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Italy - Serie A

Genoa
15 Sep 2024 06:30
Roma

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5

 
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Genoa vs Roma Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

 by Sridhar in Serie A Predictions

A tight game could be on the cards as two struggling attacking units of Serie A, Genoa and Roma, meet this weekend. This match #4 of the 2024-25 campaign will be played at the Luigi Ferraris Stadium on Sunday, with our prediction favoring a low-scoring game.

Genoa are 10th in the standings after three matches, with four points to their name. Roma are 16th after three games, with only two points to their name, and only above the bottom-three on goal difference. The home team were beaten 2-0 by Verona in their last match before international break, a result that ended their unbeaten start to the season.

Including a win in Coppa Italia, Genoa won two and drawn one match before that result against Verona. The challenge, however, is finding ways to score goals, as they could only score once across their last two matches. Roma would have had an uncomfortable break too, spending it closer to the bottom-three spots. The Giallorossi had a pair of 0-0 results against Cagliari and Juventus on matchdays one and three, a prime reason for their poor standing in the table.

Sandwiching those results was a 2-1 defeat at home against Empoli, leaving the visitors with just two points and one goal. They will hope to quickly find some strikes as Roma look to end a five-game winless sequence away from home in Serie A.

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The Best Betting Odds for Genoa v Roma Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
3.4 3.25 2.2
Ladbrokes
3.5 2.37 2.5
1xbet
3.42 3.44 2.32
22bet
3.42 3.44 2.32
Betobet
3.3 3.3 2.3
Betwinner
3.58 3.19 2.17
LSbet
3.58 3.19 2.17
Stake
3.3 3.35 2.28
Melbet
3.28 3.3 2.24
Tonybet
3.3 3.35 2.27
Vbet
3.72 3.23 2.24
Betway
3.4 3.1 2.25
Unibet
3.6 3.2 2.17
Betfair
3.3 3.3 2.15
Betsson
3.35 3.25 2.22
William Hill
3.6 3.2 2.2
Check all Genoa vs Roma odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Genoa and Roma?

Our prediction for the Genoa vs Roma match is: Under 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/09/2024 between Genoa and Roma in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.2% for a win of Genoa against Roma with odds of 3.72 at Vbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Genoa vs Roma is 34.76% with odds of 3.44 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 26.04% chance ⭐ for a win of Roma vs Genoa with odds of 2.5 at Ladbrokes.

Genoa - Roma Prediction and Best Odds:

Genoa Roma Prediction Probability Odds
Genoa wins 39.2% 3.72 at Vbet
Under 2.5 59.62% 2.35 at Vbet
Both Team To Score 46.25%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Genoa 21.09% 7.5 at Unibet

Genoa vs Roma Form

Genoa and Roma's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
12
Roma
Roma
13 12 3 4 5 -3
17
Genoa
Genoa
10 12 2 4 6 -13

Genoa and Roma Last Matches

Genoa
Genoa Last matches
L W W D W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

1 Sep 2024 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  2
Hellas Verona

24 Aug 2024 - Serie A

Monza
0 :  1
Genoa

17 Aug 2024 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  2
Inter Milan

9 Aug 2024 - Coppa Italia

Genoa
1 :  0
Reggiana

4 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Monaco
1 :  2
Genoa

1 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Brescia
2 :  0
Genoa
W W W W D L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

1 Sep 2024 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  2
Hellas Verona

17 Aug 2024 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  2
Inter Milan

9 Aug 2024 - Coppa Italia

Genoa
1 :  0
Reggiana

25 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Genoa
3 :  2
Mantova FC

20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Genoa
3 :  1
Venezia

24 May 2024 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  0
Bologna
D D L L W W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

24 Aug 2024 - Serie A

Monza
0 :  1
Genoa

4 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Monaco
1 :  2
Genoa

1 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Brescia
2 :  0
Genoa

19 May 2024 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  0
Genoa

5 May 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  3
Genoa

15 Apr 2024 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  1
Genoa
Roma
Roma Last matches
D W D D L D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

