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Olympics - Men's Olympic Tournament

France
09 Aug 2024 12:00
Spain

Prediction :

France to win the gold medal

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France vs Spain Prediction & Betting Tips - Men's Olympic Tournament

 by Devesh Jaganath in Men's Olympic Tournament Predictions

Sixteen hopeful nations began the journey and now only two remain as France prepare to take on Spain in the Men’s Football Final at the 2024 Paris Olympic Games on Friday. Les Bleus are set to return to the podium at an Olympic Games for the first time since winning gold way back in 1984, while La Roja are aiming to upgrade their silver in Tokyo to gold in this match. Check out our prediction below. 

France came through the group stages with flying colours, earning the maximum nine points in their three matches. Spain, on the other hand, came second in Group C, picking up six points in their three games to finish behind group-winners Egypt, who will face Morocco in the bronze medal match. 

This matchup has all the makings to be a truly epic encounter, but who will go on to etch their names in the Olympic history books? Let’s get into the match details. 

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The Best Betting Odds for France v Spain Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
19 1.04 21
1xbet
20 4 1.37
22bet
20 4 1.37
Betwinner
2.5 2.88 3.26
LSbet
2.5 2.88 3.26
Melbet
2.44 2.96 3.26
Betfair
2.4 3.1 3.1
Vbet
2.39 2.88 3.29
Betway
8 1.43 3.6
Unibet
20 3.55 1.36
Check all France vs Spain odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between France and Spain?

Our prediction for the France vs Spain match is: France to win the gold medal!

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/08/2024 between France and Spain in Men's Olympic Tournament :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.05% for a win of France against Spain with odds of 20 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between France vs Spain is 8.26% with odds of 4 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 44.69% chance ⭐ for a win of Spain vs France with odds of 21 at Bet365.

France - Spain Prediction and Best Odds:

France Spain Prediction Probability Odds
France wins 47.05% 20 at 1xbet
Over 2.5 goals 69.75% 2.45 at Betwinner
Both Team To Score 53.57%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: France 26.14% 451 at Unibet

France vs Spain Form

France and Spain Last Matches

France
France Last matches
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

5 Aug 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

France
3 :  1
Egypt

2 Aug 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

France
1 :  0
Argentina

30 Jul 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

New Zealand
0 :  3
France

27 Jul 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

France
1 :  0
Guinea

24 Jul 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

France
3 :  0
USA

28 Jul 2021 - Men's Olympic Tournament

France
0 :  4
Japan
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

5 Aug 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

France
3 :  1
Egypt

2 Aug 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

France
1 :  0
Argentina

27 Jul 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

France
1 :  0
Guinea

24 Jul 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

France
3 :  0
USA

28 Jul 2021 - Men's Olympic Tournament

France
0 :  4
Japan

25 Jul 2021 - Men's Olympic Tournament

France
4 :  3
South Africa
L W
Victories

1/2 (50%)

Draw

0/2 (0%)

Defeats

1/2 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

30 Jul 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

New Zealand
0 :  3
France

22 Jul 2021 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Mexico
4 :  1
France
Spain
Spain Last matches
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

5 Aug 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Morocco
1 :  2
Spain

2 Aug 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Japan
0 :  3
Spain

30 Jul 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Spain
1 :  2
Egypt

27 Jul 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Dominican Republic
1 :  3
Spain

24 Jul 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Uzbekistan
1 :  2
Spain

7 Aug 2021 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Brazil
2 :  1
Spain
D W L
Victories

1/3 (33%)

Draw

1/3 (33%)

Defeats

1/3 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
100% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

30 Jul 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Spain
1 :  2
Egypt

31 Jul 2021 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Spain
5 :  2
Ivory Coast

28 Jul 2021 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Spain
1 :  1
Argentina
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

5 Aug 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Morocco
1 :  2
Spain

2 Aug 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Japan
0 :  3
Spain

27 Jul 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Dominican Republic
1 :  3
Spain

24 Jul 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Uzbekistan
1 :  2
Spain

7 Aug 2021 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Brazil
2 :  1
Spain

3 Aug 2021 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Japan
0 :  1
Spain
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

France - Spain: Form Analysis

France have undoubtedly been the pick of the teams at the 2024 Paris Olympics as they emerged from the group stages with a perfect record of three wins in three matches. 

Les Bleus then shut out Argentina 1-0 in the quarter-final but came up against their most difficult test of the tournament in the semis against Egypt, who were moments away from knocking the host nation out of the competition. 

