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Europe - UEFA Nations League

Gibraltar
10 Oct 2024 14:45
San Marino

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5

 
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Gibraltar vs San Marino Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League

 by Nella Wagah in UEFA Nations League Predictions

Gibraltar and San Marino will be in action in Group 1 of League D in the Nations League this Thursday. In the three-team group, visiting San Marino lead with three points and Gibraltar are second with a point. Let’s have a look at this match’s prediction. 

Gibraltar will have a positive feeling about this game, coming from three undefeated outings. It will also be their fifth straight home match and the hosts hope to make it count. 

In the earlier four they won once and drew twice, while failing to score in two of the four matches. Save for their last match, which ended 2-2 against Liechtenstein, Gibraltar had not scored more than a goal in five matches. Seven times in their last 10 matches at home, Gibraltar failed to score completely. 

San Marino will go into this game as the lowest ranked nation in world football. Despite that, they are the only ones with a win in this pool. 

On Match Day 1 San Marino whipped Liechtenstein 1-0, a win that still has them on top of the standings. Their most recent match was a friendly game, which ended in a 1-0 defeat at Moldova. 

That result marked San Marino’s third defeat in four matches, while it was the third time in five matches that they failed to score. 

There will be a strong desire to tighten up defensively coming into this game. Their two clean sheets in 19 matches say just how poor this San Marino side is. 

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The Best Betting Odds for Gibraltar v San Marino Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.6 3.6 6.25
Ladbrokes
1.61 3.4 6.5
1xbet
1.63 3.71 6.68
22bet
1.63 3.71 6.68
Betobet
1.67 3.45 6
Betwinner
1.6 3.62 6.5
LSbet
1.6 3.62 6.5
Stake
1.65 3.3 6
Melbet
1.6 3.52 6.9
Tonybet
1.55 3.5 6.8
Betway
1.62 3.4 6.5
Unibet
1.67 3.45 6.1
Betfair
1.6 3.2 6
Betsson
1.63 3.3 6.5
William Hill
1.67 3.2 6
Vbet
1.64 3.53 7.1
Check all Gibraltar vs San Marino odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Gibraltar and San Marino?

Our prediction for the Gibraltar vs San Marino match is: Under 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/10/2024 between Gibraltar and San Marino in UEFA Nations League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.64% for a win of Gibraltar against San Marino with odds of 1.67 at Betobet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Gibraltar vs San Marino is 22.05% with odds of 3.71 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 24.31% chance ⭐ for a win of San Marino vs Gibraltar with odds of 7.1 at Vbet.

Gibraltar - San Marino Prediction and Best Odds:

Gibraltar San Marino Prediction Probability Odds
Gibraltar wins 53.64% 1.67 at Betobet
Under 2.5 52.55% 1.76 at Stake
Both Team To Score 14.58% 3 at William Hill
Half-time / Full-time : Gibraltar/Gibraltar 29.18% 2.7 at Betfair

Gibraltar vs San Marino Form

Gibraltar and San Marino's standings in the UEFA Nations League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
San Marino
San Marino
7 4 2 1 1 2
2
Gibraltar
Gibraltar
6 4 1 3 0 1

Gibraltar and San Marino Last Matches

Gibraltar
Gibraltar Last matches
L L L D W D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Gibraltar
2 :  2
Liechtenstein

4 Sep 2024 - International Friendlies

Gibraltar
1 :  0
Andorra

6 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Gibraltar
0 :  0
Wales

3 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Gibraltar
0 :  2
Scotland

26 Mar 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Lithuania
1 :  0
Gibraltar

21 Mar 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Gibraltar
0 :  1
Lithuania
L L L D W D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Gibraltar
2 :  2
Liechtenstein

4 Sep 2024 - International Friendlies

Gibraltar
1 :  0
Andorra

6 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Gibraltar
0 :  0
Wales

3 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Gibraltar
0 :  2
Scotland

21 Mar 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Gibraltar
0 :  1
Lithuania

21 Nov 2023 - Euro

Gibraltar
0 :  6
Netherlands
L L L L L L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

6/6 (100%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5 Total goals
0% BTTS
0 Goals scored
5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