1 Sep 2024 - Serie A

Juventus
0 :  0
Roma

25 Aug 2024 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  2
Empoli

18 Aug 2024 - Serie A

Cagliari
0 :  0
Roma

10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Everton
1 :  1
Roma

6 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Barnsley
0 :  4
Roma

3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Roma
1 :  1
Olympiacos
D W W L D L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

25 Aug 2024 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  2
Empoli

3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Roma
1 :  1
Olympiacos

27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Roma
0 :  1
Toulouse

31 May 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Roma
5 :  2
AC Milan

19 May 2024 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  0
Genoa

5 May 2024 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  1
Juventus
L D W D D D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

1 Sep 2024 - Serie A

Juventus
0 :  0
Roma

18 Aug 2024 - Serie A

Cagliari
0 :  0
Roma

10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Everton
1 :  1
Roma

6 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Barnsley
0 :  4
Roma

22 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

FK Kosice
1 :  1
Roma

26 May 2024 - Serie A

Empoli
2 :  1
Roma

Genoa vs Roma Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Genoa

17 %

Draw

17 %

Roma

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.67
Total goals
17%
BTTS
0.67
Goals scored (Team 1)
1
Goals scored (Team 2)
17%
Over 2.5
83%
Under 2.5

19 May 2024 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  0
Genoa

28 Sep 2023 - Serie A

Genoa
4 :  1
Roma

12 Jan 2023 - Coppa Italia

Roma
1 :  0
Genoa

5 Feb 2022 - Serie A

Roma
0 :  0
Genoa

21 Nov 2021 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  2
Roma

7 Mar 2021 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  0
Genoa
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Genoa against Roma Lineups: Starting 11

Genoa

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

95
P. Gollini
14
A. Vogliacco
4
K. De Winter
22
J. Vasquez
20
S. Sabelli
32
M. Frendrup
47
M. Badelj
2
M. Thorsby
3
A. Martin
18
C. Ekuban
19
A. Pinamonti
11
A. Dovbyk
21
P. Dybala
92
S. El Shaarawy
61
N. Pisilli
4
B. Cristante
17
M. Kone
56
A. Saelemaekers
3
Angelino
5
E. N Dicka
23
G. Mancini
99
M. Svilar

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

Roma

Missing players

Genoa
Genoa
Forward

J. Messias

Roma
Roma

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Genoa
CD Huachipato Roma
Top Goalscorer
Italy A. Pinamonti (4 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Ukraine A. Dovbyk (6 Goals)
Best assists
Italy S. Sabelli (1 Assists)
Portugal V. Carvalho (1 Assists)
Spain A. Martin (1 Assists)
Italy J. Ekhator (1 Assists)
Italy A. Pinamonti (1 Assists)
Best assists
Italy L. Pellegrini (2 Assists)

Genoa - Roma Key Points

  1. Four of Genoa’s last five Serie A matches have seen under 2.5 goals scored
  2. Likewise, in four of the last five league matches between Genoa and Roma, there have been two or fewer goals
  3. Roma have failed to score in two of their last three league games
  4. Roma’s last two away league matches ended in 0-0 draws
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Our Genoa vs Roma Prediction

Roma have already seen two 0-0 draws this league campaign, which is a testimony to their defensive strengths but also raises concerns over their lack of attacking nous. The addition of Mats Hummels and Mario Hermoso further boosts their defensive credentials, which isn’t good news for Genoa. The home team could score only one goal in its last two matches, while their matches continue to be low-scoring affairs. That’s why our prediction for Genoa vs Roma is for under 2.5 goals to be scored.

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Genoa Roma

Genoa vs Roma Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Genoa wins 2.8 3.4 +21.4%
Draw 3.3 3.25 -1.5%
Roma wins 2.35 2.2 -6.4%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Genoa is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 21.4% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 35.7% and is now 29.4% (-6.3%)

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Genoa vs Roma Prediction
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