Africa - AFCON
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Ghana vs Sudan Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
by Devesh Jaganath in AFCON Predictions
The 2025 Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers will resume with round three this week with Ghana taking on Sudan at the Accra Sports Stadium on Thursday evening. The Black Stars are currently in third place in Group F while the Falcons of Jediane are second. Let’s get into the match prediction.
After suffering a shocking knockout in the group stage of the 2023 AFCON, Ghana’s participation in the next edition to be held in Morocco is in serious doubt.
The Black Stars managed just a single point from their first two qualification matches last month, which came in a 2-2 draw away to Egypt, just a few days after they lost to Cape Verde 2-1 at home.
With those results, the hosts have now managed only two wins in their last 11 matches across all competitions. At home, Ghana have a record of four wins, one draw and one loss in their last six.
Meanwhile, Sudan got their AFCON qualifying campaign off to a positive start, overcoming minnows Niger 1-0 in the opening round. However, despite a resilient display, they were unable to overcome Angola in round two and lost their second match 2-1 on the road.
Still, the Falcons of Jediane are a side on the up, having won three of their last four matches and lost just two of their last 10 in all competitions, notching up six wins and two draws in the process.
On the road, the visitors have split their last six, winning three and losing three, but they have only beaten their upcoming opponent once in their last six encounters dating back to 2011.
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The Best Betting Odds for Ghana v Sudan Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.6 | 2.7 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.31 | 4.55 | 12 |
|
|
1.31 | 4.55 | 12 |
|
|
1.25 | 5 | 13 |
|
|
1.31 | 4.6 | 12 |
|
|
1.31 | 4.6 | 12 |
|
|
1.29 | 4.6 | 11 |
|
|
1.32 | 4.55 | 11.5 |
|
|
1.31 | 4.5 | 12 |
|
|
1.29 | 4.9 | 15 |
|
|
1.29 | 4.5 | 10 |
|
|
1.28 | 5 | 14 |
|
|
1.2 | 4.4 | 11 |
|
|
1.3 | 4.75 | 11 |
|
|
1.24 | 4.33 | 13 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Ghana and Sudan?
Our prediction for the Ghana vs Sudan match is: Sudan +2!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/10/2024 between Ghana and Sudan in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 52.28% for a win of Ghana against Sudan with odds of 1.6 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Ghana vs Sudan is 16.13% with odds of 5 at Betobet.
- Our prediction model gives a 31.59% chance ⭐ for a win of Sudan vs Ghana with odds of 15 at Vbet.
Ghana - Sudan Prediction and Best Odds:
| Ghana Sudan Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Ghana wins | 52.28% | 1.6 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 53.96% | 1.97 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 41.67% | 3.05 at Unibet |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Ghana | 25.99% | 3.8 at Unibet |
Ghana vs Sudan Form
Ghana and Sudan's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 |
|
4
|
3 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -4 |
Ghana and Sudan Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Sep 2024 - AFCON
5 Sep 2024 - AFCON
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2024 - AFCON
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
14 Jan 2024 - AFCON
8 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
17 Nov 2023 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Sep 2024 - AFCON
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Jan 2024 - AFCON
18 Jan 2024 - AFCON
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Sep 2024 - AFCON
4 Sep 2024 - AFCON
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2023 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sep 2024 - AFCON
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2023 - World Cup
16 Nov 2023 - World Cup
20 Jun 2023 - AFCON
27 Mar 2023 - AFCON
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Sep 2024 - AFCON
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
9 Sep 2023 - AFCON
23 Mar 2023 - AFCON
19 Jan 2023 - African Nations Championship
Ghana vs Sudan Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
19 Jan 2023 - African Nations Championship
17 Nov 2020 - AFCON
12 Nov 2020 - AFCON
Most goals and assists
Ghana
Sudan
M. Kudus
(2 Goals)
,
J. Ayew
(2 Goals)
J. Ayew
(1 Assists)
,
D. Odoi
(1 Assists)
,
S. Abdul Samed
(1 Assists)
Ghana - Sudan Key Points
- Ghana have failed to win either of their previous two matches in this competition.
- Ghana have only won two of their last 11 matches in all competitions.
- Ghana have not won any of their last 14 matches by two clear goals.
- Sudan have won three of their last four matches in all competitions.
- Sudan have not lost any of their last 10 matches by two clear goals.
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Our Ghana vs Sudan Prediction
While Ghana are understandably inserted as favourites here, we feel that there could be plenty of value to be had on Sudan keeping the scoreline in this match very close.
The Falcons of Jediane have been a very difficult side to beat over the past year and we feel a two-goal headstart will be enough to see the visitors return for their backers. Our Ghana vs Sudan prediction: Sudan +2.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Ghana Sudan
| Ghana vs Sudan | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ghana wins | 1.6 | 1.6 | 0% |
| Draw | 2.7 | 2.7 | 0% |
| Sudan wins | 9.5 | 8.5 | -10.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Ghana is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 62.5% and is now 62.5% (0.0%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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