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Germany vs Netherlands Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
by Kennedy Kechula in UEFA Nations League Predictions
The Netherlands have a tricky away trip to Germany next on the roster as the UEFA Nations League enters Match Day 4. This match, scheduled for Monday 14th October, pits Die Mannschaft who top Group A3 against second placed Oranje, separated by two points. In case you are looking to bet on this game, we have a prediction on the possible outcome.
A convincing performance in one of Friday’s matches ended in Germany winning away in Bosnia-Herzegovina. That handed them a two-point buffer and another will will secure them a place in the quarter-finals. They’ll be looking to consolidate their lead at the Allianz Arena in their 48th meeting with the Dutch.
The Netherlands didn’t have as smooth an outing as their hosts. They had to battle from a goal down to draw away in Hungary. It was a tough game that they were also forced to finish with 10 men. The visitors will hope to tap on their rich run in the Nations League as they look to rise again.
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The Best Betting Odds for Germany v Netherlands Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.83 | 4.1 | 3.7 |
|
|
2.1 | 2.75 | 3.9 |
|
|
1.92 | 4.21 | 3.67 |
|
|
1.92 | 4.21 | 3.67 |
|
|
1.77 | 3.9 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.81 | 4.1 | 3.9 |
|
|
1.81 | 4.1 | 3.9 |
|
|
1.82 | 3.85 | 4.3 |
|
|
1.78 | 4.06 | 4.06 |
|
|
1.82 | 3.85 | 4.3 |
|
|
1.91 | 4.1 | 3.97 |
|
|
1.8 | 4 | 3.75 |
|
|
1.75 | 4.2 | 4.1 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.75 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.88 | 4 | 4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Germany and Netherlands?
Our prediction for the Germany vs Netherlands match is: Both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/10/2024 between Germany and Netherlands in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.7% for a win of Germany against Netherlands with odds of 2.1 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Germany vs Netherlands is 24.45% with odds of 4.21 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 36.84% chance ⭐ for a win of Netherlands vs Germany with odds of 4.3 at Stake.
Germany - Netherlands Prediction and Best Odds:
| Germany Netherlands Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Germany wins | 38.7% | 2.1 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.37% | 1.82 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 56.25% | 1.57 at William Hill |
| Half-time / Full-time : Germany/Germany | 15.9% | 3 at Betsson |
Germany vs Netherlands Form
Germany and Netherlands's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
14 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 |
|
2
|
9 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
Germany and Netherlands Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Jul 2024 - Euro
29 Jun 2024 - Euro
23 Jun 2024 - Euro
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
29 Jun 2024 - Euro
19 Jun 2024 - Euro
14 Jun 2024 - Euro
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
3 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Jul 2024 - Euro
23 Jun 2024 - Euro
23 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Jul 2024 - Euro
6 Jul 2024 - Euro
2 Jul 2024 - Euro
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Jul 2024 - Euro
6 Jul 2024 - Euro
25 Jun 2024 - Euro
21 Jun 2024 - Euro
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
2 Jul 2024 - Euro
16 Jun 2024 - Euro
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - Euro
16 Oct 2023 - Euro
Germany vs Netherlands Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
50 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
29 Mar 2022 - International Friendlies
6 Sep 2019 - Euro
19 Nov 2018 - UEFA Nations League
13 Oct 2018 - UEFA Nations League
Germany - Netherlands: Form Analysis
In the last two competitive meetings between these nations, Germany failed to win. This home match, therefore, presents them with a chance to rise against a familiar foe.
Their first meeting in this edition of the Nations League ended 2-2 away in Amsterdam. Germany rose from a goal down to lead 2-1 before being pegged back early in the second half.
The two nations were toe to toe until Friday, when Germany posted a 2-1 win in Bosnia-Herzegovina. They now have seven points, and will be aiming to go five clear with a win.
The last time they played at home, Germany blanked Hungary 5-0. They now have six wins in 10 home matches and Julian Nagelsmann’s men will go into this very confident.
