Europe - UEFA Nations League
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by Kennedy Kechula | in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Scotland will be hopeful of a better 2024 as international football resumes following a five-month hiatus. First off for the Tartan Army will be an away trip to Greece for the Nations League play-offs. Steve Clarke’s charges will be seeking to stay in League A after a torrid run in the group stage.
Bookies' predictions do not favor Scotland, at least for this first leg, but let’s have a look at the stats and numbers before offering a possible outcome. Scotland, playing in Group A 1, suffered a number of setbacks that saw them finish third with seven points from six matches.
Two wins in their final three matches came a bit late, as they finished a point behind Croatia. In League B, meanwhile, Greece could afford to measure themselves against England. At the end of it all, the two were tied on 15 points but Greece had an inferior goal difference.
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The Best Betting Odds for Greece v Scotland Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2 | 3.3 | 3.9 |
|
|
2 | 3.1 | 4 |
|
|
2.3 | 2.37 | 3.9 |
|
|
2.07 | 3.42 | 4.17 |
|
|
2.07 | 3.42 | 4.17 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Greece and Scotland?
Our prediction for the Greece vs Scotland match is: Greece wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/03/2025 between Greece and Scotland in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 57.07% for a win of Greece against Scotland with odds of 2.3 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Greece vs Scotland is 13.78% with odds of 3.5 at Betfair.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.14% chance ⭐ for a win of Scotland vs Greece with odds of 4.2 at Unibet.
Greece vs Scotland Form
Greece and Scotland Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
13 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
13 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
21 Mar 2024 - Euro
21 Nov 2023 - Euro
16 Oct 2023 - Euro
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - Euro
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
15 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
15 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
12 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
15 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
23 Jun 2024 - Euro
19 Jun 2024 - Euro
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
12 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Jun 2024 - Euro
3 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
Greece - Scotland: Form Analysis
Greece’s only defeat in the group phase was inflicted by England, at home. They will hope to avoid another such result, as Scotland can be really tricky opponents.
The hosts are a strong unit though, as demonstrated by their run in the group stage, winning five of their six matches. Those wins included one at Wembley when they beat England, and home and away wins over the Republic of Ireland.
Having also come close to qualifying for the last Euros is a sign of their strength. The loss to England in their latest home game halted a run of three straight wins, all with clean sheets.
Greece and Scotland last faced off 30 years ago.
Scotland must have rued the timing of the last international break. After a poor run of results, they had just started getting back to track before the break.
In their first match of 2025, the Scots will hope to carry on with their form at the close of 2024. They are coming from three unbeaten matches, with two being wins.
Beating Poland and Croatia, ended a run of eight winless matches for the Scots. Two wins only away from home in the last nine matches, however, doesn’t make for a good reading.
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Greece vs Scotland last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Greece & Scotland Squad Analysis
Vangelis Pavlidis will once again be the man to watch for the Greeks. The forward has been on fire for Benfica, scoring 10 times in Primeira Liga and has four assists.
His magic has also rubbed at the national team level and in this competition. He has two goals in the Nations League, all derived from nine attempts at shots, 33% of which were on target.
He has an expected goals return of 1.37 and could be a handful for the visitors.
Greece will miss skipper Tasos Bakasetas, who is injured.
For the Scots, Scott McTominay has in recent years emerged as a key player. His move to Napoli at the start of the season has seen a rebirth in the midfielder and he has chipped in with a few important goals.
Whenever Scotland seems stuck, he has time and again come up with solutions. There’s nothing to suggest after scoring 11 in 58 matches for Scotland, he is done.
The midfielder has two goals in the Nations League and is odds on to score in this game, coming with an xG of 2.10.
Most goals and assists
Greece
Scotland
F. Ioannidis
(3 Goals)
J. McGinn
(2 Goals)
,
S. Mctominay
(2 Goals)
T. Bakasetas
(3 Assists)
T. Ralston
(1 Assists)
,
K. McLean
(1 Assists)
,
B. Doak
(1 Assists)
Greece and Scotland Stats in UEFA Nations League
Greece - Scotland Key Points
- Greece have four wins in the last five matches.
- Greece only lost once in their last seven matches.
- Scotland suffered four defeats in their last seven matches.
- Scotland were beaten in six of their last nine away matches.
- Greece have nine wins in their last 13 home matches.
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Our Greece vs Scotland Prediction
Scotland had picked up well towards the last international break but that momentum is now disrupted. Head to a tricky away game in Greece, this doesn’t look very interesting for the Scots. Greece have been on a much more powerful run and have definitely done better at home.
Their only home losses at home in the last 15 matches were against very strong sides – England, Netherlands and Spain. Meanwhile, Scotland’s away run isn’t great and this is likely to end in disappointment. Our prediction for Greece v Scotland is that Greece wins the match.
Greece vs Scotland - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5 goals
While Scotland haven't returned the best results from their away matches, they rarely go without scoring. This is the reason each of their last four away matches had over 2.5 goals.
They meet a Greece side that is also on a good scoring run. As we expect an end to end game, we are definitely assured of goals. Our second prediction is, therefore, for over 2.5 goals.
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Greece vs Scotland match : Frequently asked questions
The Greece v Scotland match will be played on Thursday 20th March.
The Greece v Scotland match will be played at the Stadio Georgios Karaiskakis in Piraeus.
The Greece v Scotland match will be officiated by Tobias Stieler of Germany, assisted by Christian Gittelmann, and Mark Borsch. Martin Peterson will be the fourth official.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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