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Galatasaray vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League
by Kennedy Kechula in Europa League Predictions
The Ali Sami Yen Spor Kompleksi in Istanbul is set to host one of the biggest Europa League matches this Thursday. Turkish giants Galatasaray will be at home to welcome Dutch side AZ Alkmaar in the return league of their knockout play-off. We have a prediction for this match.
From the first leg of this fixture, Galatasaray trails 4-1 and have a huge mountain to climb, needing a win by at least three unanswered goals. The Turkish side has a strong Europa League run at home and will be confident of rising from the away loss. AZ Alkmaar are competing in the knockout rounds of a European competition for the first time in five years.
They have the upper hand going into this return leg match by the virtue of their big win at home. AZ's home form is not in doubt, but can they do the job away from home? The winner on aggregate in this tie will meet either Manchester United or Tottenham Hotspur in the last 16.
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The Best Betting Odds for Galatasaray v AZ Alkmaar Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.65 | 4.33 | 4.5 |
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1.62 | 4.6 | 4.5 |
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1.91 | 2.9 | 4 |
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1.68 | 4.68 | 4.88 |
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1.68 | 4.68 | 4.88 |
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1.65 | 4.4 | 4.4 |
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1.62 | 4.5 | 4.7 |
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1.62 | 4.5 | 4.7 |
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1.67 | 4.4 | 4.7 |
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1.62 | 4.5 | 4.7 |
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1.67 | 4.3 | 4.7 |
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1.66 | 4.6 | 4.7 |
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1.62 | 4.5 | 4.33 |
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1.66 | 4.1 | 4.8 |
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1.62 | 4.6 | 4.4 |
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1.62 | 5 | 4.5 |
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1.65 | 4.4 | 4.6 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Galatasaray and AZ Alkmaar?
Our prediction for the Galatasaray vs AZ Alkmaar match is: Galatasaray wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/02/2025 between Galatasaray and AZ Alkmaar in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.32% for a win of Galatasaray against AZ Alkmaar with odds of 1.91 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Galatasaray vs AZ Alkmaar is 39.07% with odds of 5 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 25.61% chance ⭐ for a win of AZ Alkmaar vs Galatasaray with odds of 4.88 at 1xbet.
Galatasaray vs AZ Alkmaar Form
Galatasaray and AZ Alkmaar Last Matches
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4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Feb 2025 - Super Lig
13 Feb 2025 - Europa League
6 Feb 2025 - Turkiye Kupasi
3 Feb 2025 - Super Lig
30 Jan 2025 - Europa League
25 Jan 2025 - Super Lig
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2025 - Super Lig
21 Jan 2025 - Europa League
8 Jan 2025 - Turkiye Kupasi
4 Jan 2025 - Super Lig
16 Dec 2024 - Super Lig
1 Dec 2024 - Super Lig
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Feb 2025 - Super Lig
13 Feb 2025 - Europa League
6 Feb 2025 - Turkiye Kupasi
3 Feb 2025 - Super Lig
30 Jan 2025 - Europa League
17 Jan 2025 - Super Lig
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4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Feb 2025 - Europa League
9 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
6 Feb 2025 - KNVB beker
2 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
30 Jan 2025 - Europa League
26 Jan 2025 - Eredivisie
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Feb 2025 - Europa League
9 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
6 Feb 2025 - KNVB beker
26 Jan 2025 - Eredivisie
23 Jan 2025 - Europa League
14 Jan 2025 - KNVB beker
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
30 Jan 2025 - Europa League
18 Jan 2025 - Eredivisie
11 Jan 2025 - Eredivisie
15 Dec 2024 - Eredivisie
12 Dec 2024 - Europa League
Galatasaray vs AZ Alkmaar Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
50 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
13 Feb 2025 - Europa League
28 Nov 2024 - Europa League
Galatasaray - AZ Alkmaar: Form Analysis
Galatasaray went into the playoff as one of the seeded teams but have a big job ahead against a previously unseeded side. They need to score at least three goals without conceding any to have a chance of progressing.
This match marks the third meeting between the teams in this season’s competition. The first two were hosted in the Netherlands, producing a 1-1 draw and the recent Galatasaray 4-1 loss.
