France vs Poland Prediction & Betting Tips - Euro
by Devesh Jaganath | in Euro Predictions
It’s crunch time in Group D at the 2024 European Championship! France will be looking to book their place in the knockout round of Euro 2024 when they face Poland at the BVB Stadion in Dortmund on Tuesday afternoon.
Les Bleus are currently second in the group, tied with the Netherlands on four points, and a win here will guarantee them qualification to the next round. Poland, on the other hand, are at the bottom of the group and will be taking their final bow in the competition in this match. But, can the Poles crush French hopes before they take their exit?
Our prediction for the France vs Poland match is: France Over 1.5!
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The Best Betting Odds for France v Poland Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
12 | 1.05 | 29 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.5 | 9 |
|
|
11.8 | 1.05 | 31 |
|
|
11.8 | 1.05 | 31 |
|
|
1.24 | 5.95 | 12.5 |
|
|
8 | 1.07 | 30 |
|
|
1.26 | 5.7 | 11 |
|
|
1.24 | 6.6 | 12 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between France and Poland?
Our prediction for the France vs Poland match is: France Over 1.5!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 6/25/24 between France and Poland in Euro :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 70.14% for a win of France against Poland with odds of 12 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between France vs Poland is 16.64% with odds of 6.6 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 13.22% chance ⭐ for a win of Poland vs France with odds of 31 at 1xbet.
France - Poland Prediction and Best Odds:
| France Poland Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| France wins | 70.14% | 12 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.59% | 10.4 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 52.08% | 2.05 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time / Full-time : France/France | 41.96% | 1.95 at Bet365 |
France vs Poland Form
France and Poland's standings in the Euro
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
|
4
|
1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 |
France and Poland Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Jun 2024 - Euro
17 Jun 2024 - Euro
9 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Jun 2024 - Euro
16 Jun 2024 - Euro
10 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - Euro
21 Mar 2024 - Euro
France against Poland : Head to Head (H2H)
4 Dec 2022 - World Cup
France - Poland: Form Analysis
France entered the tournament not only as one of the favourites to top this group but to go on to lift the title as well.
However, they face a nervy situation now, having to play their final match and needing a result to guarantee their progress. They are currently one point above third-place Austria.
Les Bleus played out a goalless draw in their opening match against the Netherlands and followed up with a 1-0 win over Austria. While they won that match, it was a far from convincing performance as they needed an own goal to get the victory.
A draw here will leave them at risk of being overtaken into second place if Austria win their match against the Netherlands.
France have dominated this fixture in recent times and are unbeaten in the last seven encounters with Poland!
Meanwhile, for Poland, it is just about playing for pride and possibly leaving their mark on the competition if they can cause an upset here.
They were beaten 2-1 by the Netherlands in game 1 before their qualification hopes were dashed by Austria in game two, which they lost 3-1.
Poland have now scored in each of their last four games in all competitions and have only failed to find the back of the net once in their last ten matches, dating back to October last year.
This match is all about pride for the Poles, but they will be up against it, from a France side that will likely throw everything they have into this one.
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France against Poland Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Missing players
E. Camavinga
ForwardK. Mbappe
R. Lewandowski
France & Poland Squad Analysis
The big question in this match will be whether Kylian Mbappe will feature for France after missing out against the Netherlands last time out. Reports suggest he will play and French fans will breathe a sigh of relief if he takes the pitch.
The defensive partnership of William Saliba and Dayot Upamecano has been rock solid for Les Bleus and should remain unchanged here.
France have yet to concede a goal in the competition!
Didier Deschamps may look to change things up in midfield to find a spark and that could allow Eduardo Camavinga to return to the starting 11.
For Poland - the knock to Robert Lewandowski has visibly affected them, but the Barcelona forward did feature off the bench in the last match and could make the starting lineup here.
Should Lewandowski start, it will likely see Adam Buksa drop to the bench, with Krzysztof Piatek continuing in attack alongside the Poland number nine.
France - Poland Key Points
- France have scored over 1.5 goals in four of their last six competitive matches
- France scored 29 goals in eight Euro 2024 qualifying matches
- France beat this opponent 3-1 in the 2022 FIFA World Cup
- A win will guarantee France a spot in the next round
- Poland conceded two or more goals in their first two matches of the competition
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Our France vs Poland Prediction
From a French perspective, the equation is simple - Win at all costs!
Les Bleus need to find a big performance here, and that’s exactly what we expect to see from them. Not to mention, they will want to send a message to the rest of the sides in the competition!
Poland have been gutsy, as we’ve come to expect, but they are likely to struggle against a French attack that will be throwing everything forward in this one. Our France vs Poland prediction: France Over 1.5!
France vs Poland - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5
Barring the first two games where Mbappe got injured in game 1 and then missed the next, when France score, they usually score in bulk. Poland have also found the net in their last four games in all competitions.
Kylian Mbappe to score anytime
If Les Bleus' skipper starts, this is the type of situation he thrives in. Mbappe scored nine goals in the qualifying campaign, only behind Cristiano Ronaldo (10) and Romelu Lukaku (14).
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis France Poland
| France vs Poland | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| France wins | 1.33 | 12 | +802.3% |
| Draw | 5 | 1.05 | -79.0% |
| Poland wins | 9.5 | 29 | +205.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- France is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 802.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 75.2% and is now 8.3% (-66.9%)
bet365 Euros Super Boost
Every day during the Euro 2024 tournament, bet365 is providing super boosts to all of their new and existing players. The Euro boosts are available on single bets only, so they can not be included in multiples and there are maximum stakes on them depending on your situation as one of their customers. They are easy to spot as they will be at the top of the homepage every day and will be indicated by a yellow arrow. The prices will vary day to day but as an example, the first-day bonus is a boost from 1.30 to 2.00 which is huge.
France vs Poland match : Frequently asked questions
The Euro 2024 match between France and Poland will take place on June 25 at 17:00 GMT.
The Euro 2024 match between France and Poland will be played at the BVB Stadion in Dortmund.
The match between France and Poland will be broadcast live on BBC One.
Alternatively, you can stay up to date with all the Euro 2024 Livescores right here on SportyTrader!All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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