. Guinea-Bissau have kept clean sheets in two of their last three home games.
  3. Five of Mali’s last six matches in all competitions have ended with under 2.5 goals.
  4. Mali have kept clean sheets in five of their last seven games.
  5. Mali have kept clean sheets in three of their last four away games (excluding the last AFCON competition).
Up to $150 to bet on Guinea-Bissau - Mali! 

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Our Guinea-Bissau vs Mali Prediction

While Mali will be the side entering this contest with the momentum, Guinea-Bissau’s home record of late has been impressive, particularly their defence, which has only been breached once in the last three games. 

The Eagles’ main strength in this competition has also been their defence, which has only conceded once, and they will likely prioritise the clean sheet here, given their solid standing in the group. Our Guinea-Bissau vs Mali prediction: Under 2.5!

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Guinea-Bissau Mali

Guinea-Bissau vs Mali Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Guinea-Bissau wins 4 4 0%
Draw 3.1 3.1 0%
Mali wins 1.83 1.83 0%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Mali is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
  • The probability of this result was 54.6% and is now 54.6% (0.0%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Guinea-Bissau vs Mali Prediction
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