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Greece vs England Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
by Steve Ashfield in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Greece host England in the penultimate matchday in the Nations League group stages. They come into this match top of this group in League B and with a three-point lead over their second-placed opponents. Time for our match prediction.
A draw for Greece will ensure they win the group with one game (away in Finland) to spare. The Azure & White have won all four of their group matches, including a 2-1 win at Wembley last month.
That’s left England playing catch-up and they are in a strange managerial position at present. Lee Carsley is still in charge of the Three Lions despite the fact that they have agreed a deal with German Thomas Tuchel to take over as coach. England have won all their matches in this group bar the home defeat to Greece. A win in Greece would breathe hope into their chances of winning automatic promotion but they only need a point from their last two games to ensure a place in the play-offs.
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The Best Betting Odds for Greece v England Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.6 | 3.2 | 2.15 |
|
|
3.6 | 3.2 | 2.05 |
|
|
3.81 | 3.23 | 2.26 |
|
|
3.81 | 3.23 | 2.26 |
|
|
3.6 | 3.2 | 2.15 |
|
|
3.7 | 3.2 | 2.09 |
|
|
4.28 | 3.34 | 1.92 |
|
|
4.1 | 3.45 | 1.97 |
|
|
3.66 | 3.2 | 2.23 |
|
|
3.4 | 3.1 | 2.2 |
|
|
4.5 | 3.25 | 1.94 |
|
|
3.4 | 3 | 2 |
|
|
3.75 | 3.25 | 2.1 |
|
|
4.4 | 3.2 | 1.85 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Greece and England?
Our prediction for the Greece vs England match is: Both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/11/2024 between Greece and England in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.06% for a win of Greece against England with odds of 4.5 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Greece vs England is 17.5% with odds of 3.45 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 36.44% chance ⭐ for a win of England vs Greece with odds of 2.26 at 1xbet.
Greece - England Prediction and Best Odds:
| Greece England Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Greece wins | 46.06% | 4.5 at Unibet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.16% | 2.47 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 50% | 2.05 at William Hill |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Greece | 24.27% | 9.6 at Vbet |
Greece vs England Form
Greece and England's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
15 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 |
|
2
|
15 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 |
Greece and England Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
21 Mar 2024 - Euro
21 Nov 2023 - Euro
16 Oct 2023 - Euro
10 Sep 2023 - Euro
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - Euro
13 Oct 2023 - Euro
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Jul 2024 - Euro
10 Jul 2024 - Euro
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
6 Jul 2024 - Euro
30 Jun 2024 - Euro
25 Jun 2024 - Euro
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Jul 2024 - Euro
10 Jul 2024 - Euro
20 Jun 2024 - Euro
16 Jun 2024 - Euro
Greece vs England Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
Greece - England: Form Analysis
Greece have won all four of their matches in this group and have a three-point lead over England. Their last five matches have been won since a loss to Germany in June. Home form has seen them lose just once in their last 13 games (to the Netherlands). Both of their home games in this group against Ireland and Finland have been won to nil. They won the reverse fixture against England 2-1 at Wembley and then won 2-0 in Ireland.
England have to win this match.
England have it all to do if they want to win this group and return to League A. Nothing short of a win in Greece will keep their hopes of winning the group alive. Three of their four matches in this group have been won. After the loss to Greece, they went to Finland and came home with a 3-1 win. They have only lost two of their last 11 matches (the other being the Euro final) and won all their four previous away games against Greece.
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Greece against England Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Greece & England Squad Analysis
England have selection problems ahead of this Nations League game in Greece. Eight players have withdrawn from the squad that was named by Lee Carsley last week. Levi Colwill, Cole Palmer, Bukayo Saka, Declan Rice, Jack Grealish, Phil Foden, Aaron Ramsdale and Trent Alexander-Arnold all won't be playing in this match or the final group game at home to Ireland next week.
Rogers in the senior squad for the first time.
Morgan Rogers of Aston VIlla has been called into the squad. Also added have been Jarrod Bowen, James Trafford, Jarell Quansah and Tino Livramento. Rogers had been named in the England U21 squad but has been promoted to the senior one for the first time.
Greece know that a draw in this match will see them win the group. They will be without midfielder Dimitrios Kourbelis who is suspended for this Nations League match. He's expected to be replaced by either Petros Mantalos, Sotiris Alexandropoulos or Christos Zafeiris.
Most goals and assists
Greece
England
F. Ioannidis
(3 Goals)
H. Kane
(3 Goals)
T. Bakasetas
(3 Assists)
N. Madueke
(2 Assists)
,
J. Bellingham
(2 Assists)
Greece - England Key Points
- Both teams scored in the recent match between England and Greece at Wembley.
- That makes it two out of the last three matches between these two countries in which both teams have scored.
- Both teams have scored in six of the last eight England internationals.
- Three of the last five England games in the Nations League have seen both teams get on the scoresheet.
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Our Greece vs England Prediction
Greece have the upperhand in this Nations League group. They have won all four of their matches in this group and lead England by three points. A draw will see them finish top of the group even if losing their final match against Finland.
England play their last couple of games under Lee Carsley who will be replaced by Thomas Tuchel next year. They have had eight players withdraw and being without players such as Alexander-Arnold, Palmer, Rice, Saka and Grealish is going to make life difficult for them. Our Greece v England prediction is both teams to score.
Greece vs England - Other Interesting Predictions
Greece to win or draw this match
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Greece England
| Greece vs England | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Greece wins | 4.2 | 3.6 | -14.3% |
| Draw | 3.7 | 3.2 | -13.5% |
| England wins | 1.74 | 2.15 | +23.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Greece is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 14.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 23.8% and is now 27.8% (4.0%)
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Greece vs England match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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