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Gibraltar vs Lithuania Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
by Nella Wagah in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Ahead of the 2024 UEFA Nations League in autumn, the League C and D relegation playoffs take center stage this Thursday. Gibraltar will host Lithuania in the first of this two-legged tie. The two lowest point scorers from the last edition will meet, with the winner going on to play in League C. Playing in Group 4 of League C last season, Gibraltar finished bottom with just a point. Their poor run was helped a lot by a poor scoring run. In their six group matches, they managed just three goals. all the goals came in three separate matches, meaning they didn’t score more than once in a game. The hosts don’t boast a very strong run coming here either. In the last 10 matches, they haven't scored a goal, while at the same time, they have no clean sheet. Gibraltar have managed two wins only in their last 35 matches. Those were against low-ranking Andorra (1-0) and Liechtenstein (2-0). The clean sheets registered in the two wins happen to be all they’ve had for the last 13 matches.
This will be the first ever meeting between these two nations and a first leg advantage will be the target. Lithuania will have the favorites’ feel coming into the game, even though they play away from home. Their close to 2023 wasn’t really great, with two straight defeats, but they’ll be eyeing a strong start to 2024. Lithuania’s 2023 ended in a 1-0 loss to Cyprus in a friendly game. Unlike Gibraltar, who are winless in 10, Lithuania come here with a win in their last four matches. They’ve actually avoided defeat in five of their last 10 matches. Like Gibraltar though, their scoring run hasn’t been the best. In their League C group, they managed just two goals in six matches, though conceded four less than Gibraltar. Their last two matches ahead of this one ended without Lithuania scoring. They also failed to score in eight of their last 10 away matches.
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The Best Betting Odds for Gibraltar v Lithuania Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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8.5 | 4.75 | 1.4 |
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8.5 | 4.5 | 1.3 |
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9.5 | 4.8 | 1.33 |
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8 | 4.5 | 1.32 |
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10 | 4.65 | 1.38 |
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10 | 4.65 | 1.38 |
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7.6 | 4.2 | 1.46 |
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7.6 | 4.2 | 1.46 |
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10 | 4.6 | 1.31 |
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10 | 4.62 | 1.35 |
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9.2 | 4.6 | 1.37 |
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10 | 4.6 | 1.33 |
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11 | 4.75 | 1.36 |
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10 | 4.33 | 1.33 |
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9.2 | 4.8 | 1.39 |
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9 | 4.75 | 1.33 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Gibraltar and Lithuania?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/03/2024 between Gibraltar and Lithuania in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 26.1% for a win of Gibraltar against Lithuania with odds of 11 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Gibraltar vs Lithuania is 19.48% with odds of 4.8 at Ladbrokes.
- Our prediction model gives a 54.42% chance ⭐ for a win of Lithuania vs Gibraltar with odds of 1.46 at Betwinner.
Gibraltar - Lithuania Prediction and Best Odds:
Gibraltar Lithuania Prediction | Probability | Odds |
---|---|---|
Lithuania wins | 54.42% | 1.46 at Betwinner |
Under 2.5 | 51.01% | 1.8 at Betfair |
Both Team To Score | 21.43% | 2.75 at Betsson |
Half-time / Full-time: Lithuania/Lithuania | 31.25% | 2.1 at Bet365 |
Gibraltar vs Lithuania Form
Gibraltar and Lithuania Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Nov 2023 - Euro
18 Nov 2023 - Euro
16 Oct 2023 - Euro
11 Oct 2023 - International Friendlies
10 Sep 2023 - Euro
19 Jun 2023 - Euro
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Nov 2023 - Euro
16 Oct 2023 - Euro
16 Jun 2023 - Euro
24 Mar 2023 - Euro
26 Sep 2022 - UEFA Nations League
9 Jun 2022 - UEFA Nations League
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Nov 2023 - Euro
11 Oct 2023 - International Friendlies
10 Sep 2023 - Euro
19 Jun 2023 - Euro
27 Mar 2023 - Euro
23 Sep 2022 - UEFA Nations League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Nov 2023 - Euro
17 Oct 2023 - Euro
14 Oct 2023 - Euro
10 Sep 2023 - Euro
7 Sep 2023 - Euro
20 Jun 2023 - Euro
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Oct 2023 - Euro
10 Sep 2023 - Euro
7 Sep 2023 - Euro
17 Jun 2023 - Euro
22 Sep 2022 - UEFA Nations League
7 Jun 2022 - UEFA Nations League
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Nov 2023 - Euro
14 Oct 2023 - Euro
20 Jun 2023 - Euro
24 Mar 2023 - Euro
25 Sep 2022 - UEFA Nations League
14 Jun 2022 - UEFA Nations League
Gibraltar against Lithuania Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
Gibraltar - Lithuania Key Points
- Gibraltar failed to score in their last four home matches
- Both sides scored in just two of Gibraltar’s last 15 matches
- Gibraltar managed two clean sheets in their last 13 matches
- Only once in Lithuania’s last 10 away matches did both teams score
- At least one side failed to score in three of Lithuania’s last four matches
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Our Gibraltar vs Lithuania Prediction
Two nations without very strong scoring runs face off here. They’ve failed to score in most of their recent games, a run they also carried in their group games. Going by their numbers ahead of this game, we do not expect a lot of goals. Our prediction for Gibraltar v Lithuania is for at least one side to fail to score.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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