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Germany - Bundesliga

Freiburg
08/03/2025 11:30
Leipzig

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5

 
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Freiburg vs Leipzig Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga

 by Sridhar in Bundesliga Predictions

Matchday 25 in the Bundesliga will see an exciting battle for European qualification between Freiburg and Leipzig on Saturday. This match at Europa-Park Stadion between the fifth-placed Breisgau-Brasilianer and the sixth-placed Die Roten Bullen comes with our prediction of under 2.5 goals.

Freiburg’s 40 points put them just two points behind the top three clubs, while Leipzig are just two points ahead, although they are just two ahead of the ninth-placed Stuttgart.

Freiburg’s run of four consecutive wins was halted last weekend in a 0-0 away draw at Augsburg. With the European qualification race heating up, they would be gunning to get back to winning ways and fire their season. It’s their home form that could provide a spark, as Freiburg have won five of their last six home matches in the Bundesliga.

Leipzig were beaten 2-1 at home by Mainz last weekend, ending their run of five unbeaten games. It has been an indifferent set of results lately for the Red Bulls, who have won only three of their last 11 competitive matches.

The troubling fact for the visitors ahead of this crucial match is their poor away form, as Leipzig have lost seven of their last 11 trips in all competitions, winning just once.

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The Best Betting Odds for Freiburg v Leipzig Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.55 3.3 2.75
Betfred
2.5 3.4 2.75
Ladbrokes
2.75 2.45 2.87
1xbet
2.62 3.68 2.76
22bet
2.62 3.68 2.76
Betobet
2.55 3.3 2.75
Betwinner
2.51 3.56 2.67
LSbet
2.51 3.56 2.67
Stake
2.6 3.45 2.75
Melbet
2.51 3.56 2.67
Tonybet
2.6 3.4 2.75
Vbet
2.61 3.32 2.85
Betway
2.6 3.25 2.7
Unibet
2.55 3.3 2.7
Betsson
2.6 3.5 2.7
William Hill
2.5 3.5 2.62
Check all Freiburg vs Leipzig odds
Up to $150 to bet on Freiburg - Leipzig! 

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What is the prediction for the football match between Freiburg and Leipzig?

Our prediction for the Freiburg vs Leipzig match is: under 2.5.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/03/2025 between Freiburg and Leipzig in Bundesliga :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 52.4% for a win of Freiburg against Leipzig with odds of 2.75 at Ladbrokes.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Freiburg vs Leipzig is 23.84% with odds of 3.68 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 23.76% chance ⭐ for a win of Leipzig vs Freiburg with odds of 2.87 at Ladbrokes.

Freiburg vs Leipzig Form

Freiburg and Leipzig's standings in the Bundesliga

Teams Pts P W D L GD
5
Freiburg
Freiburg
40 24 12 4 8 -2
6
Leipzig
Leipzig
38 24 10 8 6 6

Freiburg and Leipzig Last Matches

Freiburg
Freiburg Last matches
L W W W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

2 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
0 :  0
Freiburg

21 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
5 :  0
Werder Bremen

15 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
0 :  1
Freiburg

8 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
1 :  0
Heidenheim

1 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

Bochum
0 :  1
Freiburg

25 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
1 :  2
Bayern Munich
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

21 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
5 :  0
Werder Bremen

8 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
1 :  0
Heidenheim

25 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
1 :  2
Bayern Munich

11 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
3 :  2
Holstein Kiel

13 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
3 :  2
Wolfsburg

30 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
3 :  1
Mönchengladbach
L L L W W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

2 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
0 :  0
Freiburg

15 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
0 :  1
Freiburg

1 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

Bochum
0 :  1
Freiburg

18 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga

Stuttgart
4 :  0
Freiburg

14 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt
4 :  1
Freiburg

21 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
5 :  1
Freiburg
Leipzig
Leipzig Last matches
D W D D W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

1 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
1 :  2
1 Fsv Mainz 05

26 Feb 2025 - DFB Pokal

Leipzig
1 :  0
Wolfsburg

23 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
2 :  2
Heidenheim

14 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
0 :  0
Leipzig

9 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
2 :  0
St. Pauli

1 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
0 :  0
Leipzig
W D W D W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

