Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar in Bundesliga Predictions
Borussia Dortmund will look to reduce their gap to Freiburg in an interesting battle for European qualification as the Bundesliga heats up with this matchday 28 fixture on Saturday. This match at Stade Europa-Park between the seventh-placed Breisgau-Brasilianer and the 10th-placed Der BVB comes with our prediction of over 2.5.
Freiburg’s 42 points see them start this round only three behind the top four teams but only three above Augsburg. Dortmund have 38 points and could reduce their gap in the chasing pack for European qualification.
A 2-1 home loss to Union Berlin last weekend meant Freiburg have slipped a bit in their top four chase. They are now without a win in four league matches, having drawn the previous three.
Playing at home could be the tonic they need, as Freiburg have won five of their last eight Bundesliga matches here.
That record would be tested by Dortmund, who have won the last six Bundesliga matches against Freiburg. That included a 4-0 result earlier in this season, and the visitors are also coming off a 3-1 home win over Mainz.
That’s only half the story, as Dortmund have been inconsistent with four defeats and four wins in their last eight Bundesliga matches. Even their away form is indifferent, with four defeats from the last six league trips.
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The Best Betting Odds for Freiburg v Borussia Dortmund Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.25 | 3.5 | 2.15 |
|
|
3.25 | 3.5 | 2.15 |
|
|
3 | 2.5 | 2.6 |
|
|
3.34 | 3.64 | 2.26 |
|
|
3.34 | 3.64 | 2.26 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Freiburg and Borussia Dortmund?
Our prediction for the Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund match is: over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/04/2025 between Freiburg and Borussia Dortmund in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 29.58% for a win of Freiburg against Borussia Dortmund with odds of 3.35 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund is 15.7% with odds of 3.64 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 54.72% chance ⭐ for a win of Borussia Dortmund vs Freiburg with odds of 2.6 at Ladbrokes.
Freiburg - Borussia Dortmund Prediction and Best Odds:
| Freiburg Borussia Dortmund Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund wins | 54.72% | 2.6 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.91% | 1.97 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 45% | 1.65 at William Hill |
| Half-time : Freiburg / Full-time : Borussia Dortmund | 19.56% | 26 at Betsson |
Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund Form
Freiburg and Borussia Dortmund's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
48 | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | -4 |
|
7
|
45 | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 10 |
Freiburg and Borussia Dortmund Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
20 Mar 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
15 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
21 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
20 Mar 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
21 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
25 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
18 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
14 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
12 Mar 2025 - Champions League
8 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
4 Mar 2025 - Champions League
1 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
4 Mar 2025 - Champions League
22 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
19 Feb 2025 - Champions League
8 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
12 Mar 2025 - Champions League
1 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
11 Feb 2025 - Champions League
1 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
23 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
9 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
16 Sep 2023 - Bundesliga
4 Feb 2023 - Bundesliga
12 Aug 2022 - Bundesliga
14 Jan 2022 - Bundesliga
Players list
F. Muller
DefenderL. Kubler
M. Ginter
M. Rosenfelder
J. Makengo
MidfielderR. Doan
M. Eggestein
J. Beste
N. Hofler
ForwardE. Dinkci
M. Gregoritsch
G. Kobel
DefenderW. Anton
S. Ozcan
A. Kabar
J. Ryerson
MidfielderE. Can
F. Nmecha
P. Gross
J. Brandt
J. Gittens
ForwardS. Guirassy
Substitutes
J. Huth
DefenderC. Gunter
M. Rosenfelder
K. Sildillia
MidfielderN. Hofler
J. Manzambi
J. Beste
M. Gregoritsch
E. Dinkci
A. Meyer
DefenderA. Kabar
Y. Luhrs
MidfielderG. Reyna
S. Ozcan
F. Nmecha
J. Gittens
J. Duranville
S. Guirassy
Missing players
N. Atubolu
DefenderB. Ogbus
MidfielderD. Kyereh
M. Rohl
M. Sabitzer
Most goals and assists
Freiburg
Borussia Dortmund
V. Grifo
(10 Goals)
V. Grifo
(11 Assists)
P. Gross
(12 Assists)
Freiburg - Borussia Dortmund Key Points
- Freiburg’s home league matches this season average 3.08 goals per match with ten of 13 producing at least three.
- In eight of Dortmund’s last 13 Bundesliga matches, at least three goals were scored.
- Dortmund won the reverse fixture 4-0.
- The last six league matches between these teams averaged 4.33 total goals per match.
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Our Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction
This is an interesting six-pointer clash between two teams outside European places and looking to gatecrash the party. Freiburg’s recent form has tapered down, which means Dortmund can get to one point within Freiburg with a win here. History is on their side, as BVB have won their last six league matches against Freiburg. All those matches have consistently produced goals, including the reverse fixture. Even Freiburg’s home matches have consistently returned at least three goals in this Bundesliga campaign. That’s why our Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund prediction is over 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Freiburg Borussia Dortmund
| Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg wins | 2.9 | 3.25 | +12.1% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.5 | 0% |
| Borussia Dortmund wins | 2.3 | 2.15 | -6.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Borussia Dortmund is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 6.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 43.5% and is now 46.5% (3.0%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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