Portugal - Liga Portugal
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by Daniel Ngulu in Liga Portugal Predictions
With six matches remaining, the race for Europe and survival in the Portuguese Primeira Liga is heating up. In the 28th round, 14th-placed Gil Vicente will play host to sixth-placed Vitoria Guimaraes. Read on for our prediction of the match.
Gil Vicente sit just three points above the relegation region. Apart from their position, they are also favored by an eight-goal advantage. As things stand, five more wins will guarantee their survival.
However, for a team with just one win in 11 matches, that could be a target too high. They lost nine of those 11 games, their latest being a 1-0 defeat at home to Moreirense.
Guimaraes beat Gil Vicente 4-0 in the reverse match, taking their head-to-head advantage to 5-2 in the last seven meetings. The target for Guimaraes here will be to close the gap between them and the European football positions.
That currently stands at 11 points, and their recent performances haven't been too inspiring. In the last 19 matches across all competitions, Vitoria Guimaraes managed just five wins.
Most of those matches ended in draws, with Guimaraes losing just three. In league action away from home, Guimaraes managed just one win in the last 11 outings. Seven of those ended in draws.
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The Best Betting Odds for Gil Vicente v Vitoria SC Guimaraes Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4 | 3.3 | 1.95 |
|
|
3.6 | 3.1 | 2.1 |
|
|
4 | 3.2 | 2 |
|
|
4.1 | 3.1 | 1.91 |
|
|
4.21 | 3.2 | 1.99 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Gil Vicente and Vitoria SC Guimaraes?
Our prediction for the Gil Vicente vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes match is: Guimaraes to win and both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/04/2025 between Gil Vicente and Vitoria SC Guimaraes in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 14.9% for a win of Gil Vicente against Vitoria SC Guimaraes with odds of 4.4 at Vbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Gil Vicente vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes is 27.76% with odds of 3.3 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 57.35% chance ⭐ for a win of Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Gil Vicente with odds of 2.15 at Betsson.
Gil Vicente - Vitoria SC Guimaraes Prediction and Best Odds:
| Gil Vicente Vitoria SC Guimaraes Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Vitoria SC Guimaraes wins | 57.35% | 2.15 at Betsson |
| Under 2.5 | 56.44% | 2.05 at Vbet |
| Both Team To Score | 40.42% | 2.05 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Vitoria SC Guimaraes | 34.65% | 5 at Betfair |
Gil Vicente vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes Form
Gil Vicente and Vitoria SC Guimaraes's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
48 | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 12 |
|
14
|
26 | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -16 |
Gil Vicente and Vitoria SC Guimaraes Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
1 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
28 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
15 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
7 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
27 Feb 2025 - Taca de Portugal
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
28 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
15 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
27 Feb 2025 - Taca de Portugal
17 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
1 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
7 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
22 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
9 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
27 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
27 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
30 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
16 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
13 Mar 2025 - Conference League
9 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
6 Mar 2025 - Conference League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
16 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
13 Mar 2025 - Conference League
1 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
16 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
1 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
9 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
6 Mar 2025 - Conference League
24 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
8 Feb 2025 - Liga Portugal
26 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
Gil Vicente vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
8 Feb 2024 - Taca de Portugal
28 Jan 2024 - Liga Portugal
19 Aug 2023 - Liga Portugal
21 May 2023 - Liga Portugal
16 Jan 2023 - Liga Portugal
Gil Vicente against Vitoria SC Guimaraes Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
Gil Vicente
Vitoria SC Guimaraes
F. Correia
(6 Goals)
G. Silva
(9 Goals)
K. Fujimoto
(5 Assists)
N. Santos
(8 Assists)
Gil Vicente - Vitoria SC Guimaraes Key Points
- Both teams scored in Guimaraes’ last 11 away league matches.
- In their last 10 league matches, Gil Vicente suffered eight defeats.
- In nine of the last 13 meetings between these teams, both scored.
- Guimaraes won five times in their last seven meetings with Gil Vicente.
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Our Gil Vicente vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes Prediction
Chances that Guimaraes will get into the European slots are getting ever slimmer. However, facing a side that is not only struggling but one they’ve dominated over the past meetings places them as favorites. Their run away from home hasn’t been impressive, though.
This will be tested by Gil Vicente, who are battling for survival. The hosts may not have enough to win here, but we can’t rule out a good fight from them, which could yield a goal. Our prediction for Gil Vicente v Vitoria Guimaraes is for Guimaraes to win and both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Gil Vicente Vitoria SC Guimaraes
| Gil Vicente vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gil Vicente wins | 3.75 | 4 | +6.7% |
| Draw | 3.1 | 3.3 | +6.5% |
| Vitoria SC Guimaraes wins | 2.1 | 1.95 | -7.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Vitoria SC Guimaraes is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 7.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 47.6% and is now 51.3% (3.7%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Gil Vicente vs. Vitoria SC Guimaraes game!
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Try your luck on this year's Liga Portugal! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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