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Freiburg vs Bayern Munich Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
by Sridhar in Bundesliga Predictions
Freiburg’s home record could trouble Bundesliga leaders Bayern Munich in their matchday 19 meeting on Saturday. This match at the Europa-Park Stadion promises to be full of goals, and our prediction is over 3.5 goals. The hosting Breisgau-Brasilianer is 8th with 27 points and just one point outside European qualification spots. The visiting Bavarians start top of the league with 45 points, four above Bayer Leverkusen.
Freiburg lost three of their last four league games, including two in a row. The worrying aspect is their defensive troubles, as they conceded 13 goals in those three defeats. Despite those poor numbers, Freiburg is still a tough team to play at this venue. They won five of their last six home matches in all competitions, drawing the other.
Bayern was handed a surprising 3-0 defeat away at Feyenoord on Wednesday in the Champions League. That was their first defeat after four wins, all coming in the Bundesliga.
They are in the middle of an impressive campaign, having landed 45 points—their best Bundesliga season in eight years at this point. It’s their scoring record that’s giving a huge advantage, as the Bavarians scored 56 goals already.
That included a 2-0 win earlier in the season against Freiburg, although this fixture last year ended in a 2-2 draw.
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The Best Betting Odds for Freiburg v Bayern Munich Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9.5 | 6.5 | 1.25 |
|
|
12 | 6.5 | 1.22 |
|
|
7.5 | 3.4 | 1.44 |
|
|
9.6 | 6.83 | 1.28 |
|
|
9.6 | 6.83 | 1.28 |
|
|
12 | 6.75 | 1.23 |
|
|
12.5 | 7.1 | 1.2 |
|
|
12.5 | 7.1 | 1.2 |
|
|
11 | 6.8 | 1.25 |
|
|
11 | 6.6 | 1.23 |
|
|
11 | 7 | 1.26 |
|
|
12 | 6.5 | 1.25 |
|
|
11 | 6.5 | 1.22 |
|
|
12 | 6.7 | 1.25 |
|
|
11 | 6.5 | 1.22 |
|
|
11.5 | 7 | 1.2 |
|
|
11 | 6.5 | 1.2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Freiburg and Bayern Munich?
Our prediction for the Freiburg vs Bayern Munich match is: over 3.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/01/2025 between Freiburg and Bayern Munich in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.71% for a win of Freiburg against Bayern Munich with odds of 12.5 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Freiburg vs Bayern Munich is 14.89% with odds of 7.1 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 46.41% chance ⭐ for a win of Bayern Munich vs Freiburg with odds of 1.44 at Ladbrokes.
Freiburg - Bayern Munich Prediction and Best Odds:
| Freiburg Bayern Munich Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich wins | 46.41% | 1.44 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75.42% | |
| Both Team To Score | 63.33% | 1.86 at Unibet |
| Half-time : Freiburg / Full-time : Bayern Munich | 20.05% | 21 at Betsson |
Freiburg vs Bayern Munich Form
Freiburg and Bayern Munich's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
58 | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 50 |
|
4
|
39 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | -2 |
Freiburg and Bayern Munich Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
14 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
11 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
21 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
13 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
8 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
13 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
30 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
3 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
30 Oct 2024 - DFB Pokal
19 Oct 2024 - Bundesliga
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
14 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
21 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
8 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
3 Dec 2024 - DFB Pokal
23 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Jan 2025 - Champions League
18 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
11 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
6 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
20 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
7 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
3 Dec 2024 - DFB Pokal
26 Nov 2024 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Jan 2025 - Champions League
11 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
6 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
14 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
10 Dec 2024 - Champions League
30 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
Freiburg vs Bayern Munich Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
1 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga
8 Oct 2023 - Bundesliga
8 Apr 2023 - Bundesliga
4 Apr 2023 - DFB Pokal
16 Oct 2022 - Bundesliga
Players list
N. Atubolu
DefenderL. Kubler
P. Lienhart
M. Ginter
M. Gregoritsch
MidfielderJ. Manzambi
N. Hofler
R. Doan
M. Rohl
ForwardV. Grifo
J. Adamu
M. Neuer
DefenderJ. Kimmich
E. Dier
K. Min-jae
J. Palhinha
MidfielderA. Pavlovic
J. Stanisic
T. Muller
ForwardM. Olise
K. Coman
H. Kane
Substitutes
F. Muller
DefenderK. Sildillia
C. Gunter
M. Ginter
J. Manzambi
V. Grifo
M. Gregoritsch
M. Philipp
J. Adamu
S. Ulreich
DefenderS. Boey
J. Stanisic
A. Aznou
MidfielderJ. Palhinha
K. Coman
M. Tel
M. Olise
T. Muller
Missing players
B. Ogbus
M. Gulde
MidfielderD. Kyereh
F. Muslija
D. Peretz
Most goals and assists
Freiburg
Bayern Munich
V. Grifo
(10 Goals)
H. Kane
(29 Goals)
V. Grifo
(8 Assists)
J. Kimmich
(10 Assists)
,
H. Kane
(10 Assists)
Freiburg - Bayern Munich Key Points
- Eight of Freiburg’s last nine competitive matches produced at least four goals.
- Freiburg’s last three home league matches saw them score three goals each time and feature four or more total goals.
- Three of Bayern’s last four Bundesliga matches featured at least five total goals.
- This particular match last season ended in a 2-2 draw.
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Our Freiburg vs Bayern Munich Prediction
Freiburg’s home form is among the best this season, with six wins and a draw in their eight Bundesliga matches. That could be unsettling for league leaders Bayern Munich, who lost their last match on the road in the Champions League. The Bavarians have also dropped points in two of their last three league trips, although they could be up and running on this trip. Both teams could go for goals here, and our Freiburg v Bayern Munich prediction is over 3.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Freiburg Bayern Munich
| Freiburg vs Bayern Munich | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg wins | 6.5 | 9.5 | +46.2% |
| Draw | 5.5 | 6.5 | +18.2% |
| Bayern Munich wins | 1.38 | 1.25 | -9.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bayern Munich is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 9.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 72.5% and is now 80.0% (7.5%)
Use £30 free bets for the Freiburg vs. Bayern Munich game!
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Try your luck on this year's Bundesliga! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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