However, a late goal by Jean-Philippe Mateta forced the match to extra time and Thierry Henry’s side struck the back of the net twice to guarantee a spot on the podium. 

France have only conceded one goal in five matches in this competition!

Meanwhile, Spain got off to a promising start in the competition, beating Uzbekistan 2-1 and the Dominican Republic 3-1 in their first two games before running into the Pharaohs, who beat them 2-1 in the final match of the group. 

However, La Roja were excellent in the knockout rounds, as they romped to a 3-0 win over Japan in the quarter-final before coming back from a goal down to send Morocco into the bronze medal matchup with a 2-1 final scoreline.

Santi Denia’s side have scored two or more goals in all but one of their matches at the Games this year and will need that same type of attacking return here if they are to overcome the home side and tournament favourites.

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France against Spain Lineups: Starting 11

France

Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 1 - 2

16
G. Restes
5
K. Sildillia
4
L. Bade
2
C. Lukeba
3
A. Truffert
6
M. Kone
12
E. Millot
13
J. Chotard
7
M. Olise
10
A. Lacazette
14
J. Mateta
9
A. Ruiz
17
S. Gomez
11
F. Lopez
14
A. Oroz
10
A. Baena
6
P. Barrios
3
J. Miranda
5
P. Cubarsi
4
E. Garcia
2
M. Pubill
1
A. Tenas

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Spain

France & Spain Squad Analysis

France will be able to welcome back Manu Kone and Enzo Millot for this final encounter of the Games after the former was forced into suspension for an accumulation of yellows, while the latter saw red post-match against Argentina. 

Henry is expected to field a very similar starting 11 to the one we saw against Egypt with skipper Alexandre Lacazette and Michael Olise providing support to their semi-final saviour Jean-Philippe Mateta at the top end of the pitch. 

Both sides have no new injury concerns to contend with heading into this blockbuster matchup!

For Spain, Fermin Lopez has been one of the standout performers and is looking to win gold for his country just over a month after he helped La Roja win the European Championship in Germany. 

Eric Garcia, who was part of Spain’s silver medal campaign in Tokyo three years ago will have a chance to make a difference here and is likely to partner Bacelona’s Pau Cubarsi in central defence in front of Arnau Tenas between the sticks. 

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato France
CD Huachipato Spain
Top Goalscorer
France J. Mateta (5 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Spain F. Lopez (6 Goals)
Best assists
France M. Olise (5 Assists)
Best assists
Spain F. Lopez (2 Assists)

France - Spain Key Points

  1. France are unbeaten at the 2024 Paris Olympic Games.
  2. France have only conceded one goal in five matches in this competition.
  3. France have the home-ground advantage.
  4. Spain lost to Egypt during the group stage of the tournament.
  5. Spain have failed to keep a single clean sheet in their last five matches.
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Our France vs Spain Prediction

Spain are looking to follow up their European Championship success with an Olympic gold but standing in their way are the home favourites, who have been excellent in front of their adoring fans so far.

Given the quality on show between these nations, this could easily end up being a match for the ages, but with the home crowd behind them, we’re backing Les Bleus to earn gold at the 2024 Paris Olympics. Our France vs Spain prediction: France to win the gold medal!

Prediction :

France to win the gold medal

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France vs Spain - Other Interesting Predictions

Both teams to score.

Odds 1.87
Both teams have scored in every match in the competition. Additionally, Spain have found the back of the net twice in four of their five games and have not kept a single clean sheets so far.
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Jean-Philippe Mateta to score anytime.

Odds 3.05
The Crystal Palace attacker is the second-highest scorer in the competition with four goals in five matches to his name. He also netted twice in the semi-final against Egypt last weekend.
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis France Spain

France vs Spain Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
France wins 2.25 19 +744.4%
Draw 3.2 1.04 -67.5%
Spain wins 3.25 21 +546.2%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • France is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 744.4% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 44.4% and is now 5.3% (-39.2%)

France vs Spain match : Frequently asked questions

The Olympic Games Men’s gold medal match between France and Spain will be played on August 9 at 17:00 GMT.
The Olympic Games Men’s gold medal match between France and Spain will be played at the Parc des Princes in Paris.
The Olympic Games Men’s gold medal match between France and Spain will be broadcast live and free-to-air on BBC and will also be available on Eurosport and Discovery+.
You can also keep up-to-the-minute with this blockbuster matchup via the Olympic Livescores function right here on SportyTrader!
Brazilian Ramon Abatti will take charge of the final, with the assistance of Rafael da Silva Alves, Guilherme Dias and Dahane Beida as the fourth official.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

France vs Spain Prediction
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