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Freiburg vs St. Pauli Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
by Kennedy Kechula in Bundesliga Predictions
Freiburg will hope to continue with their positive start to the season when they host newly promoted St. Pauli. In this Saturday Bundesliga match, hosts Die Breisgau-Brasilianer will aim to go joint top while Kiezkicker seek a first win. Follow on for our prediction.
So far it is turning to be a fantastic season for Freiburg. Save for the unsurprising defeat at Bayern Munich, Julian Schuster’s side has been superb.
Vincenzo Grifo became the third Freiburg player to hit two league goals this season as he aided the team to a 3-0 win at Heidenheim. That was a statement win, considering Heidenheim have started the season strongly.
It was their fourth win in five matches this season but the first clean sheet in four league games. There’s need for improvement defensively and Freiburg will be happy to test themselves against a poor scoring side.
St. Pauli’s return to the Bundesliga has been tough; actually, it is the season so far. In their opening game of the campaign, they needed extra time to beat Hallescher in the DFB Pokal.
Having failed to win any of their league matches means this season they haven't managed a victory inside 90 minutes. There was some form of improvement though in their last match, St. Pauli drawing 0-0 with Leipzig.
That result earned them their first point and clean sheet in the league but there’s still a concern about the attack. The visitors have scored only one league goal in their four Bundesliga matches.
They will want to test themselves against this Freiburg side that hasn’t been great defensively.
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The Best Betting Odds for Freiburg v St. Pauli Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.6 | 4 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.65 | 3.9 | 5 |
|
|
1.69 | 4.22 | 5.35 |
|
|
1.69 | 4.22 | 5.35 |
|
|
1.63 | 4.1 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.59 | 4.16 | 5.45 |
|
|
1.59 | 4.16 | 5.45 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.95 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.63 | 4.06 | 5.15 |
|
|
1.63 | 4.1 | 5.4 |
|
|
1.6 | 4.1 | 6.3 |
|
|
1.62 | 4 | 5.25 |
|
|
1.61 | 4.1 | 5.4 |
|
|
1.62 | 4 | 5 |
|
|
1.6 | 4.2 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.6 | 4 | 5.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Freiburg and St. Pauli?
Our prediction for the Freiburg vs St. Pauli match is: Freiburg to win to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/09/2024 between Freiburg and St. Pauli in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.78% for a win of Freiburg against St. Pauli with odds of 1.75 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Freiburg vs St. Pauli is 18.26% with odds of 4.22 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.96% chance ⭐ for a win of St. Pauli vs Freiburg with odds of 6.3 at Vbet.
Freiburg - St. Pauli Prediction and Best Odds:
| Freiburg St. Pauli Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| St. Pauli wins | 40.96% | 6.3 at Vbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.11% | 1.88 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 71.43% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: St. Pauli | 20.32% | 12 at Betsson |
Freiburg vs St. Pauli Form
Freiburg and St. Pauli's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
|
16
|
8 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -5 |
Freiburg and St. Pauli Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
14 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
1 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
24 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
17 Aug 2024 - DFB Pokal
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
24 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
11 May 2024 - Bundesliga
27 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
21 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
6 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
1 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
17 Aug 2024 - DFB Pokal
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
15 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
30 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
25 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
16 Aug 2024 - DFB Pokal
9 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
25 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
9 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
12 May 2024 - 2nd Bundesliga
26 Apr 2024 - 2nd Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
30 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
16 Aug 2024 - DFB Pokal
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
13 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Freiburg against St. Pauli Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Missing players
M. Gulde
K. Schmidt
MidfielderD. Kyereh
M. Rohl
S. Burchert
S. Ahlers
ForwardS. Zoller
Most goals and assists
Freiburg
St. Pauli
V. Grifo
(5 Goals)
E. Saad
(2 Goals)
, 
O. Afolayan
(2 Goals)
, 
E. Smith
(2 Goals)
V. Grifo
(6 Assists)
E. Saad
(2 Assists)
, 
J. Irvine
(2 Assists)
Freiburg - St. Pauli Key Points
- St. Pauli have three losses in the last four games.
- Freiburg have four wins in five matches this season.
- Freiburg are unbeaten in three home league matches.
- In four Bundesliga matches, St. Pauli have just one goal.
- St. Pauli failed to score in three of their five matches this season.
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Our Freiburg vs St. Pauli Prediction
The last time Freiburg and St. Pauli met in a league setting was eight years ago. Freiburg emerged winners then, and they still come into this as favorites.
The hosts have been on a good run this season, only blighted by the loss to Bayern Munich. Two of their four wins this season came with clean sheets, and here they face a side that has struggled in attack.
In their form at this stage of the season, it will take a massive effort for St. Pauli to win here. Our prediction for Freiburg v St. Pauli is for Freiburg to win to nil.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Freiburg St. Pauli
| Freiburg vs St. Pauli | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg wins | 1.83 | 1.6 | -12.6% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 4 | +6.7% |
| St. Pauli wins | 3.75 | 5.5 | +46.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- St. Pauli is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 46.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 26.7% and is now 18.2% (-8.5%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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