26 Mar 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Lithuania
1 :  0
Gibraltar

18 Nov 2023 - Euro

France
14 :  0
Gibraltar

11 Oct 2023 - International Friendlies

Wales
4 :  0
Gibraltar

10 Sep 2023 - Euro

Greece
5 :  0
Gibraltar

19 Jun 2023 - Euro

Ireland
3 :  0
Gibraltar

27 Mar 2023 - Euro

Netherlands
3 :  0
Gibraltar
San Marino
San Marino Last matches
L D L L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

10 Sep 2024 - International Friendlies

Moldova
1 :  0
San Marino

5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

San Marino
1 :  0
Liechtenstein

11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

San Marino
1 :  4
Cyprus

5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Slovakia
4 :  0
San Marino

24 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

San Marino
0 :  0
Saint Kitts and Nevis

20 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

San Marino
1 :  3
Saint Kitts and Nevis
L L L D L W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

San Marino
1 :  0
Liechtenstein

11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

San Marino
1 :  4
Cyprus

24 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

San Marino
0 :  0
Saint Kitts and Nevis

20 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

San Marino
1 :  3
Saint Kitts and Nevis

20 Nov 2023 - Euro

San Marino
1 :  2
Finland

17 Oct 2023 - Euro

San Marino
1 :  2
Denmark
L L L L L L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

6/6 (100%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.17 Goals scored
3.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

10 Sep 2024 - International Friendlies

Moldova
1 :  0
San Marino

5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Slovakia
4 :  0
San Marino

17 Nov 2023 - Euro

Kazakhstan
3 :  1
San Marino

14 Oct 2023 - Euro

Northern Ireland
3 :  0
San Marino

7 Sep 2023 - Euro

Denmark
4 :  0
San Marino

19 Jun 2023 - Euro

Finland
6 :  0
San Marino

Gibraltar vs San Marino Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Gibraltar

50 %

Draw

50 %

San Marino

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

0.5
Total goals
0%
BTTS
0.5
Goals scored (Team 1)
0
Goals scored (Team 2)
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

14 Nov 2020 - UEFA Nations League

San Marino
0 :  0
Gibraltar

5 Sep 2020 - UEFA Nations League

Gibraltar
1 :  0
San Marino
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Gibraltar against San Marino Lineups: Starting 11

Gibraltar

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
B. Banda
16
D. Bent
5
L. Annesley
22
G. Torrilla
12
J. Olivero
2
E. Jolley
10
L. Walker
6
B. Lopes
20
E. Britto
14
J. Scanlon
19
T. De Barr
9
N. Nanni
10
F. Berardi
11
A. Contadini
18
S. Zannoni
23
M. Battistini
23
M. Valli Casadei
12
A. Tosi
6
D. Rossi
5
M. Cevoli
2
G. Benvenuti
1
E. Colombo

Formation : 4 - 3 - 2 - 1

San Marino

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Gibraltar
CD Huachipato San Marino
Top Goalscorer
Gibraltar L. Walker (2 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
San Marino N. Nanni (2 Goals)
Best assists
Gibraltar J. Valarino (1 Assists)
Gibraltar T. De Barr (1 Assists)
Best assists
San Marino A. Contadini (1 Assists)

Gibraltar - San Marino Key Points

  1. Three of San Marino’s last five matches had under 2.5 goals.
  2. Four of Gibraltar’s last five matches produced under 2.5 goals.
  3. San Marino scored twice in the last five matches.
  4. Gibraltar scored 0.6 goals on average in their last five matches.
  5. In five away Nations League games, San Marino scored once.
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Our Gibraltar vs San Marino Prediction

Two sides on really poor scoring runs face off here. San Marino have one goal in their last five away matches in the UEFA Nations League. Meanwhile Gibraltar, on average, netted less than a goal in their last five matches.

Four of their last five matches produced less than three goals and we expect them to still have trouble in attack in this game. We will go for a low-scoring match here. Our prediction for Gibraltar v San Marino is for under 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Gibraltar San Marino

Gibraltar vs San Marino Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Gibraltar wins 1.6 1.6 0%
Draw 3.6 3.6 0%
San Marino wins 6 6.25 +4.2%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Gibraltar is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
  • The probability of this result was 62.5% and is now 62.5% (0.0%)

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Gibraltar vs San Marino Prediction
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