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by Sridhar in World Cup Predictions
Burkina Faso travel to Guinea-Bissau in matchday six of the 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifiers in CAF Group A with an eye on maintaining their momentum. This match at Estadio Nacional 24 de Setembro on Monday between the hosting Dromedaries and the visiting Stallions comes with our prediction of an away win.
After five rounds, Guinea-Bissau are fourth with six points, and Burkina Faso are second with eight points and five points behind leaders Egypt. The group winners qualify for the World Cup directly, while the four best-placed runners-up move into the second round.
Guinea-Bissau lost 3-1 away at Sierra Leone last week, making it a fourth defeat in a row for them. Interestingly, it is their first defeat of this qualification campaign, after starting with three draws and one win. It is their impressive defensive strength that’s holding forte, with two clean sheets.
Burkina Faso thrashed Djibouti 4-1 at home to make it a third win in four matches for the visitors. They are hanging on to their chances of staying in the hunt for a second-round slot with two wins and a draw from the last four matches. They lost 2-1 to Egypt in their last away match of this competition but have three wins in four trips prior.
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The Best Betting Odds for Guinea-Bissau v Burkina Faso Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.8 | 2.8 | 2.25 |
|
|
3.75 | 2.75 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.6 | 2.8 | 2.05 |
|
|
4.18 | 2.89 | 2.12 |
|
|
4.18 | 2.89 | 2.12 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Guinea-Bissau and Burkina Faso?
Our prediction for the Guinea-Bissau vs Burkina Faso match is: Burkina Faso wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/03/2025 between Guinea-Bissau and Burkina Faso in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.37% for a win of Guinea-Bissau against Burkina Faso with odds of 4.2 at Betobet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Guinea-Bissau vs Burkina Faso is 38.75% with odds of 2.9 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 28.88% chance ⭐ for a win of Burkina Faso vs Guinea-Bissau with odds of 2.43 at Betwinner.
Guinea-Bissau - Burkina Faso Prediction and Best Odds:
| Guinea-Bissau Burkina Faso Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 38.75% | 2.9 at Tonybet |
| Under 2.5 | 64.22% | 2.1 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 54.17% | 2.1 at William Hill |
| Half-time : Guinea-Bissau / Full-time : Burkina Faso | 19.11% | 17 at Betsson |
Guinea-Bissau vs Burkina Faso Form
Guinea-Bissau and Burkina Faso's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
|
5
|
6 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 |
Guinea-Bissau and Burkina Faso Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
20 Dec 2024 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
5 Sep 2024 - AFCON
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
22 Jan 2024 - AFCON
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
20 Dec 2024 - International Friendlies
15 Nov 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
18 Nov 2024 - AFCON
14 Nov 2024 - AFCON
13 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - AFCON
10 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
16 Jan 2024 - AFCON
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Nov 2024 - AFCON
13 Oct 2024 - AFCON
6 Sep 2024 - AFCON
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
30 Jan 2024 - AFCON
23 Jan 2024 - AFCON
Guinea-Bissau vs Burkina Faso Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 Nov 2023 - World Cup
Missing players
M. Balde
S. Banse
Guinea-Bissau - Burkina Faso Key Points
- Guinea-Bissau lost six of their last eight matches including four in a row.
- Guinea-Bissau failed to score in three of their last four home matches in the World Cup qualifiers.
- Burkina Faso won three of their last four matches.
- Burkina Faso won three of their last five away matches in the World Cup qualifiers.
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Our Guinea-Bissau vs Burkina Faso Prediction
Burkina Faso boosted their chances of remaining in the top two spots with a win over Djibouti but need to consolidate their spot. They are still low in the ranking of runners-up, and a win here will see them stay in the hunt. Guinea-Bissau haven’t been consistent with their results, although three draws from five matches suggest they can be a stubborn opponent. Egypt were also held to a draw by Guinea-Bissau at home, but the free-scoring Burkina Faso could win here, and hence our Guinea-Bissau vs Burkina Faso prediction is Burkina Faso wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Guinea-Bissau Burkina Faso
| Guinea-Bissau vs Burkina Faso | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guinea-Bissau wins | 2.8 | 3.8 | +35.7% |
| Draw | 3.1 | 2.8 | -9.7% |
| Burkina Faso wins | 2.75 | 2.25 | -18.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 9.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 32.3% and is now 35.7% (3.5%)
Get up to £30 to bet on the Guinea-Bissau vs. Burkina Faso game
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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