The Netherlands have good record against Ger=many in recent competitive matches.
Most of the Netherlands’ recent meetings with Germany have gone in their favor; they’ve never lost to Germany in a Nations League match. In the last four meetings with Germany, the Netherlands’ only loss was in a friendly match.
They will need this slice of good fortune when they head to Munich, as they are coming from a frustrating game. Ronald Koeman’s side finished with 10 men in their 1-1 draw with Hungary on Friday.
Skipper Virgil van Dijk was sent off with the Netherlands trailing at the time. While Denzel Dumfries’ late equalizer was a cause for celebration, one win in the last four matches isn’t very encouraging.
They’ve drawn both matches coming after the 5-2 win over Bosnia-Herzegovina.
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Germany against Netherlands Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Germany & Netherlands Squad Analysis
Germany are without the in-form Kai Havertz for the current international break. As the Arsenal man sits out, Stuttgart’s Deniz Undav has stepped up well. The forward’s start to life as a German international is going well.
He has scored three goals in the last two international matches, which says all about his impact in this German team.
In goal, Germany are set for a long spell without Marc Andre ter Stegen. Alexander Nubel did well on his debut against Bosnia-Herzegovina.
Either through injury or suspension, both nations are set to miss key men.
The big news ahead of this fixture is that of Virgil van Dijk’s absence. The Netherlands will be without their skipper who was sent off on Friday.
They will, however, be less worried as in the previous 11 matches without him, they won eight, drew two and lost just once.
Furthermore, the Dutch have an able leader in Denzel Dumfries, who scored their equalizer in Hungary. The Inter Milan man was also on target in the 2-2 draw with Germany earlier.
Most goals and assists
Germany
Netherlands
D. Undav
(3 Goals)
,
F. Wirtz
(3 Goals)
D. Dumfries
(3 Goals)
J. Musiala
(3 Assists)
,
F. Wirtz
(3 Assists)
D. Malen
(2 Assists)
Germany - Netherlands Key Points
- In six of Germany’s last 10 matches, both teams scored.
- In the Netherlands’ last five matches both teams got to score.
- Both teams scored in six of Germany’s nine Nations League matches at home.
- In Germany’s 19 Nations League matches, they managed just two clean sheets.
- The Netherlands failed to score in two of the last 10 away Nations League matches.
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Our Germany vs Netherlands Prediction
Clean sheets are a rare occurrence in these nations’ recent matches. Their matches portray an imbalance in their attacking prowess and the ability to keep clean sheets. In Germany’s last 10 matches, for example, they kept just four clean sheets but failed to score once.
A similar inconsistency can be picked from the Netherlands’ last 10 matches, which produced three clean sheets. The Dutch also drew blanks in just one of the said 10 matches. Our prediction for this Germany v Netherlands match is for both teams to score.
Germany vs Netherlands - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5 goals
Apart from these nations’ poor returns in clean sheets, the other recurring stat is the high-scoring nature of their matches. Their opening three matches in this competition have already witnessed 25 goals scored.
Also, only one of their last seven meetings had under three goals. Our second prediction for this game is for over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Germany Netherlands
| Germany vs Netherlands | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Germany wins | 1.8 | 1.83 | +1.7% |
| Draw | 3.7 | 4.1 | +10.8% |
| Netherlands wins | 4.33 | 3.7 | -14.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Germany is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 1.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 55.6% and is now 54.6% (-0.9%)
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Germany vs Netherlands match : Frequently asked questions
The Germany v Netherlands match will be played on Monday 14th October.
The Germany v Netherlands match will be staged at the Allianz Arena in Munich.
If you follow the game from Germany, you can watch it via ARD, DAZN DACH, RTL Germany and ZDF. For fans in the Netherlands, the match will be aired on NOS and Ziggo Sport. The Sportytrader UEFA Nations League Livescores page will also have the match updates.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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