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France vs Belgium Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
by Devesh Jaganath in UEFA Nations League Predictions
The headline fixture on matchday two of the 2024-25 Nations League will come from the Groupama Stadium, where France will be playing host to Belgium on Monday night. Les Bleus are bottom of League A Group 2 after the first round while The Red Devils are in second place. Check out our match prediction below.
France made a dream start to their Nations League campaign, taking the lead against Italy in the first minute of the match, but they ended up falling apart in the second half. Belgium, on the other hand, put in a dominant display against Israel, securing all three points in their opening match, putting them in a solid position after gameweek one.
These two giants of Europe are no strangers to each other, having faced off 22 times in the past, with Les Bleus currently holding the advantage with 11 wins to Belgium’s six. But, can the Red Devils build on their positive performance last time out and get one over on their old foe? Let’s go through some of the key stats.
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The Best Betting Odds for France v Belgium Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.8 | 3.5 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.85 | 3.6 | 4 |
|
|
1.82 | 3.69 | 4.77 |
|
|
1.82 | 3.69 | 4.77 |
|
|
1.82 | 3.7 | 4.3 |
|
|
1.82 | 3.82 | 4.16 |
|
|
1.82 | 3.82 | 4.16 |
|
|
1.74 | 3.75 | 5 |
|
|
1.73 | 3.86 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.74 | 3.75 | 5 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.5 | 4 |
|
|
1.87 | 3.75 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.86 | 3.83 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.88 | 3.6 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.77 | 3.7 | 4.6 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between France and Belgium?
Our prediction for the France vs Belgium match is: Both teams to score!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/09/2024 between France and Belgium in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.53% for a win of France against Belgium with odds of 1.88 at Betway.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between France vs Belgium is 33.41% with odds of 3.86 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.06% chance ⭐ for a win of Belgium vs France with odds of 5 at Stake.
France - Belgium Prediction and Best Odds:
| France Belgium Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| France wins | 42.53% | 1.88 at Betway |
| Under 2.5 | 57.6% | 2.03 at Vbet |
| Both Team To Score | 39.58% | 1.8 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: France | 23.33% | 5.1 at Unibet |
France vs Belgium Form
France and Belgium's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
13 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
|
3
|
4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 |
France and Belgium Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Jul 2024 - Euro
5 Jul 2024 - Euro
1 Jul 2024 - Euro
25 Jun 2024 - Euro
21 Jun 2024 - Euro
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
1 Jul 2024 - Euro
25 Jun 2024 - Euro
9 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jul 2024 - Euro
5 Jul 2024 - Euro
21 Jun 2024 - Euro
17 Jun 2024 - Euro
21 Nov 2023 - Euro
13 Oct 2023 - Euro
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
1 Jul 2024 - Euro
26 Jun 2024 - Euro
22 Jun 2024 - Euro
17 Jun 2024 - Euro
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
22 Jun 2024 - Euro
17 Jun 2024 - Euro
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2023 - Euro
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jul 2024 - Euro
26 Jun 2024 - Euro
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
13 Oct 2023 - Euro
9 Sep 2023 - Euro
France vs Belgium Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Jul 2024 - Euro
7 Oct 2021 - UEFA Nations League
10 Jul 2018 - World Cup
France - Belgium: Form Analysis
Bradley Barcola opened the scoring in France’s first match of the Nations League, but the side were only able to hold on to their lead for just over 20 minutes when Federico Dimarco levelled proceedings.
Italy came out the brighter of the sides in the second half, while France looked out of sorts throughout the game, managing just 12 shots at goal, only three of which were on target, and struggled to create many clear-cut chances.
Les Bleus have now failed to win any of their last three matches in regulation time, drawing to Portugal in the quarter-final of Euro 2024 before bowing out to Spain 2-1 in the semi-final.
The defeat to Italy is only the second one France have conceded in their last 10 home matches!
Meanwhile, Belgium will see this upcoming fixture as a chance for redemption, as it was none other than their upcoming opponent who sent them packing from the Euros in the round of 16 back in June.
The Red Devils looked mightily impressive in their first match of this competition against Israel, led by Kevin de Bruyne, who scored twice, either side of a Youri Tielemans goal in the 48th minute.
Belgium have a very good away record of late, unbeaten in their last seven outings, including five wins and two draws. However, they have lost each of their last three matches against Les Bleus, two of which were on the road.
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France against Belgium Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
B. Pavard
W. Fofana
ForwardK. Coman
A. Vranckx
France & Belgium Squad Analysis
Barcola netted his first goal for France in some style, taking just 13 seconds to find the net against Italy, marking Les Bleus’ fastest goal in international competition.
The Paris Saint-Germain attacker is likely to retain his place in the starting lineup for this match, while Didier Deschamps will have to make a decision on whether to deploy Michael Olise or Ousmane Dembele as the striker’s support.
Kylian Mbappe has now failed to score in France’s last four matches, which is the longest he has gone without an international goal since 2021!
Belgium are missing two big names for this month’s Nations League matches, including Napoli’s new signing Romelu Lukaku, who has been rested, and Thibaut Courtois, who has an ongoing rift with manager Domenico Tedesco.
In Lukaku’s absence, RB Leipzig forward Lois Openda is likely to continue to lead the line with Manchester City duo Kevin de Bruyne and Jeremy Doku operating as the furthest-forward midfielders.
Most goals and assists
France
Belgium
R. Kolo Muani
(3 Goals)
K. De Bruyne
(2 Goals)
L. Digne
(3 Assists)
L. Openda
(1 Assists)
,
J. Doku
(1 Assists)
,
L. Trossard
(1 Assists)
,
W. Faes
(1 Assists)
,
T. Castagne
(1 Assists)
France - Belgium Key Points
- Three of France’s last five matches have ended with both teams scoring.
- France have scored 30 goals in their last 10 home games in all competitions.
- France have scored in each of the last four matches against this opponent.
- Belgium have only failed to score in one of their last seven away games.
- Both teams have scored in two of the last four matches between these sides.
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Our France vs Belgium Prediction
While France are still considered one of the best sides in the world, there have been a few question marks around their defensive solidity of late, and those concerns would only have deepened after the loss to Italy last week.
Belgium, meanwhile, are extremely dangerous in attack, but they are susceptible to conceding cheaply, as we saw with the own goal by Timothy Castagne against Israel. We are expecting a very entertaining match here, and feel that both sides will find the back of the net. Our France vs Belgium prediction: Both teams to score!
France vs Belgium - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5
France have scored an average of three goals per game over their last 10 home matches. Additionally, there have been 14 goals scored in the last four matches between these sides.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis France Belgium
| France vs Belgium | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| France wins | 1.7 | 1.8 | +5.9% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.5 | -2.8% |
| Belgium wins | 5 | 4.75 | -5.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- France is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 5.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 58.8% and is now 55.6% (-3.3%)
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France vs Belgium match : Frequently asked questions
The Nations League match between France and Belgium will be played on September 9 at 19:45 GMT.
The Nations League match between France and Belgium will take place at the Groupama Stadium in Decines-Charpieu, France.
The Nations League match between France and Belgium will be broadcast live in the UK on BBC TV Sport and ITV.
You can also keep up-to-the-minute with all the Nations League Liverscores right here on SportyTrader!
Tobias Stieler will take charge of this match with the assistance of Jan Seidel, Mark Borsch and Matthias Jollenbeck as the fourth official.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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