Genoa vs Inter Milan Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
by Sridhar in Serie A Predictions
Defending Serie A champions Inter Milan start their title defense against Genoa, a fixture that might favor them. This match will be played at the Luigi Ferraris Stadium on Saturday, with our prediction favoring a winning start for the Nerazzurri.
Genoa finished last season in 11th place in Serie A, with 49 points and only four behind the top-ten sides. It was an impressive performance in their first season back in the top flight, but this year could be a tough one. That’s because they have lost striker Mateo Retegui to Atalanta, and question marks remain over another key forward, Albert Guðmundsson.
They did start their season with a 1-0 win in the Coppa Italia competition, but Inter are a tougher opponent. The Nerazzurri won their 20th Serie A title last year with a tally of 94 points, 19 more than their nearest challengers, AC Milan. They have lost only twice all season, and both defeats came against Sassuolo, who are now relegated.
The visitors didn’t win any of their last three friendlies, drawing two and losing one, but should be up for the game here. The Nerazzurri ended last season with eight wins out of their last ten away league games, and they will try to recreate that form and start this campaign with a win.
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The Best Betting Odds for Genoa v Inter Milan Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
126 | 10 | 1.06 |
|
|
6 | 4.2 | 1.53 |
|
|
31 | 1.04 | 14.5 |
|
|
31 | 1.04 | 14.5 |
|
|
6.75 | 4.2 | 1.51 |
|
|
6.25 | 4.24 | 1.52 |
|
|
100 | 8.75 | 1.06 |
|
|
6.15 | 4.28 | 1.52 |
|
|
6.6 | 4.4 | 1.52 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Genoa and Inter Milan?
Our prediction for the Genoa vs Inter Milan match is: Inter Milan win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/08/2024 between Genoa and Inter Milan in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.37% for a win of Genoa against Inter Milan with odds of 126 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Genoa vs Inter Milan is 23.6% with odds of 10 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.02% chance ⭐ for a win of Inter Milan vs Genoa with odds of 14.5 at 1xbet.
Genoa - Inter Milan Prediction and Best Odds:
| Genoa Inter Milan Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Genoa wins | 41.37% | 126 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.76% | 2.43 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 52.92% | |
| Half-time: Inter Milan / Full-time: Genoa | 16.52% | 41 at Bet365 |
Genoa vs Inter Milan Form
Genoa and Inter Milan's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
|
11
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 |
Genoa and Inter Milan Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2024 - Coppa Italia
4 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2024 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
7 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
22 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
26 May 2024 - Serie A
Genoa against Inter Milan : Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 Mar 2024 - Serie A
29 Dec 2023 - Serie A
25 Feb 2022 - Serie A
21 Aug 2021 - Serie A
28 Feb 2021 - Serie A
24 Oct 2020 - Serie A
Genoa against Inter Milan Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Missing players
A. Zanoli
B. Norton-Cuffy
MidfielderF. Miretti
ForwardJ. Messias
D. Ankeye
F. Dimarco
ForwardT. Buchanan
Genoa - Inter Milan Key Points
- Inter have won eight and drew two of their last ten league matches against Genoa
- Genoa have lost their first match of the Serie A season in their last two seasons
- Inter have won 15 of their last 20 Serie A matches, drawing four
- Away from home, Inter have won eight of their last ten league matches
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Our Genoa vs Inter Milan Prediction
Inter are heavy favorites to win the Serie A title once again this season, but their form in the friendlies has been far from ideal. They failed to win any of their last three matches, but starting against Genoa could be a blessing in disguise. Genoa have struggled against Inter in recent years, and the loss of two top strikers over the summer is a big setback. That’s why our prediction for Genoa vs Inter Milan is a win for Inter Milan.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Genoa Inter Milan
| Genoa vs Inter Milan | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa wins | 5 | 126 | +2,420.0% |
| Draw | 4 | 10 | +150.0% |
| Inter Milan wins | 1.62 | 1.06 | -34.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Genoa is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2,420.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 20.0% and is now 0.8% (-19.2%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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