1 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
1 :  2
1 Fsv Mainz 05

26 Feb 2025 - DFB Pokal

Leipzig
1 :  0
Wolfsburg

23 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
2 :  2
Heidenheim

9 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
2 :  0
St. Pauli

25 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
2 :  2
Bayer Leverkusen

22 Jan 2025 - Champions League

Leipzig
2 :  1
Sporting Lisbon
L L D L D D
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

14 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
0 :  0
Leipzig

1 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
0 :  0
Leipzig

29 Jan 2025 - Champions League

Sturm Graz
1 :  0
Leipzig

18 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga

Bochum
3 :  3
Leipzig

15 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga

Stuttgart
2 :  1
Leipzig

20 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
5 :  1
Leipzig

Freiburg vs Leipzig Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Freiburg

0 %

Draw

0 %

Leipzig

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4
Total goals
83%
BTTS
0.83
Goals scored (Team 1)
3.17
Goals scored (Team 2)
83%
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5

26 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
3 :  1
Freiburg

6 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
1 :  4
Leipzig

12 Nov 2023 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
3 :  1
Freiburg

6 May 2023 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
0 :  1
Leipzig

2 May 2023 - DFB Pokal

Freiburg
1 :  5
Leipzig

9 Nov 2022 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
3 :  1
Freiburg
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Freiburg vs Leipzig last Lineups

Freiburg

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
N. Atubolu
25
K. Sildillia
28
M. Ginter
3
P. Lienhart
30
C. Gunter
8
M. Eggestein
6
P. Osterhage
42
R. Doan
34
M. Rohl
32
V. Grifo
9
L. Holer
30
B. Sesko
11
L. Openda
10
X. Simons
22
D. Raum
8
A. Haidara
18
A. Vermeeren
17
R. Baku
5
E. Bitshiabu
4
W. Orban
3
L. Geertruida
1
P. Gulacsi

Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2

Leipzig

Missing players

Freiburg
Freiburg
Defender

B. Ogbus

M. Gulde

Midfielder

D. Kyereh

Leipzig
Leipzig
Defender

B. Henrichs

Midfielder

A. Ouedraogo

X. Schlager

Forward

A. Nusa

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Freiburg
CD Huachipato Leipzig
Top Goalscorer
Italy V. Grifo (10 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Slovenia B. Sesko (17 Goals)
Best assists
Italy V. Grifo (8 Assists)
Best assists
Belgium L. Openda (7 Assists)

Freiburg and Leipzig Stats in Bundesliga

Freiburg
Freiburg
Leipzig
Leipzig
50%
Victories
42%
17%
Draw
33%
33%
Defeats
25%
2.92
Total goals per match
3
1.42
Goals scored per match
1.63
1.5
Goals conceded per match
1.38
63%
Over 2.5
58%
38%
Under 2.5
42%
46%
BTTS
54%
38%
No goals conceded
46%

Freiburg - Leipzig Key Points

  1. Four of Freiburg’s last five matches have seen zero or one goals scored.
  2. Freiburg haven’t conceded a goal in their last five league games.
  3. In five of their last seven competitive matches, Leipzig have seen fewer than three goals scored.
  4. Leipzig’s last two away league games ended in 0-0 draws.
  5. Leipzig failed to score in their last three away matches in all competitions.
Up to $150 to bet on Freiburg - Leipzig! 

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Our Freiburg vs Leipzig Prediction

It doesn’t get bigger than this in the race for European qualification. Only two points separate Freiburg and Leipzig, currently in fifth and sixth. The race for European qualification is very tight, which means the loser here will be certain to drop down the pecking order. The importance of the match is augmented by the impressive defensive strengths shown by Freiburg lately, with five consecutive clean sheets. That’s why this match could be low on entertainment, and our Freiburg vs Leipzig prediction is under 2.5.

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5

 
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Freiburg vs Leipzig Prediction
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