Africa - AFCON
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Gambia vs Tunisia Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
by Kennedy Kechula in AFCON Predictions
Tunisia have the perfect chance for revenge when they travel to Morocco to face Gambia in an AFCON qualifier on Sunday. Read on for our prediction of this Group A match.
Unavailability of CAF-approved venues in Gambia means they play this home game away. The hosts are ranked 91 places below Tunisia but they’ve never lost to their north African opponents.
This will mark the third meeting between the two nations and Gambia will be eyeing a third straight win. The last time they faced off was at the 2021 AFCON finals and Gambia’s last-minute goal handed them a 1-0 win.
In their first match in these qualifiers, Gambia had to come from behind to draw 1-1 with Comoros. They’ll be eyeing further improvement, after winning just one of their last nine matches.
Tunisia will make the short trip to Morocco to take on Gambia and it will really feel like home. This presents them the perfect atmosphere to avenge their loss to Gambia two years ago. Tunisia had also fallen to Gambia in a 2010 friendly match.
They are coming from a 1-0 home win against Madagascar and this is a chance to take a comfortable lead in Group A. It wasn’t a walk in the park on Match Day 1 of the qualifiers as they needed a stoppage time goal from Ferjani Sassi.
There will be positives drawn from their defensive solidity though. Tunisia have now gone six straight matches without conceding a goal. They have only lost one game in their last 12 outings.
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The Best Betting Odds for Gambia v Tunisia Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.7 | 3.63 | 1.79 |
|
|
4.7 | 3.63 | 1.79 |
|
|
5.28 | 3.3 | 1.75 |
|
|
5.28 | 3.3 | 1.75 |
|
|
5.1 | 2.98 | 1.92 |
|
|
4.75 | 2.9 | 1.83 |
|
|
5 | 2.8 | 1.73 |
|
|
5 | 3 | 1.87 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Gambia and Tunisia?
Our prediction for the Gambia vs Tunisia match is: Tunisia to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/09/2024 between Gambia and Tunisia in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.61% for a win of Gambia against Tunisia with odds of 5.28 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Gambia vs Tunisia is 29.1% with odds of 3.63 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.29% chance ⭐ for a win of Tunisia vs Gambia with odds of 1.92 at Vbet.
Gambia - Tunisia Prediction and Best Odds:
| Gambia Tunisia Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Gambia wins | 38.61% | 5.28 at Betwinner |
| Under 2.5 | 70.17% | 2.06 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 22.92% | 2.55 at Betsson |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Gambia | 26.16% | 11 at Betfair |
Gambia vs Tunisia Form
Gambia and Tunisia's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
|
3
|
8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
Gambia and Tunisia Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sep 2024 - AFCON
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
8 Jun 2024 - World Cup
23 Jan 2024 - AFCON
19 Jan 2024 - AFCON
15 Jan 2024 - AFCON
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Jun 2024 - World Cup
23 Jan 2024 - AFCON
20 Nov 2023 - World Cup
10 Sep 2023 - AFCON
28 Mar 2023 - AFCON
4 Jun 2022 - AFCON
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sep 2024 - AFCON
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
19 Jan 2024 - AFCON
15 Jan 2024 - AFCON
16 Nov 2023 - World Cup
14 Jun 2023 - AFCON
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2024 - AFCON
9 Jun 2024 - World Cup
5 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
24 Jan 2024 - AFCON
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2024 - AFCON
5 Jun 2024 - World Cup
23 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
20 Jan 2024 - AFCON
16 Jan 2024 - AFCON
10 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
24 Jan 2024 - AFCON
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
17 Jun 2023 - AFCON
28 Mar 2023 - AFCON
Gambia vs Tunisia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
20 Jan 2022 - AFCON
Missing players
Y. Minteh
Most goals and assists
Gambia
Tunisia
A. Jallow
(1 Goals)
,
E. Colley
(1 Goals)
H. Rafia
(1 Goals)
A. Ceesay
(1 Assists)
,
A. Fadera
(1 Assists)
A. Abdi
(1 Assists)
Gambia - Tunisia Key Points
- Tunisia are unbeaten in their last seven matches.
- Gambia have six losses in their last eight matches.
- Tunisia haven't conceded a goal in their last six outings.
- In the last 14 matches, Gambia managed just three wins.
- In their last 12 matches, Tunisia only suffered one defeat.
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Our Gambia vs Tunisia Prediction
Tunisia may have not won any of their previous matches against Gambia, but indications show it is just a matter of when. The Carthage Eagles are coming into this game from a win and have been solid in defence too.
A combination of those and the fact they’ll be playing in north Africa adds to their status as favorites. Gambia have the head-to-head advantage going into this game but they come here on an inferior recent run. Our prediction for Gambia v Tunisia is for Tunisia to win.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Gambia Tunisia
| Gambia vs Tunisia | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gambia wins | 5.04 | 4.7 | -6.7% |
| Draw | 3.08 | 3.63 | +17.9% |
| Tunisia wins | 1.91 | 1.79 | -6.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Gambia is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 6.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 19.8% and is now 21.3% (1.4%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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