Germany vs Denmark Prediction & Betting Tips - Euro
by Sridhar in Euro Predictions
Host Germany will look to prove their title credentials as they come up against a tricky Denmark side in the last 16 of the Euro 2024 competition.
The Westfalenstadion, or Signal Iduna Park, in Dortmund will play host to this match on Saturday. The winner of this tie will go on to meet the winner of Spain vs Georgina in the quarterfinals.
With Portugal, France, and Belgium all in the same half, the route to the finals is looking tougher. That would be dealt with later though, as the teams look to come out of this first knockout match with a positive result.
Denmark and Germany both have unbeaten records coming into this match, but who holds the aces in the quest to reach the quarterfinals?
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The Best Betting Odds for Germany v Denmark Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.01 | 41 | 351 |
|
|
1.61 | 3.8 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.01 | 41 | 401 |
|
|
1.01 | 41 | 401 |
|
|
1.61 | 3.9 | 6 |
|
|
1.59 | 3.7 | 6.45 |
|
|
1.01 | 33 | 100 |
|
|
1.63 | 3.72 | 5.85 |
|
|
1.64 | 3.9 | 5.8 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Germany and Denmark?
Our prediction for the Germany vs Denmark match is: Under 2.5 Goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 6/29/24 between Germany and Denmark in Euro :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.57% for a win of Germany against Denmark with odds of 1.64 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Germany vs Denmark is 34.89% with odds of 41 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.54% chance ⭐ for a win of Denmark vs Germany with odds of 401 at 1xbet.
Germany - Denmark Prediction and Best Odds:
| Germany Denmark Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Germany wins | 43.57% | 1.64 at Tonybet |
| Under 2.5 | 58.79% | 1.91 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 68.75% | 1.91 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Germany | 18.87% | 4.5 at Bet365 |
Germany vs Denmark Form
Germany and Denmark Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Jun 2024 - Euro
19 Jun 2024 - Euro
14 Jun 2024 - Euro
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
3 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jun 2024 - Euro
20 Jun 2024 - Euro
16 Jun 2024 - Euro
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
Germany against Denmark : Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 Jun 2021 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2017 - International Friendlies
Germany - Denmark: Form Analysis
Germany topped Group A with an unbeaten record of two wins and a draw. They started with a massive 5-1 win over Scotland, where five different players ended up finding the back of the net. Jamal Musiala and Florian Wirtz were the stars of the show, with some scintillating runs. The hosts followed it up with a 2-0 win over Hungary that confirmed progression to the knockout stage.
Musiala was once again on target, while Ilkay Gundogan also got himself on the scoreboard. The game against Switzerland was a test of their grit after conceding first in the 28th minute. Just when it looked like they could lose and qualify second in the group, Germany found a late goal through Niclas Fullkrug.
They are now unbeaten in seven matches and full of confidence ahead of this game.
Denmark also remained unbeaten in their group phase, finishing second in Group C with three points. Their position was determined after they ended level with Slovenia on points, goals scored, and conceded, only separated by disciplinary points. The Danes started with a 1-1 draw against Slovenia, where they failed to take full advantage of a 17th-minute goal by Christian Eriksen.
In their second match, they fell behind to an early goal from Harry Kane for England. Yet there was enough from Denmark to storm back and draw 1-1. With their progression hinging around their last match, Denmark played out a 0-0 draw with Serbia, which was enough to send them through.
They are also in fine form ahead of this match here, remaining unbeaten in seven matches. In fact, going back to March 2023, Denmark have lost only one of their last 15 matches, winning nine and drawing five.
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Germany against Denmark Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Missing players
J. Tah
M. Hjulmand
Germany & Denmark Squad Analysis
Germany are sweating over their backline, where they have one player suspended and another struggling with an injury.
Jonathan Tah has accumulated two yellow cards and is suspended for this match.
Antonio Rudiger was hampered by a hamstring injury earlier this week and could be fighting against time to be fit for this game.
Denmark also have to work around a suspension, as their midfielder Morten Hjulmand is out of contention after picking up two yellow cards in the tournament. Thomas Delaney has recovered from illness and played against Serbia from the bench, and he could be featured here from the start.
Germany - Denmark Key Points
- In five of Germany’s last eight matches, there have been under 2.5 goals scored
- Germany’s last two Euros matches have returned exactly two goals
- All three Euro 2024 matches featuring Denmark have seen fewer than three goals
- Denmark have returned two or fewer goals in six of their last eight matches
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Our Germany vs Denmark Prediction
Germany have been impressive in the tournament, right from how they started with a 5-1 win over Scotland to the way they gritted out a 1-1 draw against Switzerland.
They will be the team to beat in this match against Denmark, but the Danes cannot be seen as an easy opponent. Denmark have drawn all three of their Euro games in this tournament, and each time the number of goals has been kept under check.
It could once again be the case here, and our prediction for Germany vs Denmark is for under 2.5 goals to be scored.
Germany vs Denmark - Other Interesting Predictions
Germany to win to nil
Denmark have scored only two goals in the Euros 2024 so far. One of those was a long-range screamer, so there are questions over their ability to crack the opposition defence. Germany has one of the best defensive units in the tournament, with only three other teams giving up more goals in expected goals statistic.
Although Jonathan Tah misses out due to suspension, Nico Schlotterbeck is an ideal replacement and should keep things tight at the back. Also, Robert Andrich could be tasked with keeping the veteran Christian Eriksen quiet, which should be a worry for Denmark in terms of chance creation. Germany could romp home with a clean sheet.
Niclas Fullkrug to score anytime
Niclas Fullkrug plays at this venue for Dortmund in the Bundesliga and brings his good form to the knockout stage. He scored two goals in three matches in the tournament, with the last one salvaging a late point against Switzerland. He could once again fancy his chances of getting on the scoreboard.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Germany Denmark
| Germany vs Denmark | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Germany wins | 1.57 | 1.01 | -35.7% |
| Draw | 4 | 41 | +925.0% |
| Denmark wins | 6 | 351 | +5,750.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Germany is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 35.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 63.7% and is now 99.0% (35.3%)
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Germany vs Denmark match : Frequently asked questions
The Germany vs Denmark Euro 2024 round of 16 will be broadcast live in the UK on ITV1. The match is also available to be streamed live for free via the ITVX app and the website.
Check out our Euro 2024 Livescore page!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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