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Gibraltar vs San Marino Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
by Nella Wagah in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Gibraltar and San Marino will be in action in Group 1 of League D in the Nations League this Thursday. In the three-team group, visiting San Marino lead with three points and Gibraltar are second with a point. Let’s have a look at this match’s prediction.
Gibraltar will have a positive feeling about this game, coming from three undefeated outings. It will also be their fifth straight home match and the hosts hope to make it count.
In the earlier four they won once and drew twice, while failing to score in two of the four matches. Save for their last match, which ended 2-2 against Liechtenstein, Gibraltar had not scored more than a goal in five matches. Seven times in their last 10 matches at home, Gibraltar failed to score completely.
San Marino will go into this game as the lowest ranked nation in world football. Despite that, they are the only ones with a win in this pool.
On Match Day 1 San Marino whipped Liechtenstein 1-0, a win that still has them on top of the standings. Their most recent match was a friendly game, which ended in a 1-0 defeat at Moldova.
That result marked San Marino’s third defeat in four matches, while it was the third time in five matches that they failed to score.
There will be a strong desire to tighten up defensively coming into this game. Their two clean sheets in 19 matches say just how poor this San Marino side is.
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The Best Betting Odds for Gibraltar v San Marino Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.6 | 3.6 | 6.25 |
|
|
1.61 | 3.4 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.63 | 3.71 | 6.68 |
|
|
1.63 | 3.71 | 6.68 |
|
|
1.67 | 3.45 | 6 |
|
|
1.6 | 3.62 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.6 | 3.62 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.65 | 3.3 | 6 |
|
|
1.6 | 3.52 | 6.9 |
|
|
1.55 | 3.5 | 6.8 |
|
|
1.64 | 3.53 | 7.1 |
|
|
1.62 | 3.4 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.67 | 3.45 | 6.1 |
|
|
1.6 | 3.2 | 6 |
|
|
1.63 | 3.3 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.67 | 3.2 | 6 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Gibraltar and San Marino?
Our prediction for the Gibraltar vs San Marino match is: Under 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/10/2024 between Gibraltar and San Marino in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.64% for a win of Gibraltar against San Marino with odds of 1.67 at Betobet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Gibraltar vs San Marino is 22.05% with odds of 3.71 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.31% chance ⭐ for a win of San Marino vs Gibraltar with odds of 7.1 at Vbet.
Gibraltar - San Marino Prediction and Best Odds:
| Gibraltar San Marino Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Gibraltar wins | 53.64% | 1.67 at Betobet |
| Under 2.5 | 52.55% | 1.76 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 14.58% | 3 at William Hill |
| Half-time / Full-time : Gibraltar/Gibraltar | 29.18% | 2.7 at Betfair |
Gibraltar vs San Marino Form
Gibraltar and San Marino's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
|
2
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
Gibraltar and San Marino Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
4 Sep 2024 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
3 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - UEFA Nations League
21 Mar 2024 - UEFA Nations League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
4 Sep 2024 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
3 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2024 - UEFA Nations League
21 Nov 2023 - Euro
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Mar 2024 - UEFA Nations League
18 Nov 2023 - Euro
11 Oct 2023 - International Friendlies
10 Sep 2023 - Euro
19 Jun 2023 - Euro
27 Mar 2023 - Euro
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Sep 2024 - International Friendlies
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
20 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
20 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
20 Nov 2023 - Euro
17 Oct 2023 - Euro
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Sep 2024 - International Friendlies
5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
17 Nov 2023 - Euro
14 Oct 2023 - Euro
7 Sep 2023 - Euro
19 Jun 2023 - Euro
Gibraltar vs San Marino Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Nov 2020 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sep 2020 - UEFA Nations League
Gibraltar against San Marino Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 2 - 1
Most goals and assists
Gibraltar
San Marino
L. Walker
(2 Goals)
N. Nanni
(2 Goals)
J. Valarino
(1 Assists)
,
T. De Barr
(1 Assists)
A. Contadini
(1 Assists)
Gibraltar - San Marino Key Points
- Three of San Marino’s last five matches had under 2.5 goals.
- Four of Gibraltar’s last five matches produced under 2.5 goals.
- San Marino scored twice in the last five matches.
- Gibraltar scored 0.6 goals on average in their last five matches.
- In five away Nations League games, San Marino scored once.
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Our Gibraltar vs San Marino Prediction
Two sides on really poor scoring runs face off here. San Marino have one goal in their last five away matches in the UEFA Nations League. Meanwhile Gibraltar, on average, netted less than a goal in their last five matches.
Four of their last five matches produced less than three goals and we expect them to still have trouble in attack in this game. We will go for a low-scoring match here. Our prediction for Gibraltar v San Marino is for under 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Gibraltar San Marino
| Gibraltar vs San Marino | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gibraltar wins | 1.6 | 1.6 | 0% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.6 | 0% |
| San Marino wins | 6 | 6.25 | +4.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Gibraltar is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 62.5% and is now 62.5% (0.0%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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