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Fulham vs Newcastle Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Kennedy Kechula in Premier League Predictions
After a number of fine displays but falling short, Fulham have the chance to make a statement victory in the Premier League. On Match Day 5, the Cottagers will welcome Newcastle United at Craven Cottage on Saturday 21st September.
The Magpies are unbeaten heading into this match and predictions obviously have them as favorites. These two teams are coming from midweek matches in the League Cup, having had contrasting fortunes.
For Fulham it has been a case of failing to make use of created chances as they stand on two wins in six matches. Their last Premier League win against Newcastle was a decade ago and it will be complicated by coming here winless in three matches.
Newcastle United, on the other hand, seem to be enjoying their time without continental matches to think of, as was the case last season. A haul of 10 points in four matches has them in with a chance to go joint top.
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The Best Betting Odds for Fulham v Newcastle Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.75 | 3.4 | 2.6 |
|
|
3 | 2.5 | 2.6 |
|
|
2.93 | 3.54 | 2.49 |
|
|
2.93 | 3.54 | 2.49 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.4 | 2.45 |
|
|
2.84 | 3.44 | 2.44 |
|
|
2.84 | 3.44 | 2.44 |
|
|
2.85 | 3.5 | 2.48 |
|
|
2.82 | 3.46 | 2.45 |
|
|
2.85 | 3.55 | 2.45 |
|
|
2.63 | 3.4 | 2.6 |
|
|
2.85 | 3.45 | 2.6 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.5 | 2.45 |
|
|
2.85 | 3.5 | 2.55 |
|
|
2.88 | 3.3 | 2.45 |
|
|
2.84 | 3.61 | 2.52 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Fulham and Newcastle?
Our prediction for the Fulham vs Newcastle match is: Newcastle United to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/09/2024 between Fulham and Newcastle in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 18.09% for a win of Fulham against Newcastle with odds of 3 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Fulham vs Newcastle is 28.77% with odds of 3.61 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 53.15% chance ⭐ for a win of Newcastle vs Fulham with odds of 2.6 at Bet365.
Fulham - Newcastle Prediction and Best Odds:
| Fulham Newcastle Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Newcastle wins | 53.15% | 2.6 at Bet365 |
| Under 2.5 | 50.2% | 2.3 at Betfair |
| Both Team To Score | 65% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Newcastle/Newcastle | 22.33% | 4.3 at Betsson |
Fulham vs Newcastle Form
Fulham and Newcastle's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
18 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
|
8
|
18 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Fulham and Newcastle Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
16 Aug 2024 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
5 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
11 May 2024 - Premier League
27 Apr 2024 - Premier League
21 Apr 2024 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
16 Aug 2024 - Premier League
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Sep 2024 - Premier League
1 Sep 2024 - Premier League
28 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
25 Aug 2024 - Premier League
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Sep 2024 - Premier League
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
11 May 2024 - Premier League
27 Apr 2024 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Sep 2024 - Premier League
28 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
25 Aug 2024 - Premier League
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Fulham vs Newcastle Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
6 Apr 2024 - Premier League
27 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
16 Dec 2023 - Premier League
15 Jan 2023 - Premier League
1 Oct 2022 - Premier League
23 May 2021 - Premier League
Fulham - Newcastle: Form Analysis
Fulham are coming from a run of tough results to take, the most recent being their elimination from the League Cup. Facing second-tier side Preston in midweek, Fulham came from behind to send the game to penalties.
A nervy process would follow and Fulham lost 16-15 after the teams had taken a remarkable total 34 spot kicks. That result came off the back of another low moment when Fulham conceded late to draw 1-1 with West Ham United.
They’ve drawn 1-1 at 90 minutes in each of their last three matches and will be desperate to add to their single league win. It is a harsh reflection on their performances in the matches but their record against Newcastle should be a bigger concern.
Fulham have one win in the last 10 meetings with their visitors.
As Fulham come seeking a second league win, Newcastle United are looking to go joint top.
Newcastle United will have very few negatives to pick from their opening five matches of the season. They are coming from a 2-1 win at Wolverhampton Wanderers.
At the Molineux, they had to rise from 1-0 down to claim three points. Perhaps Eddie Howe’s worry will be the difficulty to keep clean sheets, having failed to add to their Match Day 1 one.
In each of the Magpies’ last four matches they conceded a goal. Three wins in four league matches has them third in the standings and are one of five teams yet to taste defeat this season.
As they seek to prolong this run, Newcastle United’s head-to-head record against Fulham should be a source of encouragement. They have six straight wins in this fixture across league and cup games.
