South America - Copa Libertadores
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Gremio vs Fluminense Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa Libertadores
by Devesh Jaganath in Copa Libertadores Predictions
The Round of 16 in the Copa Libertadores will get underway with Gremio playing host to Fluminense on Tuesday night. The winner of this two-legged tie will move on to face either San Lorenzo or Atletico Mineiro in the quarter-final. Check out our match prediction below.
After a sensational 2023 in which they finished second in Brasileiro, Gremio’s progress was halted at the start of this season when the torrential floods rendered their stadium unplayable.
The disruption saw them drop into the relegation zone after the league season resumed but they have begun to refind their form in recent weeks. Following a 3-1 away win over Cuiaba last weekend, Tricolor are now up to 13th place in the league standings and are unbeaten in their last five top-flight matches.
Gremio finished second in their Copa Libertadores group with 10 points in six matches, including a record of three wins, one draw and two losses. They have won one, drawn one and lost one of their three home games in this competition.
Meanwhile, Fluminese have experienced a major fall from grace domestically this season, as they are currently below the dotted line with just 20 points from 21 league matches to date.
In contrast, their cup record has been impeccable, as they came through the group stage of this competition unbeaten with 14 points, including four wins and two draws in their six matches.
However, O Flu are now set to face an opponent that they have lost to in each of their last six encounters, with the most recent ending in a 1-0 defeat at the end of June.
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The Best Betting Odds for Gremio v Fluminense Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.08 | 8 | 126 |
|
|
2.4 | 2.2 | 4 |
|
|
1.05 | 10.9 | 299 |
|
|
1.05 | 10.9 | 299 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.1 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.03 | 3.26 | 3.94 |
|
|
2.03 | 3.26 | 3.94 |
|
|
1.04 | 10.75 | 100 |
|
|
1.97 | 3.26 | 4.2 |
|
|
2.04 | 3.15 | 4.3 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.2 | 4.2 |
|
|
2 | 2.9 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.98 | 2.88 | 4.7 |
|
|
1.91 | 2.75 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.1 | 6.6 | 81 |
|
|
1.04 | 11 | 101 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Gremio and Fluminense?
Our prediction for the Gremio vs Fluminense match is: Gremio Draw No Bet!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/08/2024 between Gremio and Fluminense in Copa Libertadores :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 52.12% for a win of Gremio against Fluminense with odds of 2.4 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Gremio vs Fluminense is 24.68% with odds of 11 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 23.2% chance ⭐ for a win of Fluminense vs Gremio with odds of 299 at 1xbet.
Gremio - Fluminense Prediction and Best Odds:
| Gremio Fluminense Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Gremio wins | 52.12% | 2.4 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 69.72% | 1.94 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 34.17% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Gremio | 25.29% | 5 at Ladbrokes |
Gremio vs Fluminense Form
Gremio and Fluminense Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
7 Aug 2024 - Copa do Brasil
4 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
31 Jul 2024 - Copa do Brasil
28 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
25 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Aug 2024 - Copa do Brasil
28 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
14 Jul 2024 - Copa do Brasil
10 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
4 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
4 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
31 Jul 2024 - Copa do Brasil
25 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
17 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
7 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
7 Aug 2024 - Copa do Brasil
4 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
1 Aug 2024 - Copa do Brasil
28 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
24 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Aug 2024 - Copa do Brasil
4 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
24 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
4 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
27 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
23 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
1 Aug 2024 - Copa do Brasil
28 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
11 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
7 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
Gremio vs Fluminense Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Jun 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
6 Dec 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 Aug 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A
9 Nov 2021 - Brasileirão Serie A
17 Jul 2021 - Brasileirão Serie A
8 Nov 2020 - Brasileirão Serie A
Gremio against Fluminense Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
Gremio
Fluminense
M. Braithwaite
(7 Goals)
J. Arias
(9 Goals)
D. Costa
(4 Assists)
J. Arias
(6 Assists)
, 
Ganso
(6 Assists)
Gremio - Fluminense Key Points
- Gremio are on a five-match unbeaten streak in the league.
- Gremio have only lost one of their last five home league games.
- Gremio have won each of their last five matches against this opponent.
- Fluminense have only won one of their last four matches in all competitions.
- Fluminense have lost their last two away games in all competitions.
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Our Gremio vs Fluminense Prediction
After a challenging start to the season, Gremio seem to have found their rhythm again and are steadily making their way back up the table in their domestic league with a run of impressive results in recent weeks.
Flumininese, on the other hand, came through the group stage of this competition with flying colours but their record against this opponent does little to inspire confidence in their chances here. We fancy the hosts to win this first-leg encounter but with favourable odds available, we will opt for the safety of our money back in the event of a draw. Our Gremio vs Fluminense prediction: Gremio Draw No Bet!
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Gremio Fluminense
| Gremio vs Fluminense | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gremio wins | 2.15 | 1.08 | -49.8% |
| Draw | 3.2 | 8 | +150.0% |
| Fluminense wins | 3.5 | 126 | +3,500.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Gremio is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 49.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 46.5% and is now 92.6% (46.1%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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