The Turkish side arrives for this game winless in five straight Europa League matches, the latest two ending in defeats to Dutch sides. However, they are unbeaten in five home matches in the Europa League, winning four.
In each of their last five UEL home matches, Galatasaray scored at least three goals.
AZ are eyeing a place in the last 16 of the Europa League for the first time since 2013/14. They weren’t strong finishers in the league phase but could well find themselves in the round of 16, helped on by their big first leg win.
Their last away match in the Europa League ended in a 4-3 defeat at Ferencvaros and the Dutch side will have their fears coming here.
Maarten Martens side is winless in the last seven away matches in the Europa League, losing six times. Coming into this game on four straight wins will, however, boost their confidence as they seek a first away win in Europe this season.
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Galatasaray vs AZ Alkmaar last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Galatasaray & AZ Alkmaar Squad Analysis
As Galatasaray seek to overturn this tie, they will welcome a massive boost in the return of Victor Osimhen. The Nigerian forward was suspended for the first leg and will have a good feeling coming back for this. So why is Osimhen important for Gala?
He scored in the first meeting between the two this season and will want to keep this run going. In the run up to this game, he scored twice to engineer a 2-1 win at Rizespor.
Those were his 18th and 19th goals for the club and in that tally, five were scored in the Europa League. Osimhen, a Napoli loanee has given Galatasaray value for money.
His passing range is another key attribute, having completed 66.2% pass accuracy. In the Europa League he has taken 42 shots and has 8.37 expected goals return. He will definitely be a thorn to AZ.
Galatasaray’s Kaan Ayhan is suspended for this game.
Troy Parrott is to AZ what Osimhen is to Galatasaray. Though his numbers are a bit lower than Osimhen's, the Irish forward is a man to watch. He has four Europa League goals from an expected goals tally of 3.48.
Parrott has one assist in this competition and even scored in the first leg meeting between these teams. He has attempted 13 shots in the nine matches he has played in the Europa League this season. Though his shot accuracy stands at 46%, Parrott remains a danger to Galatasaray.
Most goals and assists
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Galatasaray and AZ Alkmaar Stats in Europa League
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Galatasaray - AZ Alkmaar Key Points
- Galatasaray lost just once in 12 home UEL matches.
- Galatasaray are unbeaten in five UEL home matches.
- AZ are winless in their last seven away Europa League matches.
- In the last 16 home matches, Galatasaray are unbeaten, winning 12.
- In 11 away matches across all competitions, AZ managed just three wins.
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Our Galatasaray vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction
As Galatasaray return home for this fixture, they will want to seize control of the tie and progress to the last 16. They have a boost in their home form. Playing at their backyard, the Turkish giants are unbeaten in the last 16 matches across all competitions, and won 12 times.
This form is also seen in the Europa League, where they are unbeaten in the last five home matches. Their opponents do not have a strong away run and this should work perfectly for Galatasaray. Our prediction for Galatasaray v AZ Alkmaar is that Galatasaray wins the match.
Galatasaray vs AZ Alkmaar - Other Interesting Predictions
Victor Osimhen to score
Victor Osimhen will be a threat to AZ all through this match. He scored in the first meeting of the season between these two sides and will be fired up for this one too.
The Nigerian was suspended for the first leg of this tie and his return is a massive boost for Galatasaray. He comes here having scored twice over the weekend and in his form, we will back him to score here.
Get up to £30 to bet on the Galatasaray vs. AZ Alkmaar game
You can get yourself a £30 matched bet for the battle between Galatasaray and AZ Alkmaar when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins then you won't get the free bet but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Europa League!
Galatasaray vs AZ Alkmaar match : Frequently asked questions
The Galatasaray v AZ Alkmaar match will be played at the Ali Sami Yen Spor Kompleksi in Istanbul.
The Galatasaray v AZ Alkmaar match will be played on Thursday 20th February.
This match pits a Turkish team against a Dutch side; in those two countries, it will be aired on TRT and Ziggo Sport respectively. You can also follow the match updates via the SportyTrader portal dedicated for Europa League livescores.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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