Germany - Bundesliga
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by Joseph King in Bundesliga Predictions
Matchday three of the 2024/25 German Bundesliga sees ninth-place SC Freiburg coming up against 17th-placed VfL Bochum. Let’s break down the key figures and offer up a prediction for this match between Breisgau-Brasilianer and Die Unabsteigbaren.
Freiburg dropped to a 10th-place finish last season after two very impressive seasons which saw them finish sixth (2021/22) and then fifth (2022/23). They’ll be hoping to get back into the European football qualification spots and have plenty to be encouraged about early on.
Freiburg came out of the gates with an excellent 3-1 come-from-behind home victory over last season’s surprise runners-up Stuttgart.
They faced another challenging matchup in the second matchday as they travelled away to Bavarian giants Bayern Munich. Freiburg put in a decent performance despite ultimately losing 2-0, which included a missed penalty at the death that could have made it 2-1.
Since winning promotion from the 2. Bundesliga in the 2020/21 season, Bochum have been perennial relegation battlers.
Early signs are pointing towards Bochum being in another relegation scrap this time around after losing the first two matches of the season. A 1-0 away loss against Leipzig in the opener was followed up with a 2-0 home loss to Monchengladbach in the team’s most recent outing.
To make matters worse, Bochum kicked off the new season by stumbling in a 1-0 away loss to second-division side SSV Jahn Regensburg in the DFB Pokal first round. The hosts are still searching for their first goal of the 2024/25 campaign after being shut out in three straight competitive fixtures.
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The Best Betting Odds for Freiburg v Bochum Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.62 | 4 | 5.25 |
|
|
2 | 2.7 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.75 | 4.26 | 4.82 |
|
|
1.75 | 4.26 | 4.82 |
|
|
1.63 | 4.2 | 5.25 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Freiburg and Bochum?
Our prediction for the Freiburg vs Bochum match is: Freiburg to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/09/2024 between Freiburg and Bochum in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.19% for a win of Freiburg against Bochum with odds of 2 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Freiburg vs Bochum is 21.72% with odds of 4.3 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.1% chance ⭐ for a win of Bochum vs Freiburg with odds of 5.3 at Vbet.
Freiburg - Bochum Prediction and Best Odds:
| Freiburg Bochum Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Freiburg wins | 44.19% | 2 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.44% | 1.71 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 59.17% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Freiburg | 21.24% | 4.8 at Vbet |
Freiburg vs Bochum Form
Freiburg and Bochum's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
42 | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | -3 |
|
17
|
20 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | -27 |
Freiburg and Bochum Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
24 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
17 Aug 2024 - DFB Pokal
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
24 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
18 Aug 2024 - DFB Pokal
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Freiburg vs Bochum Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
21 Oct 2023 - Bundesliga
18 Feb 2023 - Bundesliga
26 Aug 2022 - Bundesliga
16 Apr 2022 - Bundesliga
2 Mar 2022 - DFB Pokal
Freiburg against Bochum Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 1 - 2
Missing players
D. Kyereh
Most goals and assists
Freiburg
Bochum
V. Grifo
(10 Goals)
M. Boadu
(7 Goals)
V. Grifo
(9 Assists)
F. Passlack
(4 Assists)
Freiburg - Bochum Key Points
- Bochum have lost all three matches that they have played this season, failing to score a single goal.
- Freiburg won their only home match of the season 3-1 against last year's runners-up Stuttgart.
- In that match, Freiburg posted an expected goals (xG) total of 2.12 while allowing Stuttgart just 0.35 xG.
- Freiburg did the double over Bochum last season with a pair of 2-1 wins.
- Bochum have lost their last six straight meetings with Freiburg dating back to 2022.
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Our Freiburg vs Bochum Prediction
Freiburg have dominated this fixture over the past three seasons, losing only once while beating Bochum six times in a row. While Freiburg lost to Bayern Munich in their last outing, they shouldn't be too discouraged as they've looked very solid to start the year.
Bochum, on the other hand, is struggling right from the off. They have yet to score and they now come up against a Freiburg side that completely shut down Stuttgart in their last appearance at this ground. A home win looks to have a good amount of value at this price. Our Freiburg vs Bochum prediction: Freiburg to win.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Freiburg Bochum
| Freiburg vs Bochum | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg wins | 1.8 | 1.62 | -10.0% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 4 | +6.7% |
| Bochum wins | 4.1 | 5.25 | +28.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Freiburg is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 10.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 55.6% and is now 61.7% (6.2%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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