Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar in Bundesliga Predictions
Matchday 25 in the Bundesliga will see an exciting battle for European qualification between Freiburg and Leipzig on Saturday. This match at Europa-Park Stadion between the fifth-placed Breisgau-Brasilianer and the sixth-placed Die Roten Bullen comes with our prediction of under 2.5 goals.
Freiburg’s 40 points put them just two points behind the top three clubs, while Leipzig are just two points ahead, although they are just two ahead of the ninth-placed Stuttgart.
Freiburg’s run of four consecutive wins was halted last weekend in a 0-0 away draw at Augsburg. With the European qualification race heating up, they would be gunning to get back to winning ways and fire their season. It’s their home form that could provide a spark, as Freiburg have won five of their last six home matches in the Bundesliga.
Leipzig were beaten 2-1 at home by Mainz last weekend, ending their run of five unbeaten games. It has been an indifferent set of results lately for the Red Bulls, who have won only three of their last 11 competitive matches.
The troubling fact for the visitors ahead of this crucial match is their poor away form, as Leipzig have lost seven of their last 11 trips in all competitions, winning just once.
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The Best Betting Odds for Freiburg v Leipzig Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.5 | 3.25 | 2.88 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.3 | 2.88 |
|
|
2.75 | 2.37 | 3 |
|
|
2.65 | 3.33 | 2.83 |
|
|
2.65 | 3.33 | 2.83 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Freiburg and Leipzig?
Our prediction for the Freiburg vs Leipzig match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/03/2025 between Freiburg and Leipzig in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 52.4% for a win of Freiburg against Leipzig with odds of 2.75 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Freiburg vs Leipzig is 24.15% with odds of 3.5 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 23.45% chance ⭐ for a win of Leipzig vs Freiburg with odds of 3 at Ladbrokes.
Freiburg - Leipzig Prediction and Best Odds:
| Freiburg Leipzig Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Freiburg wins | 52.4% | 2.75 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.46% | 1.91 at Betfred |
| Both Team To Score | 57.92% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Freiburg/Freiburg | 24.29% | 4.33 at Betsson |
Freiburg vs Leipzig Form
Freiburg and Leipzig's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
49 | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 10 |
|
5
|
48 | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | -4 |
Freiburg and Leipzig Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
21 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
25 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
25 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
11 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
13 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
30 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
18 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
14 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
21 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
26 Feb 2025 - DFB Pokal
23 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
9 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
26 Feb 2025 - DFB Pokal
23 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
9 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
25 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
22 Jan 2025 - Champions League
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Jan 2025 - Champions League
18 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
20 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
Freiburg vs Leipzig Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
26 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
6 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
12 Nov 2023 - Bundesliga
6 May 2023 - Bundesliga
2 May 2023 - DFB Pokal
9 Nov 2022 - Bundesliga
Players list
N. Atubolu
DefenderK. Sildillia
M. Ginter
P. Lienhart
C. Gunter
MidfielderM. Eggestein
P. Osterhage
R. Doan
ForwardL. Holer
V. Grifo
J. Beste
P. Gulacsi
DefenderL. Geertruida
W. Orban
C. Lukeba
D. Raum
MidfielderR. Baku
N. Seiwald
A. Haidara
ForwardL. Openda
T. Gomis
Y. Poulsen
Substitutes
F. Muller
DefenderL. Kubler
J. Makengo
MidfielderJ. Beste
N. Hofler
J. Manzambi
V. Grifo
M. Gregoritsch
M. Philipp
M. Vandevoordt
L. Zingerle
DefenderK. Nedeljkovic
C. Lukeba
N. Seiwald
A. Haidara
Y. Poulsen
T. Gomis
Missing players
B. Ogbus
MidfielderD. Kyereh
B. Henrichs
MidfielderA. Ouedraogo
ForwardA. Nusa
Most goals and assists
Freiburg
Leipzig
V. Grifo
(10 Goals)
B. Sesko
(20 Goals)
V. Grifo
(11 Assists)
L. Openda
(7 Assists)
Freiburg - Leipzig Key Points
- Four of Freiburg’s last five matches have seen zero or one goals scored.
- Freiburg haven’t conceded a goal in their last five league games.
- In five of their last seven competitive matches, Leipzig have seen fewer than three goals scored.
- Leipzig’s last two away league games ended in 0-0 draws.
- Leipzig failed to score in their last three away matches in all competitions.
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Our Freiburg vs Leipzig Prediction
It doesn’t get bigger than this in the race for European qualification. Only two points separate Freiburg and Leipzig, currently in fifth and sixth. The race for European qualification is very tight, which means the loser here will be certain to drop down the pecking order. The importance of the match is augmented by the impressive defensive strengths shown by Freiburg lately, with five consecutive clean sheets. That’s why this match could be low on entertainment, and our Freiburg vs Leipzig prediction is under 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Freiburg Leipzig
| Freiburg vs Leipzig | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg wins | 2.6 | 2.5 | -3.8% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.25 | -4.4% |
| Leipzig wins | 2.6 | 2.88 | +10.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Freiburg is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 38.5% and is now 40.0% (1.5%)
2 Goals Ahead Early Payout
More than 80 leagues and competitions are available on this football promotion from bet365. If the team that you have backed takes a two-goal lead at any point in the game, then your bet is a winner. This counts on both single bets and on multiple placed on the full time market, though of course on a multiple it is only the game in question that is marked as a winner, all the other selections still have to win as well.
A bet placed on any enhanced price is not valid for this offer, nor any bet that is cashed out. If you have partially chased out, the remainder of the stake is paid out as a winner. If your acca selection would have been a loser but for this offer then you will not gain any acca boost winnings. So for example, your team goes 2-0 up so you are paid out as a winner but the end result is 2-2, your bet is still a winner if all the other selections win but you do not gain any acca boost.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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