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Players list
B. Leno
DefenderK. Tete
J. Andersen
C. Bassey
A. Robinson
MidfielderH. Reed
S. Berge
I. Diop
ForwardR. Nelson
A. Iwobi
R. Muniz
N. Pope
DefenderT. Livramento
F. Schar
D. Burn
L. Hall
MidfielderB. Guimaraes
J. Murphy
ForwardS. Tonali
W. Osula
A. Isak
H. Barnes
Substitutes
S. Benda
DefenderI. Diop
T. Castagne
MidfielderR. Sessegnon
S. Berge
T. Cairney
H. Reed
R. Muniz
R. Nelson
M. Dubravka
DefenderL. Hall
T. Livramento
E. Krafth
MidfielderJ. Murphy
S. Longstaff
S. Tonali
M. Almiron
ForwardW. Osula
Fulham & Newcastle Squad Analysis
Fulham are creating themselves a profile as a fine attacking team. The summer additions of Reiss Nelson and Emile Smith-Rowe from Arsenal have turned out to be very positive.
Nelson scored his first Fulham goal in midweek in the League Cup and will be confident coming here. Smith-Rowe has a goal to his name too and has been an important player for the hosts as he enjoys more play time.
With a number of attacking players having been rested in midweek, we expect an explosive game when restored. Marco Silva will, however, be without Carlos Vinicius for this game. The Brazilian forward is yet to play since returning from his loan spell in Galatasaray.
Newcastle United's Harvey Barnes will be eyeing a third goal in as many games.
Newcastle United will be positive coming into this game. Another former Arsenal man, Joe Willock has been pulling strings in attack for the visitors. In their last game, he provided the assist for the winning goal, netted by a player doing well – Harvey Barnes.
With a thigh problem, Willock is, however, listed as doubtful for this match. Emil Krafth is the other player to be subjected to late tests.
Meanwhile, Callum Wilson, Jamaal Lascelles, Lewis Miley and Sven Botman are all ruled out of this game. Sandro Tonali has played all three matches since finishing his 10-month ban and has so far proven to be key.
He could once again come from the bench as Sean Longstaff is Eddie Howe’s preferred starter in midfield.
Most goals and assists
Fulham
Newcastle
R. Jimenez
(5 Goals)
A. Isak
(5 Goals)
A. Traore
(3 Assists)
, 
A. Robinson
(3 Assists)
A. Isak
(2 Assists)
, 
J. Murphy
(2 Assists)
, 
S. Tonali
(2 Assists)
Fulham - Newcastle Key Points
- Fulham have no win in their last three matches.
- Newcastle United are unbeaten so far this season.
- Newcastle United have two straight wins ahead of this game.
- Fulham lost in all their last six meetings with Newcastle United.
- Newcastle United have three wins in their last five away league matches.
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Our Fulham vs Newcastle Prediction
While Fulham have the most wins in this fixture, recent meetings with Newcastle United haven't gone in their favor. They have six straight defeats against Newcastle United and haven't beaten them in the Premier League since 2014. In the last 10 meetings between these teams across league and cup games, Fulham have just one victory.
Additionally, they have no win in their last three matches, while Newcastle are on a strong run coming into this game. In their last five visits to Fulham, four being in the league, Newcastle won. Our prediction for Fulham v Newcastle United is for Newcastle United to win.
Fulham vs Newcastle - Other Interesting Predictions
Under 2.5 goals
Five of the last seven meetings pitting these two teams ended with under 2.5 goals. Fulham failed to score in the last two games against Newcastle United.
The hosts haven't also scored more than once in the last three matches, while five of their last six matches had under 2.5 goals.
Three of Newcastle United’s five matches so far also returned under 2.5 goals. Therefore, our second prediction for this game is for under 2.5 goals to be scored.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Fulham Newcastle
| Fulham vs Newcastle | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham wins | 3.5 | 2.75 | -21.4% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.4 | -9.3% |
| Newcastle wins | 1.95 | 2.6 | +33.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Newcastle is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 33.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 51.3% and is now 38.5% (-12.8%)
Fulham vs Newcastle match : Frequently asked questions
In recent times, Newcastle have dominated this fixture. They lead 7-1 from the last 10 meetings, with two matches ending in draws.
The Fulham v Newcastle United match will be staged at Craven Cottage in London.
The Fulham v Newcastle United match will be played on Saturday 21st September starting 1400hrs GMT.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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